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HOME›TEAMS›WASHINGTON›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
BIG TEN|KALEN DEBOER|—RECORD11-2|CONF—
WASHINGTON#8 AP 20 FPIB1G · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
85FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
3%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#961 BC / 14
BC RATIO
31%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
10-2ACTUALvs8.9-3.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+14.4
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE91
PERFORMANCE91
TALENT76
CONTINUITY3
DEFENSE26
PERFORMANCE26
TALENT69
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
54MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HKENT STATE—W 45-20191818+69BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HPORTLAND STATE—W 52-6————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 17HMICHIGAN STATE—W 39-28764949+38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HSTANFORD—W 40-22852929+58BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30AUCLA#21L 32-40808585+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8AARIZONA STATE—L 38-45723838+49BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HARIZONA—W 49-39664141+46BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22ACALIFORNIA—W 28-21664242+45BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HOREGON STATE#17W 24-21618484+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12AOREGON#15W 37-34969292-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HCOLORADO—W 54-75655+82BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26AWASHINGTON STATE—W 51-33507272+15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 29HTEXAS#25W 27-20969595-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB76TAL74PERF76RET4ONE OWNERn=1 · 7 METRICS · 7 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
MICHAEL PENIX JR.QB SENO SNAPS
★3—9896%+13—
5
DYLAN MORRISQB SERET
★4★3293%-1FELL
7
SAM HUARDQB SERET
★5★361%-42FELL
14
TYSON LANGQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
17
TEDDY PURCELLQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
13
JACKSON JONESQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
16
ANDREW SIRMONQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
13
CAMDYN STIEGELERQB FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
▾RB36TAL68PERF36RET44ROTATIONn=4 · 9 METRICS · 25 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
WAYNE TAULAPAPARB SENO SNAPS
★3—9241%+25—
23
CAM DAVISRB SERET
★4—8935%+6—
24
WILL NIXONRB SENO SNAPS
★3★35910%-18HELD
6
RICHARD NEWTONRB SERET
★3—589%-1—
28
SAM ADAMS IIRB SERET
★4★4455%+12HELD
26
JAY'VEON SUNDAYRB FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
21
AARON DUMASRB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾WR/TE59TAL76PERF59RET90ROTATIONn=8 · 8 METRICS · 50 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
JALEN MCMILLANWR JURET
★4—9927%+24—
1
ROME ODUNZEWR JURET
★4—9827%+26—
2
JA'LYNN POLKWR SORET
★3★39322%+33HELD
37
JACK WESTOVERTE SERET
UNR—9043%+4—
83
DEVIN CULPTE SERET
★3—8537%+9—
5
GILES JACKSONWR SERET
★3★46810%+19ROSE
9
TAJ DAVISWR JURET
★3★36810%+8HELD
88
QUENTIN MOORETE SERET
★3—6317%——
2
LONYATTA ALEXANDER JR.WR JUNO SNAPS
★4—341%——
89
GRIFFIN WAISSTE SERET
UNR★2292%—EMERGED
12
DENZEL BOSTONWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—281%——
29
BRENNAN HOLMESWR SERET
UNR—261%——
30
DAVID PRITCHARDWR JURET
UNR★2261%—EMERGED
19
NICK JURANWR SORET
UNR—221%——
39
ZEKE PELLUERTE SORET
UNR—131%——
87
RYAN OTTONTE JUNO SNAPS
★4—101%——
81
MASON WHEELERWR JURET
★2—100%——
18
CAMDEN SIRMONWR JURET
UNR★270%—EMERGED
35
CADEN JUMPERTE FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
31
SAV'ELL SMALLSTE SERET
★5★300%—FELL
15
JABEZ TINAEWR SORET
★4—00%——
25
JAKE PARNAGIANWR SONO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
84
JACKSON GIROUARDWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
91
JOHN FRAZIERTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL72TAL75PERF72RET0n=6 · 3 METRICS · 17 OBS
▸DL52TAL66PERF53RET89n=9 · 8 METRICS · 52 OBS
▸LB44TAL54PERF44RET53n=6 · 10 METRICS · 30 OBS
▸DB42TAL78PERF42RET80n=11 · 8 METRICS · 57 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
RYAN OTTONHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
TRISTAN DUNNHS RECRUITS★3UNR
PARKER BRAILSFORDHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
LANCE HOLTZCLAWHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
DENZEL BOSTONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JAY GREENHS RECRUITS★3UNR
AUSTIN HARNETIAUXHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
ARMON PARKERHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
JAYVON PARKERHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
JACKSON JONESHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
COOPER MCDONALDSAN DIEGO STATELB★3★3
TERRELL BYNUMUSCWR★3UNR
JACKSON SIRMONCALIFORNIALB★3UNR
MJ TAFISI JR.UTAH STATELB★3UNR
TAKI TAIMANIOREGONDL★4UNR
JACOBE COVINGTONUSCCB★4UNR
MARK REDMANSAN DIEGO STATETE★4★4
KAMARI PLEASANTELIGIBILITY UPRB★3—
LUKE WATTENBERGELIGIBILITY UPOL★4—
PATRICK O'BRIENELIGIBILITY UPQB★4—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#96NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 14 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8332COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST74% BACK74th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG74% BACK74th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR4%4th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST80%80th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE