SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›ARIZONA›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
BIG 12|KEVIN SUMLIN|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
ARIZONA72 FPIB12 · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
55FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#541 BC / 16
BC RATIO
6%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
4-8ACTUALvs4.1-7.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-8.8
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
63MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 24AHAWAI'I—L 38-45294747-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HNORTHERN ARIZONA—W 65-41————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 14HTEXAS TECH—W 28-14576060-37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HUCLA—W 20-17854040-17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5ACOLORADO—W 35-30663838-15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HWASHINGTON—L 27-51878888-65BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19AUSC—L 14-41988484-61BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26ASTANFORD—L 31-41863333-10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2HOREGON STATE—L 38-56595151-28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16AOREGON#5L 6-34888989-66BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HUTAH#16L 7-35669191-68BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30AARIZONA STATE—L 14-24776767-44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
14
KHALIL TATEQB SERET
★4—00%——
5
GRANT GUNNELLQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
4
RHETT RODRIGUEZQB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
12
KEVIN DOYLEQB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
13
LUKE ASHWORTHQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
CAMERON FIETZQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET95NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
GARY BRIGHTWELLRB SERET
★3—00%——
33
NATHAN TILFORDRB JURET
★4—00%——
28
NAZAR BOMBATARB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
6
MICHAEL WILEYRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
20
DARRIUS SMITHRB SORET
★3—00%——
21
J.J. TAYLORRB JURET
★3—00%——
36
BRYCE COLEMANRB JURET
UNR—00%——
23
VIRON ELLISON JR.RB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
JAMARYE JOINERWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
18
CEDRIC PETERSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
16
THOMAS REID IIIWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
STANLEY BERRYHILL IIIWR JURET
UNR—00%——
4
BJ CASTEELWR SERET
★3—00%——
81
BRYCE WOLMATE SERET
★3—00%——
3
JALEN JOHNSONWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
5
BOOBIE CURRYWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
1
DREW DIXONWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
11
TAYVIAN CUNNINGHAMWR SERET
UNR—00%——
15
WILLIAM GUNNELLWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
83
TERRENCE JOHNSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
49
JAKE PETERSTE JURET
★3—00%——
82
ZACH WILLIAMSTE SORET
★3—00%——
9
TRE ADAMSWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
89
BRICE VOOLETICHWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
JADEN MITCHELLWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
83
KARL ALTENBURGWR JURET
UNR—00%——
8
THOMAS AYCHWR SORET
UNR—00%——
25
DEVIN GREENWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
80
CONNOR HUTCHINGSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
46
JACK KOCEMANTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
2
JALEN CURRYWR FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
41
DANIEL EGBOWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
39
TRISTEN D'ANGELOTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
40
JASHON BUTLERWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS16 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JALEN CURRYHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
GRANT GUNNELLHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
BOBBY WOLFEHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
KWABENA WATSONHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
JAXEN TURNERHS RECRUITS★3UNR
CHRISTIAN ROLAND-WALLACEHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JAMARI WILLIAMSHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
JALEN JOHNSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
KANE BRADFORDHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
MICHAEL WILEYHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT23 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ANTONIO PARKSUTSASUNRUNR
ISAIAH HAYESLOUISVILLEDB★3UNR
DEVAUGHN COOPERUTEPWR★3UNR
MICHAEL ELETISEHAWAI'IOL★4UNR
AZIZI HEARNWYOMINGDB★3UNR
PJ JOHNSONNFL DRAFT R7DTUNR—
MATT THOMASELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
JAKE GLATTINGELIGIBILITY UPPUNR—
DERECK BOLESELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
TONY ELLISONELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#54NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 16 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8517COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
28TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
0
4
12
4
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +3.0 W
FULL RANGE-3 TO +5 W
IMPROVED12 OF 28
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST79% BACK79th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG79% BACK79th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE