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HOME›TEAMS›WESTERN KENTUCKY›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
CONFERENCE USA|TYSON HELTON|—RECORD9-5|CONF—
WESTERN KENTUCKY47 FPICUSA · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
42FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
2%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#940 BC / 22
BC RATIO
8%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
8-5ACTUALvs9.5-3.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+12.4
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE54
PERFORMANCE54
TALENT58
CONTINUITY2
DEFENSE49
PERFORMANCE49
TALENT52
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE14 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
37MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 27HAUSTIN PEAY—W 38-27————NON-FBS OPPONENT
1SEP 3AHAWAI'I—W 49-172622+48BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17AINDIANA—L 30-33743131+19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—W 73-03422+48BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1HTROY#19L 27-34356767-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8AUTSA—L 28-31466464-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15AMIDDLE TENNESSEE—W 35-17263232+18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HUAB—W 20-17294747+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29HNORTH TEXAS—L 13-40454444+6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5ACHARLOTTE—W 59-7411010+40BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HRICE—W 45-10281212+38BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19AAUBURN—L 17-41885959-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26AFLORIDA ATLANTIC—W 32-31493131+19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 21ASOUTH ALABAMA—W 44-23377575-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB75TAL90PERF75RET0ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
16
AUSTIN REEDQB SERET
UNR★49997%+25EMERGED
13
DARIUS OCEANQB FRRET
★2★2263%—HELD
10
CADEN VELTKAMPQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★381%—HELD
14
TURNER HELTONQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
▾RB55TAL62PERF55RET35ONE OWNERn=5 · 9 METRICS · 24 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
DAVION ERVIN-POINDEXTERRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—9046%-13—
5
KYE ROBICHAUXRB SERET
UNR★37827%+26EMERGED
4
LT SANDERSRB SENO SNAPS
★3★35812%+34HELD
3
JAKAIRI MOSESRB JURET
★2—518%+4—
30
MARKESE STEPPRB SENO SNAPS
★4★3497%-1FELL
37
ZAVIONE WOODRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE80TAL36PERF77RET62ONE OWNERn=7 · 7 METRICS · 46 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
JAYLEN HALLWR SENO SNAPS
★3—10026%+15—
11
MALACHI CORLEYWR JURET
★2—9823%+37—
7
DAEWOOD DAVISWR SERET
★3★39419%+27HELD
4
MICHAEL MATHISONWR SERET
★2—9419%+8—
17
JOEY BELJANTE SERET
UNR★37751%+46EMERGED
6
JOSHUA SIMONTE SERET
★3★47346%+46ROSE
17
DALVIN SMITHWR SERET
★3—699%+32—
19
CRAIG BURT JR.WR SERET
UNR—341%+37—
2
K.D. HUTCHINSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—311%——
8
EASTON MESSERWR JUNO SNAPS
★2★3281%—ROSE
87
RIVER HELMSTE SERET
★3★3274%—HELD
5
DAKOTA THOMASWR SERET
★3—230%——
23
KENDALL ABDUR-RAHMANWR SORET
★3★3230%—HELD
82
DENZIL ALLEYNEWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—230%——
19
JAVY BUNTONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—230%——
81
DANE SALTARELLITE JURET
★2★200%—HELD
86
TEEJAY TAYLORWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
9
JOSH STERNSWR SORET
★2★200%—HELD
85
TOMI MUSTAPHAWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
12
ALEX WILLIAMSTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
23
JAX COOPERWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL76TAL67PERF76RET0n=7 · 3 METRICS · 20 OBS
▸DL47TAL34PERF47RET75n=8 · 7 METRICS · 46 OBS
▸LB52TAL50PERF52RET65n=9 · 11 METRICS · 50 OBS
▸DB63TAL60PERF63RET63n=14 · 8 METRICS · 75 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CADEN VELTKAMPHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
DARIUS THOMASHS RECRUITS★3UNR
KD HUTCHINSONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
VIRGIL MARSHALLHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
LT SANDERSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
QUINTON HENRYHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ROBERT HARRISHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
KEATON LAWHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
EVAN WIBBERLEYHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
TOM ELLARDHS RECRUITP★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT28 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BEANIE BISHOP JR.MINNESOTACB★2UNR
NOAH WHITTINGTONOREGONRB★3UNR
MARCUS BRAGGAUBURNDE★3UNR
MITCHELL TINSLEYPENN STATEWR★3UNR
MALIK STAPLESELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
DEMETRIUS CAINELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
ADAM COFIELDELIGIBILITY UPRB★2—
OMARI ALEXANDERELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
DEANGELO MALONEELIGIBILITY UPDE★2—
ANTWON KINCADEELIGIBILITY UPDB★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#94NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8256COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
63TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
14
23
8
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED15 OF 63
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST15% BACK15th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG15% BACK15th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST62%62th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE