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HOME›TEAMS›WESTERN KENTUCKY›2024TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
CONFERENCE USA|TYSON HELTON|—RECORD8-6|CONF—
WESTERN KENTUCKY102 FPICUSA · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
23FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
62%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
54%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-9IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1110 BC / 16
BC RATIO
4%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
8-5ACTUALvs6.8-6.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+1.1
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE30
PERFORMANCE30
TALENT46
CONTINUITY62
DEFENSE5
PERFORMANCE5
TALENT54
CONTINUITY54
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE14 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
35MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31AALABAMA#17L 0-631009898-56BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HEASTERN KENTUCKY—W 31-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 14AMIDDLE TENNESSEE—W 49-211922+40BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HTOLEDO—W 26-21374141+1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28ABOSTON COLLEGE—L 20-21584848-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 10HUTEP—W 44-171233+39BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 16ASAM HOUSTON—W 31-14182727+15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10OCT 30HKENNESAW STATE—W 31-14522+40BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9ANEW MEXICO STATE—W 41-28777+35BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HLOUISIANA TECH—L 7-12261818+24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23ALIBERTY—L 21-38374747-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HJACKSONVILLE STATE—W 19-1784545-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
15DEC 6AJACKSONVILLE STATE—L 12-5284545-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 18AJAMES MADISON—L 17-27137070-28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB19TAL21PERF19RET84ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
CADEN VELTKAMPQB SERET
★3★39284%+36HELD
2
TJ FINLEYQB JUPORTAL · TEXAS STATE
★3★36016%+14HELD
14
TURNER HELTONQB SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
11
TUCKER PARKSQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
16
RODNEY TISDALE JR.QB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB43TAL73PERF44RET79ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 16 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
ELIJAH YOUNGRB SERET
★3—9872%+9—
9
GEORGE HART IIIRB SEPORTAL · ARIZONA STATE
UNR—7119%-39—
4
LT SANDERSRB SERET
★3★3527%+14HELD
23
JALEN HAMPTONRB SEPORTAL · ELON
★3★3252%+30HELD
27
COREY LANDERSRB SORET
UNR—00%——
28
JAVON MCMAHANRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
26
DONOVAN JONESRB FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
▾WR/TE45TAL45PERF46RET64ONE OWNERn=9 · 8 METRICS · 54 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
KISEAN JOHNSONWR SEPORTAL · ALABAMA STATE
UNR★310030%+17EMERGED
8
EASTON MESSERWR SERET
★2★39322%+21ROSE
17
DALVIN SMITHWR SERET
★3—8618%+14—
87
RIVER HELMSTE SERET
★3★38445%+23HELD
81
NOAH MEYERSTE JURET
UNR★37836%-16EMERGED
4
MICHAEL MATHISONWR SERET
★2—7311%-13—
2
K.D. HUTCHINSONWR SERET
★3—616%+25—
5
BRYCE CHILDRESSWR SEPORTAL · TROY
★3★3595%+23HELD
86
TREVOR BORLANDTE SERET
★2★25715%-41HELD
8
MOUSSA BARRYWR SERET
UNR—564%-15—
6
DEMICK STARLINGWR SENO SNAPS
★3★3462%-33HELD
5
KOY MOOREWR SENO SNAPS
★4★3361%-4FELL
88
AIDEN MILLERTE JURET
UNR—242%——
89
C.J. KISSTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—191%——
4
CAMERON FLOWERSWR SONO SNAPS
★3—180%——
15
ELVIN FOFANAHTE SERET
UNR—171%——
19
JAVY BUNTONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
19
LOFTON HOWARDTE JURET
UNR—00%——
14
WILLIE TAGGART JR.WR JURET
UNR—00%——
23
JAX COOPERWR SORET
UNR—00%——
82
DENZIL ALLEYNEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
26
JARVIS HAYESWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
22
JUSTIN BROWNWR JUPORTAL · GEORGIA TECH
UNR★300%—EMERGED
24
DALLEN PONDERWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
2
JAYLEN HAMPTONWR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
82
JALEEL WALKERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
18
MARVIN SIMSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
12
DAMARI JEFFERSONWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL54TAL49PERF54RET63n=6 · 3 METRICS · 17 OBS
▸DL26TAL74PERF26RET88n=9 · 7 METRICS · 44 OBS
▸LB30TAL27PERF30RET70n=7 · 11 METRICS · 54 OBS
▸DB53TAL58PERF53RET21n=9 · 8 METRICS · 46 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS11 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHUKWUNEDU OKEKEHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
CAMERON FLOWERSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HARPER HOLLOMANHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
XAVION GRIFFINHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JAYLEN HAMPTONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
TUCKER PARKSHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
TATE TITSHAWHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
ZACKARIAH SIMMONS-BROWNHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
GABRIEL ARNOLDHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
ELIJAH REALZOLAHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN14 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KISEAN JOHNSONALABAMA STATEWRUNR★3
TJ FINLEYTEXAS STATEQB★3★3
DEVONTE' MATHEWSNICHOLLSCB★2★3
JALIL RIVERA-HARVEYMARSHALLDLUNR★3
STACEY WILKINSUL MONROEOT★4★3
KEYSHAWN SWANSONTROYS★3★3
DEMARKO WILLIAMSOLE MISSS★3★3
KENT ROBINSONTEXAS A&MCBUNR★3
TERREANCE ELLISALCORN STATELBUNR★3
ZACH EDWARDSTROYDL★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT35 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
VINCENT MURPHYTULANEOL★3★3
WES DORSEYUCFOL★3★2
KENDRICK SIMPKINSBAYLORS★3★3
TALIQUE ALLENSE LOUISIANADB★3★3
DESMYN BAKERSOUTHERN MISSLBUNR★2
AARON KEYUCONNLB★3★3
JAQUES EVANSBAYLORLB★3★3
JIMMY HOLIDAYLOUISIANA TECHWR★3★3
RYAN WILLIAMSMISSOURI STATEDL★3UNR
DAREON GOODRUMMURRAY STATEDTUNRUNR
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES52%5 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS50%9 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#111NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 16 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8350COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
2029 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
73TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
15
14
24
9
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED33 OF 73
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST34% BACK34th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG34% BACK34th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR63%63th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR84%84th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST21%21th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE