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● LIVE|2022 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›UTSA›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|JEFF TRAYLOR|—RECORD11-3|CONF—
UTSA59 FPIAAC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
46FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
14%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#730 BC / 13
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
11-2ACTUALvs9.2-3.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD5-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+12.2
11 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE58
PERFORMANCE58
TALENT36
CONTINUITY14
DEFENSE39
PERFORMANCE39
TALENT46
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE14 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
41MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HHOUSTON—L 35-37585757+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10AARMY—W 41-3814444+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17ATEXAS#25L 20-41969595-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HTEXAS SOUTHERN—W 52-24————NON-FBS OPPONENT
5SEP 30AMIDDLE TENNESSEE—W 45-30263232+32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8HWESTERN KENTUCKY—W 31-28425050+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14AFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—W 30-103422+62BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HNORTH TEXAS—W 31-27454444+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5AUAB—W 44-38294747+17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HLOUISIANA TECH—W 51-73988+56BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19ARICE—W 41-7281212+52BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HUTEP—W 34-31102525+39BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 2HNORTH TEXAS—W 48-27454444+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 16ATROY#19L 12-18356767-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB83TAL37PERF83RET100ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
FRANK HARRISQB SERET
★3—9894%+34—
9
EDDIE LEE MARBURGERQB JURET
★3★3375%-5HELD
18
CAM PETERSQB SORET
★3—40%——
10
TANNER MURRAYQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
11
DIEGO TELLOQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB53TAL46PERF53RET84ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 22 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
BRENDEN BRADYRB SERET
★3—9245%-16—
2
KEVORIAN BARNESRB SERET
★3★38735%+29HELD
28
TRELON SMITHRB SENO SNAPS
★3—6313%-8—
2
TYE EDWARDSRB SENO SNAPS
★3★3383%-49HELD
21
JUSTIN RODRIGUEZRB SERET
UNR—343%-46—
17
KAEDRIC COBBSRB JURET
★3★350%+9HELD
19
JULON WILLIAMSRB JURET
★3—00%——
30
DE'ANTHONY LEWISRB SORET
★3—00%——
39
ETHAN LAINGRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE72TAL35PERF73RET95ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 46 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
ZAKHARI FRANKLINWR SERET
★2★310033%+26ROSE
2
JOSHUA CEPHUSWR SERET
★2—9829%+26—
84
OSCAR CARDENASTE SERET
★3—9353%+52—
1
DE'CORIAN CLARKWR SERET
★3—8619%+31—
5
DAN DISHMANTE SERET
★3—7327%+9—
11
TYKEE OGLE-KELLOGGWR SERET
★3—679%+10—
87
GAVIN SHARPTE SERET
UNR—6318%-6—
5
CHRIS CARPENTERWR SENO SNAPS
★3—555%-33—
14
ISAIAH DAVISWR SERET
★3★3392%—HELD
13
TRE'VON BRADLEYWR SERET
★3★3291%+34HELD
87
HOUSTON THOMASTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★3272%—HELD
16
KARCH GARDINERWR SENO SNAPS
★2★2261%—HELD
29
KYLE EAVESWR JURET
UNR—251%——
10
JACE WILSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★3180%—HELD
9
JACOREY HYDERTE SENO SNAPS
★3★3141%—HELD
11
JAREN RANDLEWR SERET
UNR—100%——
15
DRE SPRIGGSWR SONO SNAPS
★3★370%—HELD
25
QUINCY CAGEWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
23
GRAYSON MEDFORDWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL45TAL29PERF45RET9n=8 · 3 METRICS · 23 OBS
▸DL48TAL49PERF48RET66n=10 · 7 METRICS · 51 OBS
▸LB47TAL46PERF47RET96n=9 · 11 METRICS · 65 OBS
▸DB59TAL44PERF59RET72n=10 · 8 METRICS · 47 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS13 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
OWEN PEWEEHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
JACE WILSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
KALEB BROWNHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
CAMRON COOPERHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
TAI LEONARDHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
HOUSTON THOMASHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
BEN RIOSHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
BRANDON TENNISONHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
DIEGO TELLOHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
DEANDRE MARSHALLHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT19 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAYLON HAYNESELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
DENZEL FEASTERELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
CHARLES WILEYELIGIBILITY UPLB★4—
ANTONIO PARKSELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
LEROY WATSONELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
DEQUARIUS HENRYELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
HUNTER DUPLESSISELIGIBILITY UPPKUNR—
LORENZO DANTZLERELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
B.J. DANIELSELIGIBILITY UPRB★3—
CLARENCE HICKSELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#73NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 13 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8370COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST64% BACK64th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG64% BACK64th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR9%9th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST72%72th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE