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HOME›TEAMS›WESTERN MICHIGAN›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|TIM LESTER|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
WESTERN MICHIGAN113 FPIMAC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
31FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
13%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1050 BC / 14
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs4.4-7.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-5.1
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE3
PERFORMANCE3
TALENT32
CONTINUITY13
DEFENSE35
PERFORMANCE35
TALENT55
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
29MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2AMICHIGAN STATE—L 13-35764949-41BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10ABALL STATE—W 37-30131313-5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17HPITTSBURGH#22L 13-34687070-62BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24ASAN JOSÉ STATE—L 6-34253737-29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1HNEW HAMPSHIRE—W 44-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
6OCT 8HEASTERN MICHIGAN—L 23-45203131-23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HOHIO—L 14-33153535-27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22AMIAMI (OH)—W 16-10202121-13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2ABOWLING GREEN—L 9-132377+1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HNORTHERN ILLINOIS—L 21-242166+2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16ACENTRAL MICHIGAN—W 12-10181515-7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HTOLEDO—W 20-14433838-30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB17TAL52PERF17RET65ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 15 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
JACK SALOPEKQB SORET
★3★37365%-41HELD
10
TREYSON BOURGUETQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★36233%-49HELD
14
STONE HOLLENBACHQB JUNO SNAPS
★2★2112%—HELD
16
MARK KONECNYQB JUNO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
▾RB23TAL76PERF23RET97ONE OWNERn=3 · 5 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
SEAN TYLERRB SERET
★3★39260%+21HELD
3
LA'DARIUS JEFFERSONRB SERET
★3—6822%-12—
10
ZAHIR ABDUS-SALAAMRB SERET
★3—5713%-53—
6
JALEN BUCKLEYRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—283%——
32
TRAE ALLENRB SERET
UNR—191%-54—
8
KENTRELL BECKRB FRRET
★2—00%——
28
JAMAL HAILEYRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾WR/TE34TAL30PERF33RET38ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 36 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
COREY CROOMS JR.WR SERET
★3—9733%+18—
JEHLANI GALLOWAYWR SENO SNAPS
★3—8725%-27—
5
ANTHONY SAMBUCCIWR SERET
★3—8523%+35—
86
BLAKE BOSMATE SENO SNAPS
UNR—8047%-18—
87
MITCH BARTOLTE JURET
★3—6628%——
85
JOSHUA BURGETTTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—6124%——
17
MALIQUE DIEUDONNEWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—556%-41—
10
KAEVION MACKWR SERET
★3★3515%-59HELD
1
A.J. ABBOTTWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—504%——
17
NATE ANDERSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★3494%—HELD
13
HENRY WILSON JR.WR SORET
★3—201%——
84
KADINN MORRISTE SENO SNAPS
★3★371%—HELD
88
AUSTIN HENCETE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
7
MAREYOHN HRABOWSKITE SERET
★3—00%——
22
KEVIN MECKERTTE SORET
UNR—00%——
35
CORY CUNNINGHAMWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
12
TYREN MASONWR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
23
JASHAWN JOHNSONWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
80
CAM HEDGECOCKWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
ELLIOTT GRASHUISWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
WILLIE BERRISWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
42
ISIAH WASHINGTONWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL27TAL24PERF27RET17n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL46TAL87PERF46RET72n=8 · 7 METRICS · 35 OBS
▸LB37TAL44PERF37RET95n=4 · 11 METRICS · 33 OBS
▸DB35TAL37PERF35RET93n=6 · 8 METRICS · 36 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHRISTIAN RAPLEYHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
TAG BONNEMAHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
TREYSON BOURGUETHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
SAVEON BROWNHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JAMAL HAILEYHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
ISAIAH STREETHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
NATE ANDERSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JASHAWN JOHNSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
TREVOR SHAWHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
DILLON MOOREHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT17 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ANTHONY TORRESTOLEDOTE★3UNR
JAYLEN HALLWESTERN KENTUCKYWR★3UNR
JAXSON KINCAIDEELIGIBILITY UPRB★2—
KAINOA FUIAVAELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
MIKE CALIENDOELIGIBILITY UPG★3—
BRETT BORSKEELIGIBILITY UPTE★3—
KEN AGUIRREELIGIBILITY UPDL★2—
CALIN CRAWFORDELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
A.J. THOMASELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
RALPH HOLLEYELIGIBILITY UPDT★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#105NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 14 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8187COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
63TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
14
23
8
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED15 OF 63
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST40% BACK40th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG40% BACK40th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR17%17th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR65%65th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST93%93th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE