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● LIVE|2024 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|JEFF MONKEN|—RECORD12-2|CONF—
ARMY#21 AP 44 FPIAAC · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
1FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
81%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
82%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-9IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1520 BC / 50
BC RATIO
2%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
11-2ACTUALvs10.7-2.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+15.2
11 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE78
PERFORMANCE78
TALENT24
CONTINUITY81
DEFENSE50
PERFORMANCE50
TALENT40
CONTINUITY82
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE14 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
35MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30HLEHIGH—W 42-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 7AFLORIDA ATLANTIC—W 24-7421616+57BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HRICE—W 37-14281919+54BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 26ATEMPLE—W 42-142555+68BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5ATULSA—W 49-73355+68BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HUAB—W 44-10402020+53BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HEAST CAROLINA—W 45-28474545+28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2HAIR FORCE—W 20-311717+56BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9ANORTH TEXAS—W 14-3433434+39BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23ANOTRE DAME#2L 14-49939595-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HUTSA—W 29-24525353+20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
15DEC 6HTULANE—W 35-14556868+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
16DEC 14HNAVY—L 13-3115858+15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 28HLOUISIANA TECH—W 27-6261818+55BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB53TAL13PERF53RET100ONE OWNERn=2 · 6 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
BRYSON DAILYQB SERET
★2—6486%+15—
10
DEWAYNE COLEMANQB SERET
UNR—2914%——
3
CALE HELLUMSQB SERET
UNR—00%——
1
ZACH MUNDELLQB SERET
★2—00%——
25
MITCH BOLDENQB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
9
ETHAN WASHINGTONQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
17
LUKE KNIGHTQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
19
NEHEMIAH VANNQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB66TAL33PERF66RET96ROTATIONn=5 · 5 METRICS · 15 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
KANYE UDOHRB JURET
★3★38230%+23HELD
8
HAYDEN REEDRB SERET
★3—6514%-11—
21
TYRELL ROBINSONRB SERET
UNR—548%+32—
22
MILES STEWARTRB SERET
★3—465%-16—
33
JAKE RENDINARB SERET
★2—445%-48—
34
CARSON SMITHRB SERET
★2—252%-8—
19
SABASTIAN SHANNONRB SERET
UNR—50%——
42
AJ WILLIAMSRB SERET
UNR—50%——
5
JAREL DICKSONRB SERET
★2—00%+14—
32
OMARI EMBREERB SORET
★2—00%——
38
COREY SINGLETON JR.RB SORET
UNR—00%——
18
BRADY MOTTRB SERET
UNR—00%——
46
SETH REECERB SORET
UNR—00%——
2
ADEN SELFRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
29
BRIGGS BARTOSHRB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
11
BEN GIBBSRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
16
TREY TREMBARB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
20
TIM KLOSKARB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
25
POOKIE ARTERBERRYRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
28
JAYDEN WALKERRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
29
JACK KAYSERRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
38
BRENNAN FISHERRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
20
RANDALL NAUDENRB FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
40
BILL YOUNGRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
6
TY STAUFFERRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL11PERF44RET90ONE OWNERNOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
85
DAVID CROSSANTE SERET
UNR—9765%-22—
15
NOAH SHORTWR SERET
★2—7926%+31—
44
PARKER POLOSKEYTE SERET
UNR—7125%——
87
CASEY REYNOLDSWR SERET
UNR—6163%+36—
27
SAMARI HOWARDWR SERET
UNR—548%——
86
WILL MONTESITE SERET
UNR—509%——
84
CAM SCHURRWR SERET
UNR—4523%——
4
LIAM FORTNERWR SERET
★2—3010%-3—
26
DAVID CLERKWR SERET
UNR—201%——
86
TEX BRANNANTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—171%——
23
LLOYD BENSON IIIWR SERET
UNR—141%——
80
BRIAN DYERTE SERET
UNR—111%——
89
KAVON POINTERWR SERET
UNR—112%——
87
JOSH HORTONWR FRTRUE FR
★4—01%——
11
TOBI OLAWOLEWR SERET
★3—01%-6—
84
NOLAN MUNROEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—01%——
37
BRYCE DAVISWR JURET
UNR—00%——
84
BRADY ANDERSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
83
KURT THOMPSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
NEO VOSSSCHULTEWR SORET
UNR—00%——
48
DOM ESPOSITOWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
45
NOLLENN TABASKATE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
87
JAMES ROTHSTEINTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
76
MAX STOBERTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
92
LANDON LASKEYTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
85
NOAH PRIORTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
96
RYAN VANSCOYTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
14
CHACE KNOXWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL73TAL22PERF73RET75n=6 · 3 METRICS · 16 OBS
▸DL26TAL53PERF26RET80n=9 · 7 METRICS · 47 OBS
▸LB43TAL10PERF43RET94n=7 · 11 METRICS · 47 OBS
▸DB54TAL46PERF55RET70n=11 · 8 METRICS · 46 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CALEB WILLIAMSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JAYLEN JONESHS RECRUITS★3UNR
BRYSON BANKSHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
MARLEY ALAPATIHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
BRIAN RAY IIIHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
LIAM MCKENNAHS RECRUITDL★2UNR
JOSH MANECKEHS RECRUITOT★2UNR
BRYCE JAWORSKIHS RECRUITTE★2UNR
DYLAN ARMENTROUTHS RECRUITRB★2UNR
ARTEMAS BRYANTHS RECRUITEDGE★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT41 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TANO LETULISAN DIEGO STATELB★3★3
ISAIAH ALSTONIOWA STATEWRUNR★3
BLANE CLEAVERBOWLING GREENTEUNRUNR
KALVYN CRUMMIETENNESSEE TECHLBUNRUNR
QUINDRELIN HAMMONDSELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
JIMMY CIARLOELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
JACKSON FILIPOWICZELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
LEO LOWINELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
JABARI MOOREELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
JACKSON POWELLELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES24%7 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS33%6 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#152NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 50 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7897COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
09 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST74% BACK74th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG74% BACK74th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR75%75th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST70%70th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE