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SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|MIKE NEU|—RECORD6-1|CONF—
BALL STATE#23 AP 66 FPIMAC · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
13FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1220 BC / 19
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
6-1ACTUALvs4.4-2.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+6.7
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE7 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
29MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
10NOV 4AMIAMI (OH)—L 31-38131212+14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HEASTERN MICHIGAN—W 38-31101212+14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HNORTHERN ILLINOIS—W 31-251466+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 28ATOLEDO—W 27-24303434-8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 5ACENTRAL MICHIGAN—W 45-20234040-14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
15DEC 12HWESTERN MICHIGAN—W 30-27284949-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
16DEC 18ABUFFALO#25W 38-28125353-27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET99NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
DREW PLITTQB SERET
★3—00%——
10
ELLIOT CHARLEBOISQB JURET
UNR—00%——
4
JOHN PADDOCKQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
14
EDDIE SCHOTTQB SORET
★3—00%——
13
MARK NONDORFQB JURET
★3—00%——
19
CONNOR GROHMANQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET65NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
CODY RUDYFB SERET
UNR—00%——
2
CALEB HUNTLEYRB SERET
★3—00%——
24
WILL JONESRB SERET
UNR—00%——
30
TYE EVANSRB SORET
★2—00%——
20
DONNY MARCUSRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
45
JIMMIE BOSOFB SORET
UNR—00%——
34
BRAYDEN EVANSRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
36
JACKSON KURTHRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
22
KYRIN PERRYRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
23
MARKAVUN BROWNLEERB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
16
HASSAN LITTLESWR SERET
★2—00%——
13
JORDAN WILLIAMSTE JURET
UNR—00%——
88
DYLAN KOCHTE SERET
★2—00%——
11
JUSTIN HALLWR SERET
★3—00%——
12
ISAAC JAMESWR SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
1
ANTWAN DAVISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
15
JALEN MCGAUGHYWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
4
TREVOR HOHLTWR JURET
UNR—00%——
6
YO'HEINZ TYLERWR SERET
★3—00%——
83
LUKE ENDSLEYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
82
JAYLEN FLEMMONSWR SORET
UNR—00%——
43
WES OBERMEIERTE SORET
★3—00%——
47
MITCHELL CARTERTE SORET
UNR—00%——
44
JACK MCCRACKENTE SORET
UNR—00%——
21
JACKSON LANTZWR FRRET
★2—00%——
10
DERIN MCCULLEYWR SERET
★3—00%——
5
QIAN MAGWOODWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
25
AUSTIN HILLWR SENO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
81
RYAN LEZONTE SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
80
CHRIS CROTHERSTE JURET
UNR—00%——
83
CAM GILLENTINEWR SORET
UNR—00%——
12
RJ HARTWR SERET
★3—00%——
10
DEAN TATEWR SORET
UNR—00%——
48
ISAIAH DUNNUCKTE SERET
UNR—00%——
17
JUSTIN CAMPBELLWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
QIAN MAGWOODHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
LATRELL FORDHAMHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
BRAYDEN EVANSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
DONOVAN MARCUSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
MARK BROWNLEEHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
TOMMY LORINCZHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
DALTON ELRODHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
NATE PEDRAZAHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
NATHAN REICHERTHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
JUSTIN CAMPBELLHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT13 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NOLAN GIVANSAN DIEGO STATETE★3★3
DANNY PINTERNFL DRAFT R5OLUNR—
JACOB WHITEELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
MALIK DUNNERELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
KYLE SCHRANKELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
RILEY MILLERELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
CHRIS CRUMBELIGIBILITY UPDT★3—
SHANNON HALLELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
TUNI ROPATIELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
RAY WILBORNELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#122NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8046COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST78% BACK78th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG78% BACK78th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR99%99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE