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HOME›TEAMS›APP STATE›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
SUN BELT|SCOTT SATTERFIELD|—RECORD10-2|CONF—
APP STATE45 FPISBC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
20FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1130 BC / 24
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
10-2ACTUALvs10.6-1.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+21.0
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
29MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1APENN STATE#17L 38-45928989-11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8ACHARLOTTE—W 45-91199+69BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22HGARDNER-WEBB—W 72-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
5SEP 29HSOUTH ALABAMA—W 52-7301010+68BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 9AARKANSAS STATE—W 35-9384545+33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20HLOUISIANA—W 27-17262828+50BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 25AGEORGIA SOUTHERN—L 14-34103333+45BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3ACOASTAL CAROLINA—W 23-791111+67BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10ATEXAS STATE—W 38-791212+66BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HGEORGIA STATE—W 45-173144+74BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HTROY—W 21-10185353+25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 1HLOUISIANA—W 30-19262828+50BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET3NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
ZEB SPEIRQB JURET
UNR—00%——
8
JACOB HUESMANQB SERET
★2—00%——
12
ZAC THOMASQB SERET
★2—00%——
13
PEYTON DERRICKQB SERET
★2—00%——
10
TANNER WILSONQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
9
JACKSON GIBBSQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
STEPHON BROWNQB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET82NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
DARRYNTON EVANSRB JURET
★2—00%——
MARCUS WILLIAMS JR.RB SERET
UNR—00%——
25
JALIN MOORERB SERET
UNR—00%——
22
D'ANDRE HICKSRB FRRET
★3—00%——
27
DEMARCUS HARPERRB SORET
UNR—00%——
MARC. WILLIAMSRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
6
CAMERUN PEOPLESRB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
4
DAETRICH HARRINGTONRB SERET
★3—00%——
45
GABE MONTGOMERYRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
27
NAKENDRICK CLARKRB SERET
★2—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
COREY SUTTONWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
20
A'DARIUS PURIFOYWR SORET
★2—00%——
18
BRAD ABSHERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
4
DOMINIQUE HEATHWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
DEVIN PAPENHEIMTE JURET
UNR—00%——
87
COLLIN REEDTE SERET
UNR—00%——
88
HENRY PEARSONTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
11
JALEN VIRGILWR SERET
★2—00%——
5
THOMAS HENNIGANWR SERET
★3—00%——
14
MALIK WILLIAMSWR SERET
★3—00%——
15
MOCK ADAMSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
83
JAKE HENRYWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
21
MICHAEL QUEENWR SERET
UNR—00%——
18
MIKE EVANSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
17
TREVION MCCOLLUMWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
BRADEN COLLINSWR —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
2
COREY SUTTONWR —RET
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRADEN COLLINSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JAY PERSONHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
HARRISON TAYLORHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
TREY ROSSHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
ZAREON HAYESHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
STEPHON BROWNHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
BROCK MATTISONHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
HENRY PEARSONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
ANDERSON HARDYHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
TREY COBBHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT20 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EDWARD DAVISEAST TENNESSEE STATEILBUNRUNR
ANTONIOUS SIMSNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
LEVI DUFFIELDNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
CALEB FULLERNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
DANTE JONESNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
TAYLOR LAMBNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
BEAU NUNNNOT LISTEDOLUNR—
BRANDON PINCKNEYNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
RASHAAD TOWNESNOT LISTEDOLBUNR—
TERRENCE UPSHAWNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#113NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7904COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
73TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
15
14
24
9
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED33 OF 73
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST46% BACK46th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG46% BACK46th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR3%3th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE