SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2023 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›ARMY›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|JEFF MONKEN|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
ARMY101 FPIAAC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
1FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
61%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
86%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-1IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1180 BC / 39
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
6-6ACTUALvs5.8-6.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-0.6
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE23
PERFORMANCE23
TALENT28
CONTINUITY61
DEFENSE24
PERFORMANCE24
TALENT19
CONTINUITY86
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
45MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2AUL MONROE—L 13-171022+39BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HDELAWARE STATE—W 57-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 15AUTSA—W 37-29476464-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23ASYRACUSE—L 16-29504040+1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HBOSTON COLLEGE—L 24-27613838+3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HTROY—L 0-19278181-40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21ALSU#12L 0-62969292-51BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HMASSACHUSETTS—L 14-214566+35BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4AAIR FORCE—W 23-316767-26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HHOLY CROSS—W 17-14————NON-FBS OPPONENT
12NOV 18HCOASTAL CAROLINA—W 28-21394949-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
15DEC 9HNAVY—W 17-1111515+26BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB49TAL14PERF49RET70ONE OWNERn=2 · 6 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
BRYSON DAILYQB SERET
★2—6570%+15—
7
CHAMP HARRISQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—4625%+4—
23
LARRY ROBINSONQB SONO SNAPS
★3★3143%—HELD
10
DEWAYNE COLEMANQB SERET
UNR—72%——
17
ALEX MEREDITHQB SERET
★2—00%——
3
CALE HELLUMSQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
25
MITCH BOLDENQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB55TAL32PERF55RET82ROTATIONn=5 · 4 METRICS · 17 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
32
TYSON RILEYRB SERET
UNR—7633%-9—
6
KANYE UDOHRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★36831%+13HELD
21
TYRELL ROBINSONRB SERET
UNR—6121%+36—
8
HAYDEN REEDRB SERET
★3—5919%-11—
33
JAKOBI BUCHANANRB SERET
UNR—5515%+26—
27
MARKEL JOHNSONRB JURET
★2—428%+11—
22
MILES STEWARTRB SERET
★3—376%-28—
33
JAKE RENDINARB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
46
SETH REECERB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
34
CARSON SMITHRB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
5
JAREL DICKSONRB SERET
★2—00%+14—
38
COREY SINGLETON JR.RB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE69TAL22PERF69RET88ROTATIONn=5 · 6 METRICS · 21 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
88
JOSHUA LINGENFELTERTE SERET
UNR—8644%+48—
15
NOAH SHORTWR SERET
★2—6324%+20—
87
CASEY REYNOLDSWR SERET
UNR—6323%+29—
85
DAVID CROSSANTE SERET
UNR—6015%——
3
AY'JAUN MARSHALLWR SERET
UNR—5515%+27—
11
TOBI OLAWOLEWR SENO SNAPS
★3—5414%-7—
8
ISAIAH ALSTONWR SERET
UNR★35313%+36EMERGED
4
LIAM FORTNERWR SERET
★2—468%——
86
WILL MONTESITE SERET
UNR—425%——
82
VESHE DANIYANWR SERET
UNR—334%-63—
89
BLANE CLEAVERTE SERET
UNR—242%——
44
PARKER POLOSKEYTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—50%——
83
TYLER BRENNANWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
BRIAN DYERTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
37
BRYCE DAVISWR JURET
UNR—00%——
1
ZACH MUNDELLWR SERET
★2—00%——
45
TOBY THOMPSONTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
AIDAN CASUCCIOTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
42
AJ WILLIAMSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
32
CHRISTOPHER WILLIAMSWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
33
PARKER WILLIAMSWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
84
CAM SCHURRWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
ISAIAH LIGEWR JURET
UNR—00%——
89
TAYLOR SAULSBERRYWR SORET
UNR—00%——
19
SABASTIAN SHANNONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
23
LLOYD BENSON IIIWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
26
DAVID CLERKWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
32
OMARI EMBREEWR SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
27
SAMARI HOWARDWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
18
BRADY MOTTWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
42
TAY ANDREWSWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
83
KURT THOMPSONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
BRODY EATONTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
82
NEO VOSSSCHULTEWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
KAVON POINTERWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL61TAL37PERF61RET62n=6 · 3 METRICS · 14 OBS
▸DL28TAL16PERF28RET96n=8 · 8 METRICS · 46 OBS
▸LB37TAL19PERF37RET79n=6 · 11 METRICS · 40 OBS
▸DB52TAL25PERF52RET94n=6 · 6 METRICS · 30 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
WILL STALLINGSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
CHRISTOPHER WILLIAMSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JAXON HAMMONDHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
ISAIAH BIRLHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
SCOOP GARDNER JR.HS RECRUITDL★3UNR
NOLLENN TABASKAHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
RUSS WOODWARDHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
HAYDEN OVIATTHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
CARLOS GRIFFINHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
ANDREW HARDWICKHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT25 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CONNOR BISHOPELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
MARQUEL BROUGHTONELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
ANDRE CARTER IIELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
KWABENA BONSUELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
PEYTON HAMPTONELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
FABRICE VOYNEELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
TYLER KOMOROWSKIELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
AIDAN GAINESELIGIBILITY UPOL★3—
BRAHEAM MURPHYELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
ISAIAH MORRISELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES47%6 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS21%3 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#118NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 39 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8101COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
01 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
34TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
7
6
6
9
6
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +1.8 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED15 OF 34
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST48% BACK48th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG48% BACK48th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR62%62th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR70%70th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST94%94th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE