SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›WASHINGTON›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
BIG TEN|JIMMY LAKE|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
WASHINGTON62 FPIB1G · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
88FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-6IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#355 BC / 18
BC RATIO
37%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
4-8ACTUALvs5.6-6.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-5
AVG SCORING MARGIN-1.2
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
50MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4HMONTANA—L 7-13————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 11AMICHIGAN#3L 10-31909898-62BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18HARKANSAS STATE—W 52-34099+27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25HCALIFORNIA—W 31-24724848-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2AOREGON STATE—L 24-27666666-30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16HUCLA—L 17-24846969-33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22AARIZONA—W 21-16511414+22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30ASTANFORD—W 20-13831919+17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6HOREGON#22L 16-26957171-35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HARIZONA STATE—L 30-35828181-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20ACOLORADO—L 17-20662020+16BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HWASHINGTON STATE—L 13-40565757-21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET99NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
PATRICK O'BRIENQB SEPORTAL · COLORADO STATE
★4★300%—FELL
7
SAM HUARDQB SENO SNAPS
★5★300%—FELL
5
DYLAN MORRISQB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
13
JESSE MARTINEAUQB SORET
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
KAMARI PLEASANTRB SERET
★3—00%——
23
CAM DAVISRB SERET
★4—00%——
5
SEAN MCGREWRB SERET
★4—00%——
6
RICHARD NEWTONRB SERET
★3—00%——
26
JAY'VEON SUNDAYRB FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
28
SAM ADAMS IIRB SERET
★4★400%—HELD
25
CALEB BERRYRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
34
CAPASSIO CHERRYRB SORET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
SAWYER RACANELLIWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
TERRELL BYNUMWR SERET
★3—00%——
87
CADE OTTONTE JURET
★3—00%——
37
JACK WESTOVERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
83
DEVIN CULPTE SERET
★3—00%——
5
GILES JACKSONWR SEPORTAL · MICHIGAN
★3★400%—ROSE
31
SAV'ELL SMALLSTE SERET
★5★300%—FELL
9
TAJ DAVISWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
2
JA'LYNN POLKWR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
11
JALEN MCMILLANWR JURET
★4—00%——
1
ROME ODUNZEWR JURET
★4—00%——
83
MARK REDMANTE SERET
★4★400%—HELD
27
JAVON FORWARDTE FRRET
★3—00%——
88
QUENTIN MOORETE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
30
DAVID PRITCHARDWR JURET
UNR★200%—EMERGED
80
MASON WESTTE FRRET
★3—00%——
15
JABEZ TINAEWR SONO SNAPS
★4—00%——
19
NICK JURANWR SORET
UNR—00%——
39
ZEKE PELLUERTE SORET
UNR—00%——
24
CAMDEN VER STRATEWR SORET
UNR—00%——
35
CADEN JUMPERTE FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
18
CAMDEN SIRMONWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR★200%—EMERGED
29
BRENNAN HOLMESWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
31
CHARLIE FULLERWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
81
MASON WHEELERWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
80
WILSON SCHWARTZTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
GRIFFIN WAISSTE SENO SNAPS
UNR★200%—EMERGED
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SAM HUARDHS RECRUITQB★5UNR
OWEN PRENTICEHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
JABEZ TINAEHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
WILL LATUHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
EMEKA MEGWAHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
VOI TUNUUFIHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
DYSON MCCUTCHEONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
ZAKHARI SPEARSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
KUAO PEIHOPAHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
MAURICE HEIMSHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN4 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRENDAN RADLEY-HILESOKLAHOMACB★4★3
JEREMIAH MARTINTEXAS A&MWDE★4★3
PATRICK O'BRIENCOLORADO STATEPRO★4★3
GILES JACKSONMICHIGANWR★3★4
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT8 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
PUKA NACUABYUWR★4★4
TY JONESFRESNO STATEWR★3★3
BRANDON MCKINNEYUTAHS★4★4
JACOB SIRMONCENTRAL MICHIGANQB★4★3
ELIJAH MOLDENNFL DRAFT R3DB★4—
KEITH TAYLORNFL DRAFT R5DB★4—
JOSIAH BRONSONELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
JORDAN CHINELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#35NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
5OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8828COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
410 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST92% BACK92th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG92% BACK92th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR99%99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE