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HOME›TEAMS›APP STATE›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
SUN BELT|SHAWN CLARK|—RECORD8-3|CONF—
APP STATE39 FPISBC · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
26FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#830 BC / 20
BC RATIO
1%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
8-3ACTUALvs8.4-2.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+12.5
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE11 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
43MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
2SEP 12HCHARLOTTE—W 35-20412626+53BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 19AMARSHALL—L 7-17357878+1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 26HCAMPBELL—W 52-21————NON-FBS OPPONENT
8OCT 22HARKANSAS STATE—W 45-17292828+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 31AUL MONROE—W 31-131766+73BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 7ATEXAS STATE—W 38-17271111+68BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 14HGEORGIA STATE—W 17-13202929+50BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 21ACOASTAL CAROLINA#14L 23-3487272+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 28HTROY—W 47-10195959+20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 4HLOUISIANA#15L 21-24267474+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
15DEC 12AGEORGIA SOUTHERN—W 34-26214848+31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
JACOB HUESMANQB SERET
★2—00%——
12
ZAC THOMASQB SERET
★2—00%——
10
TANNER WILSONQB SERET
UNR—00%——
9
JACKSON GIBBSQB JURET
UNR—00%——
15
DAVID BALDWIN-GRIFFINQB FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
21
NAVY SHULERQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET36NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
BEN WILLIAMSRB SORET
UNR—00%——
MARCUS WILLIAMS JR.RB SERET
UNR—00%——
6
CAMERUN PEOPLESRB JURET
★2—00%——
4
ANDERSON CASTLERB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
8
NATE NOELRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
4
DAETRICH HARRINGTONRB SERET
★3—00%——
45
GABE MONTGOMERYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
40
COLE JACKSONRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
27
NAKENDRICK CLARKRB SERET
★2—00%——
22
RAYKWON ANDERSONRB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
33
LOGAN CRUCERB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
CHRISTAN HORNWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
81
MILLER GIBBSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
18
MIKE EVANSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
86
TREY ROSSTE JURET
★3—00%——
6
DASHAUN DAVISWR JURET
★3★200%—FELL
88
HENRY PEARSONTE SERET
★3—00%——
87
ELI WILSONTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
11
JALEN VIRGILWR SERET
★2—00%——
85
ZAC CROSBYTE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
5
THOMAS HENNIGANWR SERET
★3—00%——
83
JAKE HENRYWR JURET
★2—00%——
14
MALIK WILLIAMSWR SERET
★3—00%——
MILAN TUCKERWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
9
CHRISTIAN WELLSWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
2
COREY SUTTONWR SERET
★3—00%——
21
MICHAEL QUEENWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
RICHARD TUCKERWR SORET
★2—00%——
21
DYSAUN RAZZAKWR SORET
UNR—00%——
80
AJ HALLWR JURET
UNR—00%——
89
CHASE EIGHMYWR SORET
UNR—00%——
88
JACOBY PINCKNEYWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
25
SEAN HORTONWR SORET
UNR—00%——
21
ELIJAH JOHNSONWR SORET
UNR—00%——
89
AUGUST DREWSTE SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
33
PETER HENNIGANTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
12
MICHAEL HETZELWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
STAN ELLISHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JE'MARI LITTLEJOHNHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
TOMMY WRIGHTHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JAMAR RUCKSHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
NATE NOELHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
MIKE SMITHHS RECRUITS★3UNR
STEPHEN PASSEGGIATAHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
RONALD CLARKEHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
KEVON HAIGLERHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
JALEN MCLEODHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT13 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AKEEM DAVIS-GAITHERNFL DRAFT R4LBUNR—
DARRYNTON EVANSNFL DRAFT R3RB★2—
DESMOND FRANKLINELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
COLLIN REEDELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
JOSH THOMASELIGIBILITY UPDB★2—
NOEL COOKELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
JORDAN FEHRELIGIBILITY UPLB★2—
E.J. SCOTTELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
KEISHAWN WATSONELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
WILLIE EDWARDSELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#83NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8305COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST76% BACK76th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG76% BACK76th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE