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● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›UTSA›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|JEFF TRAYLOR|—RECORD12-1|CONF—
UTSA57 FPIAAC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
44FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
+3IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#780 BC / 14
BC RATIO
5%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
12-1ACTUALvs9.8-3.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+2.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD6-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+14.2
12 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
38MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4AILLINOIS—W 37-30645151+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HLAMAR—W 54-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 18HMIDDLE TENNESSEE—W 27-13423131+25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25AMEMPHIS—W 31-28534343+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2HUNLV—W 24-17221212+44BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9AWESTERN KENTUCKY—W 52-46478282-26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16HRICE—W 45-02833+53BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23ALOUISIANA TECH—W 45-16451717+39BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6AUTEP—W 44-23123030+26BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HSOUTHERN MISS—W 27-17391111+45BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20HUAB—W 34-31346767-11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27ANORTH TEXAS—L 23-45422828+28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 3HWESTERN KENTUCKY—W 49-41478282-26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET77NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
JOSH ADKINSQB JURET
★3—00%——
FRANK HARRISQB SERET
★3—00%——
9
EDDIE LEE MARBURGERQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
10
LOWELL NARCISSEQB JURET
★4—00%——
15
JORDAN WEEKSQB SORET
★3—00%——
18
CAM PETERSQB SORET
★3—00%——
19
ZACH RANGELQB SORET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET99NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
KAEDRIC COBBSRB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
2
KEVORIAN BARNESRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
30
DE'ANTHONY LEWISRB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
21
JUSTIN RODRIGUEZRB SERET
UNR—00%——
19
JULON WILLIAMSRB JURET
★3—00%——
23
SINCERE MCCORMICKRB SORET
★3—00%——
33
B.J. DANIELSRB SERET
★3—00%——
5
BRENDEN BRADYRB SERET
★3—00%——
24
JOSHUA PETTITRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
89
LEROY WATSONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
4
ZAKHARI FRANKLINWR SERET
★2★300%—ROSE
5
DAN DISHMANTE SERET
★3—00%——
2
JOSHUA CEPHUSWR SERET
★2—00%——
11
TYKEE OGLE-KELLOGGWR SERET
★3—00%——
87
GAVIN SHARPTE SERET
UNR—00%——
81
CADE STOEVERWR SORET
UNR—00%——
84
OSCAR CARDENASTE SERET
★3—00%——
1
DE'CORIAN CLARKWR SERET
★3—00%——
14
ISAIAH DAVISWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
13
SHELDON JONESWR JURET
★3—00%——
13
TRE'VON BRADLEYWR SEPORTAL · HOUSTON
★3★300%—HELD
37
MYLES BENNINGTE SERET
UNR—00%——
22
JABARI AIKENWR SORET
UNR—00%——
86
PETER GRAYTE SERET
★3—00%——
45
KE'CHAWN COMPTONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
16
ALLEN HORACE IITE SORET
★3—00%——
35
JORDAN SMITHWR SORET
★3—00%——
80
GREGORY CLAYTON JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
11
JAREN RANDLEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
29
KYLE EAVESWR JURET
UNR—00%——
42
JAKE BRANDTTE FRRET
UNR—00%——
85
ROEL SANCHEZWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KAMRON SCOTTHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
JACOREY HYDERHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
DE'ANTHONY LEWISHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
EDDIE LEE MARBURGERHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
RONNIE GARZAHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JALEN RAINEYHS RECRUITS★3UNR
KEVORIAN BARNESHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
DRE SPRIGGSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
LUKE LAPEZEHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
RIVER GORDONHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN9 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
LAMONTE MCDOUGLEWASHINGTON STATEDLUNR★3
CAMERON WILKINSMISSOURILB★3★3
TRE'VON BRADLEYHOUSTONWR★3★3
CLIFFORD CHATTMANTEXAS A&MCB★3★3
RONALD TRIPLETTEKANSAS STATEEDGE★3★3
BRANDON BROWNTULANEDL★3★3
KENNEDY LEWISTEXASWR★3★3
DENZEL FEASTERKANSASLBUNR★2
DRU PROXKANSASLBUNRUNR
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT6 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SOLOMON WISEALCORN STATELB★3★3
SAVION HARRISELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
KADARI JOHNSONELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
BRENNON DINGLEELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
KEVIN NELSONNOT LISTEDDL★3—
ANDREW MCGOWANNOT LISTEDWR★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#78NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 14 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8300COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
96 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST96% BACK96th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG96% BACK96th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR77%77th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE