SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›ALABAMA›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
SEC|NICK SABAN|—RECORD12-1|CONF—
ALABAMA#2 AP 2 FPISEC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
100FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-7IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#124 BC / 26
BC RATIO
84%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
12-1ACTUALvs11.1-1.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+22.3
12 wins against a scoring profile describing 11.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
69MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4AMIAMI—W 44-13917676+22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HMERCER—W 48-14————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 18AFLORIDA—W 31-29947878+20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25HSOUTHERN MISS—W 63-14391111+87BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2HOLE MISS#11W 42-21818888+10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9ATEXAS A&M—L 38-41969696+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16AMISSISSIPPI STATE—W 49-9807474+24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23HTENNESSEE—W 52-24879393+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6HLSU—W 20-14975050+48BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HNEW MEXICO STATE—W 59-3622+96BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20HARKANSAS#21W 42-35808484+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27AAUBURN—W 24-22917878+20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 4HGEORGIA#1W 41-2499100100-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET5NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
PAUL TYSONQB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
7
BRAXTON BARKERQB JURET
★2—00%——
9
BRYCE YOUNGQB JURET
★4—00%——
4
JALEN MILROEQB JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
14
STONE HOLLENBACHQB JURET
★2★200%—HELD
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET39NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
BRIAN ROBINSON JR.RB SERET
★4—00%——
2
TREY SANDERSRB SERET
★5★300%—FELL
2
JASE MCCLELLANRB SERET
★4—00%——
5
ROYDELL WILLIAMSRB SERET
★5★400%—FELL
27
KYLE EDWARDSRB SORET
★3★300%——
27
JONATHAN BENNETTRB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
JOHN METCHIEWR JURET
★4—00%——
9
JAHLEEL BILLINGSLEYTE SERET
★4—00%——
15
AGIYE HALLWR SONO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
18
SLADE BOLDENWR JURET
★3—00%——
81
CAMERON LATUTE SERET
★4—00%——
6
JAMESON WILLIAMSWR SOPORTAL · OHIO STATE
★4★300%—FELL
1
TRAESHON HOLDENWR SERET
★4★400%—HELD
14
THAIU JONES-BELLWR JURET
★4★400%—HELD
1
JAVON BAKERWR SERET
★4—00%——
1
JA'COREY BROOKSWR SENO SNAPS
★5★400%—FELL
11
JOJO EARLEWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
1
CHRISTIAN LEARYWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
45
ROBBIE OUZTSTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
88
MAJOR TENNISONTE SERET
★4—00%——
3
XAVIER WILLIAMSWR JURET
★4★400%—HELD
83
RICHARD HUNTTE SORET
UNR—00%——
89
GRANT KRIEGERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
46
MELVIN BILLINGSLEYTE SERET
UNR—00%——
31
SHATARIUS WILLIAMSWR SORET
UNR—00%——
32
C.J. WILLIAMSWR SORET
★4—00%——
36
BRET BOLINWR SERET
UNR—00%——
43
ROBERT ELLISTE SERET
UNR—00%——
44
CHARLIE SKEHANTE FRRET
UNR—00%——
37
SAM WILLOUGHBYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
7
JA'COREY BROOKSWR FRTRUE FR
★5—00%——
17
CADEN CLARKTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
30
JACOBY BOYKINSWR SONO SNAPS
UNR★200%—EMERGED
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JC LATHAMHS RECRUITOT★5UNR
TOMMY BROCKERMEYERHS RECRUITOT★5UNR
DALLAS TURNERHS RECRUITEDGE★5UNR
KOOL-AID MCKINSTRYHS RECRUITCB★5UNR
DAMON PAYNEHS RECRUITDL★5UNR
JA'COREY BROOKSHS RECRUITWR★5UNR
CAMAR WHEATONHS RECRUITRB★5UNR
AGIYE HALLHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
JOJO EARLEHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
TERRION ARNOLDHS RECRUITS★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN1 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
HENRY TO'O TO'OTENNESSEELBUNR★4
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT14 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ALE KAHOUCLALB★4★3
RONALD WILLIAMSMICHIGAN STATECBUNR★4
BEN DAVISTEXASLB★5★3
LANDON DICKERSONNFL DRAFT R2OL★4—
NAJEE HARRISNFL DRAFT R1RB★5—
DEVONTA SMITHNFL DRAFT R1WR★4—
MAC JONESNFL DRAFT R1QB★3—
PATRICK SURTAIN IINFL DRAFT R1DB★5—
JAYLEN WADDLENFL DRAFT R1WR★4—
CHRISTIAN BARMORENFL DRAFT R2DL★4—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#1NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
24OF 26 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9529COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
411 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST26% BACK26th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG26% BACK26th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR5%5th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE