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HOME›TEAMS›ARIZONA›2025TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
BIG 12|BRENT BRENNAN|—RECORD9-4|CONF—
ARIZONA29 FPIB12 · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
52FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
45%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
47%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-8IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#501 BC / 25
BC RATIO
13%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
9-3ACTUALvs9.4-2.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+13.7
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE63
PERFORMANCE63
TALENT58
CONTINUITY45
DEFENSE87
PERFORMANCE87
TALENT56
CONTINUITY47
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
58MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30HHAWAI'I—W 40-6135050+30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 6HWEBER STATE—W 48-3————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 12HKANSAS STATE—W 23-17667070+10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 27AIOWA STATE—L 14-39497676+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 4HOKLAHOMA STATE—W 41-13651111+69BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11HBYU#11L 27-33508787-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18AHOUSTON#22L 28-31537171+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1ACOLORADO—W 52-17793030+50BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8HKANSAS—W 24-20665757+23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15ACINCINNATI—W 30-24475959+21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22HBAYLOR—W 41-17754848+32BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 28AARIZONA STATE—W 23-7775656+24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLJAN 2ASMU—L 19-24828484-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB65TAL73PERF65RET96ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
NOAH FIFITAQB SERET
★3—9796%+23—
8
BRAEDYN LOCKEQB JUPORTAL · WISCONSIN
★4★3344%-42FELL
15
MASON BRAYQB JURET
UNR—50%——
7
SAWYER ANDERSONQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
16
LUKE HAUGOQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB47TAL57PERF47RET22ROTATIONn=4 · 9 METRICS · 25 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
ISMAIL MAHDIRB SEPORTAL · TEXAS STATE
UNR★39242%+22EMERGED
24
QUINCY CRAIGRB SEPORTAL · PORTLAND STATE
★3★38229%+16HELD
3
KEDRICK REESCANORB SERET
★4★47622%-21HELD
0
WESLEY YARBROUGHRB SONO SNAPS
★3—454%-36—
6
CORNELIUS WARREN IIIRB SONO SNAPS
★3—201%——
28
ANTHONY WILHITE IIRB SERET
UNR—161%——
33
KAYDEN LUKEFB JURET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
▾WR/TE44TAL70PERF51RET32ONE OWNERn=9 · 8 METRICS · 58 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
KRIS HUTSONWR SEPORTAL · WASHINGTON STATE
★4★39223%+15FELL
84
SAM OLSONTE SERET
★2★38849%+5ROSE
12
TRE SPIVEYWR SEPORTAL · KANSAS STATE
★3★38618%+20HELD
6
JAVIN WHATLEYWR SEPORTAL · CHATTANOOGA
UNR★38217%+19EMERGED
80
CAM BARMORETE SENO SNAPS
UNR—8138%+6—
11
CHRIS HUNTER IIIWR SERET
UNR—8116%-9—
15
LUKE WYSONGWR SEPORTAL · NEW MEXICO
★3★37010%+19HELD
5
GIOVANNI RICHARDSONWR SONO SNAPS
★3—647%+35—
17
ISAIAH MIZELLWR SONO SNAPS
★4—585%-62—
84
KEYAN BURNETTTE SEPORTAL · KANSAS
★4★35712%-35FELL
18
BRANDON PHELPSWR JURET
★3—493%——
83
TYLER MUSTAINTE SERET
UNR—262%——
4
DEVIN HYATTWR JURET
★3★3201%-20HELD
5
REX HAYNESWR JURET
★3★360%—HELD
81
SCOTTY BRENNANWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—60%——
89
JORDAN MCCORD IIIWR JURET
★3—60%——
87
TYLER POWELLTE SERET
★3—00%——
86
JOHN HARTTE JURET
UNR—00%——
44
CHASE RANDALLTE JURET
UNR—00%——
85
KELLAN FORDTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
82
LANDON KELSEYWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
2
JEREMIAH PATTERSONWR SERET
UNR★200%-51EMERGED
▸OL52TAL50PERF52RET52n=8 · 3 METRICS · 23 OBS
▸DL45TAL61PERF45RET23n=7 · 7 METRICS · 43 OBS
▸LB45TAL48PERF45RET47n=7 · 11 METRICS · 48 OBS
▸DB59TAL60PERF59RET61n=8 · 8 METRICS · 46 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS15 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ISAIAH MIZELLHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
GIO RICHARDSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
KELLAN FORDHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
SWAYDE GRIFFINHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
CORNELIUS WARREN IIIHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
MYRON ROBINSONHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
DAJON HINTONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
COLEMAN PATMONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
WESLEY YARBROUGHHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
GIANNI EDWARDSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN10 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KEYAN BURNETTKANSASTE★4★3
MICHAEL DANSBYSAN JOSÉ STATECB★2★3
LUKE WYSONGNEW MEXICOWR★3★3
TY BUCHANANTEXAS TECHOT★3★3
TRE SPIVEYKANSAS STATEWR★3★3
DESHAWN MCKNIGHTUT MARTINDL★3★3
RILEY WILSONMONTANAEDGEUNR★3
FLAVIO GONZALEZOREGON STATEIOLUNR★3
KA'ENA DECAMBRAHAWAI'IIOLUNR★3
MALACHI BAILEYALCORN STATEEDGEUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT36 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
WENDELL MOE JR.TENNESSEEOL★3★3
TACARIO DAVISWASHINGTONCB★3★4
TA'ITA'I UIAGALELEIWASHINGTONDL★3★3
EMMANUEL KARNLEYVIRGINIACB★3★3
JACOB MANUWASHINGTONLB★3★3
STERLING LANE IIBOISE STATELB★4★3
GUNNER MALDONADOKANSAS STATES★3★3
ISAIAH JOHNSONNORTH CAROLINADL★3★3
KAMUELA KA'AIHUEUNLVLB★3★3
KEANU MAILOTOBOISE STATEDLUNR★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES53%8 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS57%6 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#50NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 25 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8620COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
3038 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
28TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
0
4
12
4
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +3.0 W
FULL RANGE-3 TO +5 W
IMPROVED12 OF 28
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST68% BACK68th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG68% BACK68th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR52%52th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR96%96th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST61%61th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE