SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2023 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
ACC|DAVE CLAWSON|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
WAKE FOREST72 FPIACC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
50FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
84%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
76%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-8IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#531 BC / 22
BC RATIO
8%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
4-8ACTUALvs4.0-8.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-6.9
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE30
PERFORMANCE30
TALENT63
CONTINUITY84
DEFENSE38
PERFORMANCE38
TALENT54
CONTINUITY76
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
59MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HELON—W 37-17————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9HVANDERBILT—W 36-20581717+11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16AOLD DOMINION—W 27-24122323+5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HGEORGIA TECH—L 16-30745151-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7ACLEMSON#20L 12-17978484-56BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14AVIRGINIA TECH—L 13-30586666-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HPITTSBURGH—W 21-17723232-4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HFLORIDA STATE#6L 16-41869494-66BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2ADUKE—L 21-24527878-50BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HNC STATE#21L 6-26737171-43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18ANOTRE DAME#14L 7-45939595-67BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25ASYRACUSE—L 31-35504040-12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB40TAL69PERF40RET94ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 13 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
MITCH GRIFFISQB SERET
★3★37767%-1HELD
15
MICHAEL KERNQB SERET
★3—6026%+8—
18
SANTINO MARUCCIQB JURET
★3★3356%—HELD
3
TROY HOILMANQB SORET
UNR—00%——
12
CHARLIE GILLIAMQB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
14
TYLER MIZZELLQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
▾RB47TAL65PERF48RET81ROTATIONn=3 · 5 METRICS · 13 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
JUSTICE ELLISONRB SERET
★3★38041%-23HELD
1
DEMOND CLAIBORNERB SERET
★4—7940%-41—
30
TATE CARNEYRB JURET
★3★36117%-3HELD
28
DAVID EGBERB SONO SNAPS
★3—212%——
41
WILL TOWNSRB SORET
★3—00%+27—
21
ZACH IGWEBERB JURET
UNR—00%——
26
DREW PICKETTRB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
43
MASON ANDRADERB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE45TAL62PERF50RET94ONE OWNERn=6 · 8 METRICS · 37 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
20
CAMERON HITETE SERET
★3—9572%+25—
80
JAHMAL BANKSWR SERET
★3★49429%+19ROSE
2
TAYLOR MORINWR SERET
★3—9228%+12—
6
WESLEY GRIMESWR SERET
★4★38020%+25FELL
5
KE'SHAWN WILLIAMSWR SERET
★3★37919%+13HELD
82
TREY BOLLTE JURET
★3★35816%-47HELD
17
MICHAEL FROGGETE JURET
★3—488%——
11
HORATIO FIELDSWR SERET
★3★4382%—ROSE
1
WALKER MERRILLWR SEPORTAL · TENNESSEE
★4★3332%-21FELL
83
GAVIN ELLISTE SORET
★3—272%——
1
DEUCE ALEXANDERWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★4251%—ROSE
47
HARRY LODGETE SERET
★3★3141%—HELD
5
MICAH MAYS JR.WR SENO SNAPS
★4★3130%—FELL
44
RYAN DUPONTTE JURET
UNR—111%——
3
DONAVON GREENEWR SERET
★4★300%+20FELL
29
CHRISTIAN GREENEWR JURET
★3—00%——
19
JAYDN GIRARDWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
81
NICK RAGANOWR SERET
UNR—00%——
36
WALKER FERGUSONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
88
IAN VER STEEGWR SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
85
AK KELLYWR FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
46
KEVIN CHECKTE JURET
UNR—00%——
45
ANDREW GREGERSONWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
48
WESLEY STROEBELWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
49
LANDEN BAKERTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
35
JAMES HILLHOUSEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
37
OWEN PISAWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL52TAL59PERF52RET76n=7 · 3 METRICS · 19 OBS
▸DL57TAL50PERF57RET84n=8 · 8 METRICS · 40 OBS
▸LB65TAL64PERF65RET51n=4 · 10 METRICS · 33 OBS
▸DB58TAL52PERF58RET80n=9 · 8 METRICS · 49 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MICAH MAYS JR.HS RECRUITWR★4UNR
ANTONIO ROBINSONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
KERRINGTON LEEHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
JAQUEZ KEYESHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
DEVIN MCRAEHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
RUSHAUN TONGUEHS RECRUITS★3UNR
CHRIS MARABLE JR.HS RECRUITDL★3UNR
TYLER WALTONHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
DREW PICKETTHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
DEUCE ALEXANDERHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN3 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
WALKER MERRILLTENNESSEEWR★4★3
JACOB ROBERTSNORTH CAROLINA A&TILB★2★3
BRYCE GANIOUSVILLANOVADLUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT24 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
GAVIN HOLMESTEXASDB★3★4
SAM HARTMANNOTRE DAMEQB★3★4
RONDELL BOTHROYDOKLAHOMADL★3★4
J.J. ROBERTSMARSHALLDB★3★3
CHRISTIAN TURNERINDIANARB★3★3
QUINTON COOLEYLIBERTYRB★3★3
JACKSON HENSLEYEASTERN KENTUCKYWR★3★3
LOIC NGASSAM NYAELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
SEAN MAGINNELIGIBILITY UPOL★3—
RYAN SMENDA JR.ELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES57%3 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS40%6 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#53NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8594COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
311 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
56TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
5
15
14
11
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +6 W
IMPROVED25 OF 56
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST36% BACK36th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG36% BACK36th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR76%76th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR94%94th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST80%80th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE