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HOME›TEAMS›VANDERBILT›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
SEC|CLARK LEA|—RECORD2-10|CONF—
VANDERBILT103 FPISEC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
58FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
80%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
70%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-10IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#521 BC / 23
BC RATIO
6%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
2-10ACTUALvs3.0-9.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-13.3
2 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE26
PERFORMANCE26
TALENT63
CONTINUITY80
DEFENSE20
PERFORMANCE20
TALENT57
CONTINUITY70
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
69MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 26HHAWAI'I—W 35-282088+9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
1SEP 2HALABAMA A&M—W 47-13————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9AWAKE FOREST—L 20-36502828-11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16AUNLV—L 37-40145555-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HKENTUCKY—L 28-45788484-67BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HMISSOURI#8L 21-38839393-76BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7AFLORIDA—L 14-38907070-53BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HGEORGIA#4L 20-37999999-82BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28AOLE MISS—L 7-33849292-75BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HAUBURN—L 15-31887373-56BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11ASOUTH CAROLINA—L 6-47856262-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25ATENNESSEE#17L 24-48899090-73BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB67TAL71PERF67RET51ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 15 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
AJ SWANNQB SERET
★4★37251%-20FELL
9
KEN SEALSQB SERET
★3★37149%-1HELD
7
DREW DICKEYQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
12
BRENNAN STORERQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
18
HAYDEN MOSESQB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾RB56TAL55PERF56RET48ONE OWNERn=4 · 5 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
28
SEDRICK ALEXANDERRB SENO SNAPS
★3—8245%-8—
4
PATRICK SMITHRB JURET
★3★37738%-35HELD
13
CHASE GILLESPIERB SERET
★3★35111%-49HELD
23
AJ NEWBERRYRB SENO SNAPS
★3★3437%-10HELD
25
DYLAN BETTS-PAULEYRB JURET
★3—00%——
28
DEAGO BENSONRB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
47
ISAIAH FONTANRB JURET
UNR—00%——
44
GABE FISHERFB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE51TAL72PERF58RET75ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 49 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
84
JUSTIN BALLTE SERET
★3★39359%-35HELD
14
WILL SHEPPARDWR SERET
★3★49228%+22ROSE
15
JAYDEN MCGOWANWR SERET
★3★38623%0HELD
16
LONDON HUMPHREYSWR SENO SNAPS
★3★47818%+35ROSE
18
LOGAN KYLETE SERET
★3★37332%-15HELD
3
QUINCY SKINNER JR.WR SERET
★3—6612%-4—
0
JUNIOR SHERRILLWR SENO SNAPS
★3—6410%+26—
5
RICHIE HOSKINSWR SERET
UNR—556%-28—
12
KAMREAN JOHNSONTE SENO SNAPS
★3★3509%—HELD
17
GAMARION CARTERWR SERET
★3★3453%+14HELD
6
DAVEON WALKERWR SORET
★3★360%—HELD
49
CHRIS BOYLETE SENO SNAPS
UNR—50%——
86
JOSH PALMERTE FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
12
WALTER TAYLORTE SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
80
WILSON LONGWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
89
SHAWN NAIMWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
EZRA MCALLISTERWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
16
COLE SPENCETE SERET
★3—00%——
81
HUTCH BAIRDWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
LANDON WELLSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
83
DEREK KEEWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
39
JACKSON HEISWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL39TAL55PERF39RET98n=7 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL47TAL56PERF47RET64n=8 · 8 METRICS · 41 OBS
▸LB48TAL64PERF48RET82n=8 · 10 METRICS · 45 OBS
▸DB51TAL56PERF52RET75n=13 · 8 METRICS · 64 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS23 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MARTEL HIGHTHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
LONDON HUMPHREYSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
SEDRICK ALEXANDERHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
DE'MARION THOMASHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
ETHAN CRISPHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
BARRETT MADDOXHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
AJ NEWBERRYHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
ANTHONY MILESHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
JAILEN RUTHHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
JALEN GILBERTHS RECRUITS★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN2 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
PRINCE KOLLIENOTRE DAMELB★4★3
AENEAS DICOSMOSTANFORDLB★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT27 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
RAY DAVISKENTUCKYRB★4UNR
MALIK LANGHAMPURDUEDL★4★4
ELIJAH MCALLISTERAUBURNLB★3★3
JADAIS RICHARDMIAMIDB★4★3
MIKE WRIGHT JR.MISSISSIPPI STATEQB★3★3
DEVIN BODDIE JR.WYOMINGWR★3★3
ROCKO GRIFFINUTSARB★3★3
ANFERNEE ORJIELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
JACOB BRAMMERELIGIBILITY UPOL★2—
JEREMY LUCIENELIGIBILITY UPCB★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES85%6 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS34%8 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#52NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 23 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8587COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
313 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
28TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
0
4
12
4
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +3.0 W
FULL RANGE-3 TO +5 W
IMPROVED12 OF 28
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST60% BACK60th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG60% BACK60th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR98%98th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR51%51th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST75%75th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE