SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›WYOMING›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|CRAIG BOHL|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
WYOMING88 FPIMWC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
16FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1260 BC / 21
BC RATIO
2%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
6-6ACTUALvs5.6-6.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-1.3
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
49MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 25ANEW MEXICO STATE—W 29-7855+43BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
1SEP 1HWASHINGTON STATE#10L 19-41567676-28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8AMISSOURI—L 13-40679191-43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15HWOFFORD—W 17-14————NON-FBS OPPONENT
5SEP 29HBOISE STATE#23L 14-34537979-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6AHAWAI'I—L 13-17132121+27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13AFRESNO STATE#18L 3-27428888-40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20HUTAH STATE#22L 16-24268585-37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26ACOLORADO STATE—W 34-21462222+26BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3HSAN JOSÉ STATE—W 24-9361212+36BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HAIR FORCE—W 35-2773535+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24ANEW MEXICO—W 31-3332424+24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET22NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
NICK SMITHQB SERET
UNR—00%——
18
TYLER VANDER WAALQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
10
SEAN CHAMBERSQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET4NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
22
NICO EVANSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
24
BRETT BRENTONRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
1
XAZAVIAN VALLADAYRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
28
JEVON BIGELOWRB SERET
UNR★200%—EMERGED
29
KELLEN OVERSTREETRB JURET
UNR—00%——
45
JAYLON WATSONFB SERET
UNR—00%——
54
AUSTIN LOPEZFB JURET
UNR—00%——
32
JAHMARI MOOREFB SERET
★2—00%——
34
JEFF BURROUGHSFB SERET
UNR—00%——
35
SKYLER MILLERFB SERET
UNR—00%——
6
TREY WOODSRB SORET
UNR—00%——
28
THEO DAWSONRB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
33
JOSH HARSHMANTE SERET
UNR—00%——
17
RAGHIB ISMAIL JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
25
AUSTIN CONWAYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
13
JOHN OKWOLIWR SERET
★3—00%——
81
AUSTIN FORTTE SERET
UNR—00%——
85
TYREE MAYFIELDTE SERET
UNR—00%——
80
JAMES PRICEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
11
AVANTE COXWR SERET
★2—00%——
2
JARED SCOTTWR SORET
★3—00%——
8
DONTAE CROWWR SERET
UNR—00%——
19
AYDEN EBERHARDTWR SERET
★2—00%——
16
GUNNER GENTRYWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
14
C.J. JOHNSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
NATE WEINMANTE JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
39
JUSTYN STINDTWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
9
ISAAC LEPPKEWR —RET
★2—00%——
83
MASON KEELERTE —RET
UNR—00%——
88
CAMRON DONATLANWR —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS21 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SEAN CHAMBERSHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
CHAD MUMAHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JAXON BOLEYHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
DE'VAUGHN BROWNHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JA'LANI ELLISONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
CAMRON DONATLANHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
MILES WILLIAMSHS RECRUITCB★2UNR
JACKSON MARCOTTEHS RECRUITTE★2UNR
GUNNER GENTRYHS RECRUITWR★2UNR
REOW JACKSONHS RECRUITATH★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT12 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JOSH ALLENNFL DRAFT R1QBUNR—
DALTON FIELDSNOT LISTEDGUNR—
TIM KAMANANOT LISTED?UNR—
JALEN ORTIZNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
DREW VAN MAANENNOT LISTEDFBUNR—
RYAN CUMMINGSNOT LISTEDOTUNR—
ROBERT PRIESTERNOT LISTEDCBUNR—
COLE TURNERNOT LISTEDGUNR—
MILO HALLNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
RICO GAFFORDNOT LISTEDCBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#126NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7801COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
34TEAMS
MATCHED THIS
+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
7
6
6
9
6
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +1.8 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED15 OF 34
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST61% BACK61th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG61% BACK61th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR22%22th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE