SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2020 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›VIRGINIA›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
ACC|BRONCO MENDENHALL|—RECORD5-5|CONF—
VIRGINIA57 FPIACC · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
54FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#481 BC / 15
BC RATIO
4%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
5-5ACTUALvs5.2-4.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+1.1
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE10 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
68MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
4SEP 26HDUKE—W 38-20643333+18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 3ACLEMSON#3L 23-41989898-47BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 10HNC STATE—L 21-38784747+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 17AWAKE FOREST—L 23-40525050+1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 24AMIAMI#22L 14-19898585-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 31HNORTH CAROLINA#18W 44-41849292-41BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 14HLOUISVILLE—W 31-17657171-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 21HABILENE CHRISTIAN—W 55-15————NON-FBS OPPONENT
14DEC 5HBOSTON COLLEGE—W 43-325951510BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
15DEC 12AVIRGINIA TECH—L 15-33768888-37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET4NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
36
LINDELL STONEQB SERET
★3—00%——
5
BRENNAN ARMSTRONGQB SERET
★3★400%—ROSE
12
IRA ARMSTEAD IIQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
13
JARED RAYMANQB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET63NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
31
SHANE SIMPSONRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
32
RONNIE WALKER JR.RB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
2
PERRIS JONESRB SERET
UNR—00%——
21
WAYNE TAULAPAPARB SERET
★3—00%——
JAMARI PEACOCKFB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
JUSTIN ZOLLARRB SERET
UNR—00%——
7
MIKE HOLLINSRB SERET
★3—00%——
CHRIS BARFIELDRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
87
TONY POLJANTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
99
KEYTAON THOMPSONWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
80
JALEN HARRISONWR SERET
★2—00%——
17
RA'SHAUN HENRYWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
1
LAVEL DAVIS JR.WR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
13
TERRELL JANAWR SERET
★3—00%——
18
HAYDEN MITCHELLWR JURET
UNR—00%——
88
TAVARES KELLY JR.WR JURET
UNR—00%——
1
BILLY KEMP IVWR SERET
★3—00%——
85
GRANT MISCHTE SERET
★3—00%——
6
DEMICK STARLINGWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
T.J. KITTSTE JURET
UNR—00%——
26
JAYLON BAKERWR SERET
★3—00%——
18
JOSH CLIFFORDWR SERET
UNR—00%——
9
UGO OBASIWR SERET
★3—00%——
82
BRANDON WHITEWR SORET
★3—00%——
13
NATHANIEL BEAL IIIWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
DORIEN GODDARDWR FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
80
LUKE WENTZWR JURET
★3—00%——
3
DONTAYVION WICKSWR JURET
★3—00%——
89
JOSHUA RAWLINGSTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
86
ZACK KINDELWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
87
MIKE KOSARTE JURET
UNR—00%——
38
SEAN MOOREWR JURET
UNR—00%——
44
SACKETT WOOD JR.TE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS15 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JONATHAN HORTONHS RECRUITWDE★4UNR
BRANDON WILLIAMSHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
ELIJAH GAINESHS RECRUITS★3UNR
DONOVAN JOHNSONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JAHMEER CARTERHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
OLASUNKONMI AGUNLOYEHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
LAVEL DAVISHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JOSHUA RAWLINGSHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
JESTUS JOHNSONHS RECRUITOC★3UNR
SAM BRADYHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT14 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHRIS MOOREGEORGIA STATES★3UNR
BRYCE HALLNFL DRAFT R5CB★2—
JOE REEDNFL DRAFT R5WR★3—
BRYCE PERKINSELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
CHRIS SHARPELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
TANNER COWLEYELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
ELI HANBACKELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
HASISE DUBOISELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
JORDAN MACKELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
TERRELL CHATMANELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#48NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 15 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8582COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
74TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
16
24
15
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.8 W
FULL RANGE-8 TO +5 W
IMPROVED19 OF 74
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST23% BACK23th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG23% BACK23th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR4%4th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE