SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›VIRGINIA›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
ACC|BRONCO MENDENHALL|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
VIRGINIA47 FPIACC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
62FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-3IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#313 BC / 25
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs6.6-5.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+2.8
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
59MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4HWILLIAM & MARY—W 43-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 11HILLINOIS—W 42-14645151+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18ANORTH CAROLINA—L 39-59885555+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HWAKE FOREST#15L 17-37557171-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30AMIAMI—W 30-28917676-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9ALOUISVILLE—W 34-33586060-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16HDUKE—W 48-0571313+45BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23HGEORGIA TECH—W 48-40772626+32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30ABYU#19L 49-66326666-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HNOTRE DAME#8L 3-28929292-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20APITTSBURGH#13L 38-48749494-36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27HVIRGINIA TECH—L 24-29724747+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET73NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
BRENNAN ARMSTRONGQB SERET
★3★400%—ROSE
12
IRA ARMSTEAD IIQB SORET
★3—00%——
16
JAY WOOLFOLKQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
36
LINDELL STONEQB SERET
★3—00%——
13
JARED RAYMANQB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET66NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
36
DEVIN DARRINGTONRB —PORTAL · HARVARD
★3★300%—HELD
7
MIKE HOLLINSRB SERET
★3—00%——
32
RONNIE WALKER JR.RB SERET
★3—00%——
21
WAYNE TAULAPAPARB SERET
★3—00%——
31
SHANE SIMPSONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
2
PERRIS JONESRB SERET
UNR—00%——
CHRIS BARFIELDRB FRRET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
0
MALACHI FIELDSWR SENO SNAPS
★3★400%—ROSE
99
KEYTAON THOMPSONWR SERET
★4—00%——
89
JELANI WOODSTE JUPORTAL · OKLAHOMA STATE
★3★300%—HELD
17
RA'SHAUN HENRYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
18
JOSH CLIFFORDWR SERET
UNR—00%——
1
BILLY KEMP IVWR SERET
★3—00%——
85
GRANT MISCHTE SERET
★3—00%——
3
DONTAYVION WICKSWR JURET
★3—00%——
6
DEMICK STARLINGWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
80
JALEN HARRISONWR SERET
★2—00%——
13
TERRELL JANAWR SERET
★3—00%——
18
HAYDEN MITCHELLWR JURET
UNR—00%——
T.J. KITTSTE JURET
UNR—00%——
26
JAYLON BAKERWR SERET
★3—00%——
88
TAVARES KELLY JR.WR JURET
UNR—00%——
9
UGO OBASIWR SERET
★3—00%——
13
NATHANIEL BEAL IIIWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
DORIEN GODDARDWR FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
80
LUKE WENTZWR JURET
★3—00%——
1
LAVEL DAVIS JR.WR JURET
UNR—00%——
89
JOSHUA RAWLINGSTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
86
ZACK KINDELWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
87
MIKE KOSARTE JURET
UNR—00%——
38
SEAN MOOREWR JURET
UNR—00%——
44
SACKETT WOOD JR.TE SERET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRYCE CARTERHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
JOSH MCCARRONHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
LOGAN TAYLORHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
JACOB RODRIGUEZHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
NOAH JOSEYHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
WEST WEEKSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HUGH LAUGHLINHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
MIKE GREENHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
MIKE DIATTAHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
JAY WOOLFOLKHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN1 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JELANI WOODSOKLAHOMA STATETE★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT4 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JOWON BRIGGSCINCINNATIDE★4★3
TONY POLJANELIGIBILITY UPTE★3—
CHARLES SNOWDENELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
D'ANGELO AMOSELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#31NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
3OF 25 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8634COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
69 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST94% BACK94th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG94% BACK94th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR73%73th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE