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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|JAY SAWVEL|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
WYOMING110 FPIMWC · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
15FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
75%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
38%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-5IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#890 BC / 24
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
4-8ACTUALvs4.3-7.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-4.5
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE6
PERFORMANCE6
TALENT32
CONTINUITY75
DEFENSE66
PERFORMANCE66
TALENT41
CONTINUITY38
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
41MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 28AAKRON—W 10-0251414+5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 6HNORTHERN IOWA—W 31-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 13HUTAH#14L 6-31699595-76BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 20ACOLORADO—L 20-37793030-11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 4HUNLV—L 17-31645959-40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11HSAN JOSÉ STATE—W 35-28211313+6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18AAIR FORCE—L 21-2404141-22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 25HCOLORADO STATE—W 28-03499+10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1ASAN DIEGO STATE—L 7-24386969-50BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15AFRESNO STATE—L 3-24355151-32BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22HNEVADA—L 7-13141515+4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29AHAWAI'I—L 7-27135050-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB43TAL47PERF43RET87ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
KADEN ANDERSONQB SORET
★3★38587%-32HELD
7
MASON DRUBEQB FRTRUE FR
★3—5311%-46—
14
LANDON SIMSQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—252%——
15
GAGE BROOKQB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾RB40TAL37PERF40RET32ROTATIONn=4 · 5 METRICS · 16 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
SAMUEL HARRISRB SONO SNAPS
★3—8336%+20—
22
SAM SCOTTRB SERET
★3—8032%-22—
11
TERRON KELLMANRB SEPORTAL · CHARLOTTE
★3★36819%+5HELD
24
MAX WHITERB SEPORTAL · IOWA
UNR★3528%-57EMERGED
4
DAMASHJA HARRISRB SEPORTAL · NORTH TEXAS
UNR★3445%+32EMERGED
28
NIKOS VARELASRB JURET
UNR—00%——
21
NICO HAMILTONRB SORET
★3—00%——
27
DONTAE BURCHRB SORET
UNR—00%——
20
JADEN LAWRENCERB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
28
PATRICK BROADWAY IIRB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
▾WR/TE29TAL26PERF29RET65ROTATIONn=8 · 7 METRICS · 50 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
84
JOHN MICHAEL GYLLENBORGTE SERET
★3—8537%+42—
8
JAYLEN SARGENTWR SERET
★3—8322%+24—
86
EVAN SVOBODATE SERET
UNR—8234%+11—
13
CHRIS DURR JR.WR JURET
★3★37919%+26HELD
11
MICHAEL FITZGERALDWR SENO SNAPS
★3★37617%+28HELD
9
JACKSON HOLMANWR JUPORTAL · ARIZONA
★3★36811%-32HELD
2
ERIC RICHARDSONWR SEPORTAL · NORTHWEST MISSOURI ST
UNR—6711%-38—
80
JUSTIN ERBTE SERET
UNR—6415%——
3
DEION DEBLANCWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—628%-45—
87
ISAAC SCHOENFELDTE SERET
★2—559%——
12
BRICEN BRANTLEYWR JURET
UNR—514%——
19
CHARLIE COENENWR SERET
UNR—504%——
83
KYLE FRENDTTE SONO SNAPS
★3—496%——
6
JAYLAN BEANWR JURET
UNR—443%——
85
CLAY NANKEWR SERET
★3★3321%—HELD
89
JAKE WILSONTE SORET
★3—00%——
23
TYLER NYSTROMWR SORET
★3—00%——
88
LANDON PACETE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
44
TYLER HAMPTONTE SERET
★3—00%——
81
PIERRE JACKSONWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
16
KE'LYN WASHOMWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▸OL37TAL31PERF38RET90n=8 · 3 METRICS · 19 OBS
▸DL34TAL36PERF34RET47n=11 · 8 METRICS · 58 OBS
▸LB33TAL32PERF33RET38n=4 · 10 METRICS · 32 OBS
▸DB47TAL47PERF47RET41n=9 · 6 METRICS · 46 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MASON DRUBEHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
DEION DEBLANCHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
LANDON PACEHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
KALVIN JANSSENHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
COOPER LAWSONHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
SAMUEL HARRISHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
KAIDEN KIMBLE-TURNERHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JOHNATHAN BUSHHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
AXEL RAMAZANIHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
KE'LYN WASHOMHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN5 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ENOCK SIBOMANANORTH DAKOTA STATESUNR★3
CHISOM IFEANYIFLORIDA ATLANTICEDGEUNR★3
DAMASHJA HARRISNORTH TEXASRBUNR★3
JACKSON HOLMANARIZONAWR★3★3
TERRON KELLMANCHARLOTTERB★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT36 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
WROOK BROWNHOUSTONDB★3★3
KEANY PARKSHOUSTONDB★3★3
SABASTIAN HARSHNC STATEDEUNR★3
BRADEN SIDERSWEST VIRGINIALB★2★3
ETHAN DAYNORTH TEXASDEUNR★3
TK KINGNEW MEXICO STATEWR★3UNR
HARRISON WAYLEEVIRGINIARB★3★3
READ SUNNEASTERN WASHINGTONLBUNRUNR
DAWAIIAN MCNEELYVALPARAISORB★3★3
JADEN WILLIAMSKENTUCKYDL★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES50%8 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS44%11 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#89NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8278COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1722 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST88% BACK88th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG88% BACK88th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR90%90th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR87%87th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST41%41th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE