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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|TERRY BOWDEN|—RECORD7-6|CONF—
AKRON105 FPIMAC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
22FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1310 BC / 21
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
7-6ACTUALvs5.7-7.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-2.7
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
43MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2APENN STATE#8L 0-52869696-89BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF—W 52-3————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 16HIOWA STATE—L 14-41586666-59BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23ATROY—L 17-22264949-42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30ABOWLING GREEN—W 34-23272121-14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HBALL STATE—W 31-31455+2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15AWESTERN MICHIGAN—W 14-13383939-32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21ATOLEDO—L 21-48296565-58BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HBUFFALO—W 21-20121717-10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 7AMIAMI (OH)—L 14-24374040-33BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 14HOHIO—W 37-34155353-46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 21HKENT STATE—W 24-141033+4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 2ATOLEDO—L 28-45296565-58BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
KATO NELSONQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
10
ROBBIE KELLEYQB SERET
UNR—00%——
4
THOMAS WOODSONQB —RET
UNR—00%——
5
TRA'VON CHAPMANQB —RET
UNR—00%——
12
ALEX RAMARTQB SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET83NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
34
WARREN BALLRB —RET
UNR—00%——
9
MANNY MORGANRB —RET
UNR—00%——
7
VAN EDWARDS JR.RB SERET
UNR—00%——
4
DELTRON SANDSRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
30
CHUCK TURFERB JURET
UNR—00%——
28
JEMARULIN SUGGSRB FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
25
CALEB GREENRB SERET
UNR—00%——
32
KEYONDRE WHITERB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
43
AUSTIN GILLISPIERB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
7
VAN EDWARDS, JR.RB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
36
KOBIE BOOKERTE SORET
UNR—00%——
83
DE'VON JONESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
14
DUSTIN BURKHARTWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
2
NATE STEWARTWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
17
ANDRE WILLIAMSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
AUSTIN WOLFWR —RET
UNR—00%——
17
ANTHONY YOUNGWR —RET
UNR—00%——
8
KEVIN GLADNEYWR —RET
UNR—00%——
11
A.J. CONEYWR —RET
UNR—00%——
21
FRANSOHN BICKLEYWR —RET
UNR—00%——
6
NICK JOHNSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
35
NEWMAN WILLIAMSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
45
BRANDON JUNKTE SERET
UNR—00%——
3
KWADARRIUS SMITHWR SERET
UNR—00%——
2
MYKEL TRAYLOR-BENNETTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
13
DARRYL LONGTE SERET
UNR—00%——
28
JAQUAVIS DIXONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
80
M.J. MCGRIFFWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
11
JONAH MORRISWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
18
MALIK WOOLDRIDGEWR FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
81
BRANDON MITCHELLWR —RET
UNR—00%——
39
JASON GROSSMANWR —RET
UNR—00%——
TONY JONES IIWR —RET
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS21 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JEFFREY LUBINHS RECRUITCB★2UNR
ALEX RAMARTHS RECRUITPRO★2UNR
REGGIE CORNERHS RECRUITOLB★2UNR
TRACY JORDANHS RECRUITSDE★2UNR
WILL BARTOHS RECRUITOLB★2UNR
RONALD BEASLEYHS RECRUITOC★2UNR
DEANDRE BRIMAGEHS RECRUITSDE★2UNR
JEMARULIN SUGGSHS RECRUITRB★2UNR
MARCUS KIDDHS RECRUITOT★2UNR
JORDYN RILEYHS RECRUITATH★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT16 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JELANI HAMILTONNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
LARRY HOPENOT LISTEDDBUNR—
BRYCE JONESNOT LISTEDDB★2—
TYRELL GOODMANNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
JOHN RACHALNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
DEANDRE SCOTTNOT LISTEDCBUNR—
JAMES TURNERNOT LISTEDSUNR—
JAMAL MARCUSNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
SE'VON PITTMANNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
DAUMANTAS VENCKUSNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#131NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7691COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
27TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
2
6
10
5
4
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-4 TO +8 W
IMPROVED9 OF 27
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST73% BACK73th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG73% BACK73th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE