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● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|TERRY BOWDEN|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
AKRON108 FPIMAC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
20FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1270 BC / 14
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
4-8ACTUALvs3.6-8.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN-8.3
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
38MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
2SEP 8HMORGAN STATE—W 41-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 15ANORTHWESTERN#21W 39-34694848-40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22AIOWA STATE—L 13-26637171-63BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6HMIAMI (OH)—L 17-41353939-31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13ABUFFALO—L 6-24233737-29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20AKENT STATE—W 24-231844+4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27HCENTRAL MICHIGAN—W 17-103466+2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1HNORTHERN ILLINOIS—L 26-36373232-24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10AEASTERN MICHIGAN—L 7-27143434-26BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HBOWLING GREEN—L 6-212533+5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23AOHIO—L 28-49155959-51BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 1ASOUTH CAROLINA—L 3-28858585-77BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET31NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
KATO NELSONQB SERET
★3—00%——
12
ALEX RAMARTQB SORET
★2—00%——
10
ROBBIE KELLEYQB SERET
UNR—00%——
38
DREW HODGSONQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
T.J. DESHIELDSQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET40NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
22
DEVANIER FLOYDRB FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
7
VAN EDWARDS JR.RB SERET
UNR—00%——
4
DELTRON SANDSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
30
CHUCK TURFERB JURET
UNR—00%——
28
JEMARULIN SUGGSRB FRRET
★2—00%——
25
CALEB GREENRB SERET
UNR—00%——
32
KEYONDRE WHITERB JURET
UNR—00%——
MYKEL BENNETTRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
43
AUSTIN GILLISPIERB SERET
UNR—00%——
7
VAN EDWARDS, JR.RB —RET
UNR—00%——
13
ABRAHAM ALCERB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
BOOGIE KNIGHTWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
DAISHAWN BRIMAGEWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
28
JAQUAVIS DIXONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
83
DE'VON JONESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
14
DUSTIN BURKHARTWR JURET
★2—00%——
2
NATE STEWARTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
24
MAVERICK WOLFLEYTE SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
17
ANDRE WILLIAMSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
11
JONAH MORRISWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
2
MYKEL TRAYLOR-BENNETTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
35
NEWMAN WILLIAMSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
45
BRANDON JUNKTE SERET
UNR—00%——
3
KWADARRIUS SMITHWR SERET
UNR—00%——
80
M.J. MCGRIFFWR SERET
★2—00%——
18
MALIK WOOLDRIDGEWR FRRET
★2—00%——
13
DARRYL LONGTE SERET
UNR—00%——
6
NICK JOHNSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
85
TREVON RICHARDSONWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
TIMOTHY SCIPPIOWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
81
BRANDON LEEWR SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
81
BRANDON MITCHELLWR —RET
UNR—00%——
84
KENYATIS LEWIS, JR.WR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
39
JASON GROSSMANWR —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KEYONDRE WHITEHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
ABRAHAM ALCEHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
DEVIN JORDANHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JALEN HOOKSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
R.J. KELLYHS RECRUITOG★2UNR
TIMOTHY SCIPPIOHS RECRUITWR★2UNR
RICH HALLHS RECRUITCB★2UNR
TREON SIBLEYHS RECRUITWR★2UNR
BEN PHILLISHS RECRUITOT★2UNR
DEVANIER FLOYDHS RECRUITRB★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT20 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TRAVONTE JUNIUSELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
WARREN BALLNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
KOBIE BOOKERNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
MIKEE HAYESNOT LISTEDCBUNR—
MICHAEL KISHNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
DEON'TAE MOORENOT LISTEDDEUNR—
MANNY MORGANNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
AUSTIN WOLFNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
THOMAS WOODSONNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
ANTHONY YOUNGNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#127NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 14 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7932COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
73TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
15
14
24
9
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED33 OF 73
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST38% BACK38th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG38% BACK38th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR31%31th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE