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● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›ARKANSAS STATE›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
SUN BELT|BLAKE ANDERSON|—RECORD7-5|CONF—
ARKANSAS STATE90 FPISBC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
33FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#950 BC / 15
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
7-5ACTUALvs5.8-6.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-1.2
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
34MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HSMU—L 30-37546464-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7AUNLV—W 43-173888+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14AGEORGIA#4L 0-55999797-55BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HSOUTHERN ILLINOIS—W 41-28————NON-FBS OPPONENT
5SEP 28ATROY—W 50-43223535+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5AGEORGIA STATE—L 38-52191818+24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 17HLOUISIANA—L 20-37267676-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HTEXAS STATE—W 38-141699+33BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2AUL MONROE—W 48-41151616+26BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HCOASTAL CAROLINA—W 28-2791313+29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HGEORGIA SOUTHERN—W 38-33263434+8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29ASOUTH ALABAMA—L 30-342066+36BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET7NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
LOGAN BONNERQB SERET
★2★300%—ROSE
10
CARSON COATSQB SERET
UNR—00%——
3
LAYNE HATCHERQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
16
WILL JARRETTQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
19
PEYTON WRIGHTQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET44NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
23
ISAIAH AZUBUIKERB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
28
DJ CHATMANRB JURET
UNR—00%——
21
JAMAL JONESRB SERET
UNR—00%——
18
RYAN GRAHAMRB JURET
UNR—00%——
34
MARCEL MURRAYRB JURET
★2—00%——
29
DONOVAN MARSHALLRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
52
ZAC TUINEIRB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
JOSH EDWARDSRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
LEROY DESHAZORWR SERET
UNR—00%——
7
OMAR BAYLESSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
17
DARVEON BROWNWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
REED TYLERTE SERET
★2—00%——
19
COLTIN CLACKTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
14
JEFF FOREMANWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
4
DAHU GREENWR SERET
★3—00%——
8
BUBBA OGBEBORWR SERET
★3—00%——
16
BRANDON BOWLINGWR SERET
★2★200%—HELD
9
JONATHAN ADAMS JR.WR SERET
★2—00%——
13
KIRK MERRITTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
81
JAVONIS ISAACTE SERET
★2★200%—HELD
80
ROSS PAINTERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
30
DONALD RICHARDSONWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
12
SETH HAYESTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
88
VERSHAUD RICHARDSONTE SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
5
DAVID CLAYTONWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
15
EUGENE MINTER JR.TE SERET
UNR—00%——
84
KELLY SMITHWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
85
AARON WHITTLEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
JACKSON JARVISWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
9
JONATHAN ADAMS, JR.WR —RET
★2—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS15 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JEFF FOREMANHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
ISAIAH AZUBUIKEHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
VERSHAUD RICHARDSONHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
COLTIN CLACKHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
SAMY JOHNSONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JARIUS REIMONENQHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JAQUERRIOUS WILLIAMSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
SETH HAYESHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DAVID CLAYTONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DANE MOTLEYHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JUSTIN CLIFTONELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
ARMOND WEH-WEHELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
JUSTICE HANSENELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
JEFFERIE GIBSONELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
BRANDON BYNERELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
JARROD CHANDLERELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
KENDRICK EDWARDSELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
DONOVAN RANSOMELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
GRIFFIN RIGGSELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
WARREN WANDELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#95NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 15 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8047COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
63TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
14
23
8
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED15 OF 63
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST33% BACK33th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG33% BACK33th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR7%7th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE