SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›ARMY›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|JEFF MONKEN|—RECORD8-4|CONF—
ARMY61 FPIAAC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
5FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-2IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1090 BC / 50
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
8-4ACTUALvs8.7-3.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+11.3
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
45MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4AGEORGIA STATE—W 43-10264545+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HWESTERN KENTUCKY—W 38-35478282-30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18HUCONN—W 52-211511+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25HMIAMI (OH)—W 23-10204444+8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2ABALL STATE—L 16-28161818+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16AWISCONSIN—L 14-20859595-43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23HWAKE FOREST#15L 56-70557171-19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6AAIR FORCE—W 21-1415959-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HBUCKNELL—W 63-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
12NOV 20HMASSACHUSETTS—W 33-17900+52BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27ALIBERTY—W 31-1676363-11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
15DEC 11HNAVY—L 13-1772222+30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
CHRISTIAN ANDERSONQB JURET
★3—00%——
2
TYHIER TYLERQB SERET
★2—00%——
1
JABARI LAWSQB JURET
★2—00%——
18
CADE BALLARDQB SERET
★2—00%——
7
JEMEL JONESQB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET75NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
33
JAKOBI BUCHANANRB SERET
UNR—00%——
40
CADE BARNARDRB JURET
★3—00%——
11
BRANDON WALTERSRB JURET
UNR—00%——
5
A.J. HOWARDRB JURET
UNR—00%——
25
MARKENS PIERRERB JURET
★2—00%——
42
WILSON CATOEFB JURET
UNR—00%——
9
MAURICE BELLANRB SERET
UNR—00%——
23
ANTHONY ADKINSRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
28
JUSTIN LESCOUFLAIRRB SERET
UNR—00%——
8
BRAHEAM MURPHYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
21
TYRELL ROBINSONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
32
TYSON RILEYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
42
SHACORI WILLIAMSRB FRRET
UNR—00%——
36
KEIRAN GRANTRB FRRET
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
88
JOSHUA LINGENFELTERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
5
COLE CATERBONEWR SERET
★2—00%——
14
MICHAEL ROBERTSWR JURET
★2—00%——
87
SEAN ECKERTWR JURET
★2—00%——
89
JALEN MOYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
80
RYAN JACKOVICWR SERET
UNR—00%——
83
REIKAN DONALDSONWR SORET
UNR—00%——
3
AY'JAUN MARSHALLWR SERET
UNR—00%——
8
ISAIAH ALSTONWR SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
11
LAQUAN VENEYWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
CHRIS CAMERONTE JURET
★2—00%——
30
COLE TRUEXTE SORET
★2—00%——
82
VESHE DANIYANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
9
BRANDON JONESWR FRRET
★2—00%——
83
TYLER BRENNANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JORDAN BURRELLHS RECRUITS★3UNR
TURNER HILBURNHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
HUNTER RICEHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
ZAC DAHERHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
HAYDEN REEDHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
LEROY WATSON JR.HS RECRUITCB★3UNR
SHEPHERD BOWLINGHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
JAYDAN MAYESHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
ERIC FORDHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
OMAR AIGBEDIONHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT18 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAVHARI BOURDEAUELIGIBILITY UPDB★2—
NICK STOKESELIGIBILITY UPDL★2—
AMADEO WESTELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
KYLE O'CONNORELIGIBILITY UPLS★2—
CHRIS SKYERSELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
JON RHATTIGANELIGIBILITY UPLB★2—
JOE STEPHENSONELIGIBILITY UPLB★2—
ARTICE HOBBS IVELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
MIKE JOHNSONELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
JORDAN BLACKMANELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#109NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 50 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7926COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
02 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST86% BACK86th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG86% BACK86th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
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