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HOME›TEAMS›WESTERN MICHIGAN›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|TIM LESTER|—RECORD4-2|CONF—
WESTERN MICHIGAN82 FPIMAC · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
28FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#860 BC / 21
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
4-2ACTUALvs3.7-2.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+7.5
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE6 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
20MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
10NOV 4AAKRON—W 58-131022+47BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HTOLEDO—W 41-38303434+15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18ACENTRAL MICHIGAN—W 52-44234040+9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 28HNORTHERN ILLINOIS—W 30-271466+43BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 5HEASTERN MICHIGAN—L 42-53101212+37BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
15DEC 12ABALL STATE#23L 27-30132626+23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
KALEB ELEBYQB SORET
UNR—00%——
11
NICK KARGMANQB SERET
★3—00%——
4
CHRIS RIDDLEQB JURET
UNR—00%——
10
GRIFFIN ALSTOTTQB JURET
★3—00%——
6
JACK SALOPEKQB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET17NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
LA'DARIUS JEFFERSONRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
32
TRAE ALLENRB SERET
UNR—00%——
7
JAXSON KINCAIDERB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
2
SEAN TYLERRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
25
CHRISTIAN SINGLETONRB FRRET
★3—00%——
RA'SEAN DAVIERB SERET
UNR—00%——
8
KENTRELL BECKRB FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
JAYLEN HALLWR SERET
★3—00%——
1
D'WAYNE ESKRIDGEWR SERET
★3—00%——
83
LUKE SANDERSTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
89
BRETT BORSKETE SERET
★3—00%——
4
COREY CROOMS JR.WR SERET
★3—00%——
24
SKYY MOOREWR SORET
★3—00%——
5
ANTHONY SAMBUCCIWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
19
BRANDON HINDSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
JARET CURTISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
WADE BUCKMANTE SERET
UNR—00%——
80
RYAN LEZZERWR JURET
★2★200%—HELD
38
TANNER MATHIASTE JURET
★2—00%——
2
CAM COOPERWR JURET
UNR—00%——
88
ANTHONY TORRESTE SERET
★3—00%——
87
MITCH BARTOLTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
10
KAEVION MACKWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
14
DONAVON GREENHOWWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
17
HAYDEN MIKESELLTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
40
JAMES PHILLIPSTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
12
LUCAS STRADFORDWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
13
TARIK WILLIAMSWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
37
MIGUEL ZYNIEWICZWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
22
KEVIN MECKERTTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS21 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
LOGAN WILSONHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
RONALD PLEDGERHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
KAEVION MACKHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
RYAN KILBURGHS RECRUITS★3UNR
ESTON MILESHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
JACK SALOPEKHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
KYLE ARNOLDIHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
GIACOMO IRACIHS RECRUITS★3UNR
TYLER FLETCHERHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JAMES PHILLIPSHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT19 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KMARE CAREYEASTERN KENTUCKYS★3UNR
TYRON ARNETTCHATTANOOGAWR★3UNR
TIMOTHY COLLINSELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
ANTONIO BALABANIELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
GIOVANNI RICCIELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
KEITH MIXON JR.ELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
ALEX MUSSATELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
NAJEE CLAYTONELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
STEFAN CLAIBORNEELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
DRAKE SPEARSELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#86NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8239COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
63TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
14
23
8
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED15 OF 63
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST22% BACK22th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG22% BACK22th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE