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HOME›TEAMS›ARKANSAS›2025TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
SEC|SAM PITTMAN|—RECORD2-10|CONF—
ARKANSAS42 FPISEC · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
84FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
45%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
59%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-12IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#323 BC / 21
BC RATIO
35%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
2-10ACTUALvs5.8-6.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-3.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-6
AVG SCORING MARGIN-0.9
2 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE98
PERFORMANCE98
TALENT74
CONTINUITY45
DEFENSE44
PERFORMANCE44
TALENT80
CONTINUITY59
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
78MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30HALABAMA A&M—W 52-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 6HARKANSAS STATE—W 56-14372626+35BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 13AOLE MISS#3L 35-41859696-35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 20AMEMPHIS—L 31-32587272-11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 27HNOTRE DAME#10L 13-56949797-36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11ATENNESSEE—L 31-34898787-26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18HTEXAS A&M#8L 42-45959494-33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 25HAUBURN—L 24-33917979-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1HMISSISSIPPI STATE—L 35-38835757+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15ALSU—L 22-23967777-16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22ATEXAS#12L 37-52988888-27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29HMISSOURI—L 17-31858585-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB59TAL79PERF59RET100ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
TAYLEN GREENQB SERET
★3★38886%+25HELD
7
KJ JACKSONQB JURET
★4—5814%+32—
7
TREVER JACKSONQB SOPORTAL · FLORIDA STATE
★4★300%—FELL
18
BRAYSON MCHENRYQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
GRAYSON WILSONQB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB63TAL36PERF63RET23ONE OWNERn=2 · 9 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
MIKE WASHINGTON JR.RB SENO SNAPS
★2★29871%+16HELD
0
BRAYLEN RUSSELLRB JURET
★4★46819%+15HELD
27
CAM SETTLESRB SONO SNAPS
★3—414%——
1
RODNEY HILLRB JURET
★4★3394%+10FELL
0
AJ GREEN JR.RB SENO SNAPS
★4★4212%-18HELD
41
KYLE THOMPSONFB JURET
UNR—00%——
25
MARKEYLIN BATTONRB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE64TAL70PERF61RET23ONE OWNERn=7 · 8 METRICS · 46 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
O'MEGA BLAKEWR SEPORTAL · CHARLOTTE
★3★49829%+29ROSE
3
CJ BROWNWR JURET
★3—9525%-40—
83
JADEN PLATTTE JUPORTAL · TEXAS A&M
★4★49459%+10HELD
6
RAYLEN SHARPEWR SEPORTAL · FRESNO STATE
★3★39022%+12HELD
88
ROHAN JONESTE SEPORTAL · MONTANA STATE
UNR★37225%+56EMERGED
17
JALEN BROWNWR SOPORTAL · FLORIDA STATE
★4★3689%+15FELL
5
KAM SHANKSWR JUPORTAL · UAB
UNR★3668%+11EMERGED
81
ANDREAS PAASKETE SERET
★3★3538%+40HELD
47
MADDOX LASSITERTE SERET
UNR—476%——
1
COURTNEY CRUTCHFIELDWR JUPORTAL · MISSOURI
★4★3462%—FELL
11
MONTE HARRISONWR JURET
UNR—351%——
5
JA'KAYDEN FERGUSONWR SONO SNAPS
★3★3251%—HELD
15
ANDY JEANWR SEPORTAL · PITTSBURGH
★4★3251%+15FELL
6
KROSSE JOHNSONWR SORET
★3★3241%—HELD
88
JEREMIAH BECK JR.TE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—201%——
89
GAVIN GARRETSONTE SONO SNAPS
★3—91%——
19
ANTONIO JORDANWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
4
ISMAEL CISSEWR SEPORTAL · STANFORD
★3★300%-26HELD
89
ZACH TAYLORWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
80
RYKAR ACEBOWR JURET
UNR—00%——
86
WALKER CATSAVISWR JURET
UNR—00%——
85
JACE PETTYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
35
HUTSON HENDRIXTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
GRANT KARNESWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL63TAL79PERF63RET54n=6 · 3 METRICS · 17 OBS
▸DL60TAL85PERF60RET82n=6 · 8 METRICS · 32 OBS
▸LB55TAL87PERF55RET74n=7 · 11 METRICS · 46 OBS
▸DB54TAL73PERF54RET32n=8 · 6 METRICS · 47 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TAVION WALLACEHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
MADDEN IAMALEAVAHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
KEVIN OATISHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
CALEB BELLHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
GRAYSON WILSONHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
REGINALD VAUGHNHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
KEIUNDRE JOHNSONHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
TRENT SELLERSHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
JA'KAYDEN FERGUSONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JJ SHELTONHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN11 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JULIAN NEALSTANFORDCB★3★4
O'MEGA BLAKECHARLOTTEWR★3★4
JADEN PLATTTEXAS A&MTE★4★4
JACQAWN MCROYOREGONOT★4★3
COREY ROBINSON IIGEORGIA TECHOT★3★3
PHILLIP LEETROYEDGE★3★3
COURTNEY CRUTCHFIELDMISSOURIWR★4★3
DAVID OKEABILENE CHRISTIANDL★3★3
JUSTUS BOONEFLORIDAEDGE★4★3
KANI WALKEROKLAHOMACB★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT46 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JOSHUA BRAUNKENTUCKYOL★4★3
ADDISON NICHOLSSMUOL★4★3
TJ METCALFMICHIGANDB★3★3
LUKE HASZOLE MISSTE★4★4
ISAIAH SATEGNA IIIOKLAHOMAWR★4UNR
BRAD SPENCETEXASLB★3★3
PATRICK KUTASOLE MISSOL★4★4
RASHOD DUBINIONAPP STATERB★4★3
TY WASHINGTONNOTRE DAMETE★3★3
VAR'KEYES GUMMSUNLVTE★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES48%7 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS91%15 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#32NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
3OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8768COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
3143 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGANY — MERGEDQUARTERBACKANY — MERGED
17TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
2
3
4
6
2
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-4 TO +5 W
IMPROVED8 OF 17
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THIS PROFILE WAS TOO RARE TO STAND ALONE AND A BROADER CELL IS SHOWN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST55% BACK55th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG55% BACK55th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR54%54th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST32%32th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE