SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›BAYLOR›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
BIG 12|DAVE ARANDA|—RECORD11-2|CONF—
BAYLOR#5 AP 15 FPIB12 · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
71FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-2IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#442 BC / 20
BC RATIO
16%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
11-2ACTUALvs10.1-2.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+13.3
11 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
62MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4ATEXAS STATE—W 29-203099+80BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HTEXAS SOUTHERN—W 66-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 18AKANSAS—W 45-74855+84BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25HIOWA STATE—W 31-29618686+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2AOKLAHOMA STATE#7L 14-24619191-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9HWEST VIRGINIA—W 45-20604545+44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16HBYU#19W 38-24326666+23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30HTEXAS—W 31-24936464+25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6ATCU—L 28-30753838+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HOKLAHOMA#10W 27-14969191-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20AKANSAS STATE—W 20-10528585+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27HTEXAS TECH—W 27-24587070+19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 4AOKLAHOMA STATE#7W 21-16619191-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET3NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
BRANDON BASSQB SORET
UNR—00%——
3
GERRY BOHANONQB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
9
JACOB ZENOQB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
2
BLAKE SHAPENQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
1
KYRON DRONESQB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET71NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
28
ABRAM SMITHRB JURET
★3—00%——
25
JACOBY CLARKERB SERET
UNR—00%——
1
TRESTAN EBNERRB SERET
★3—00%——
CRAIG WILLIAMSRB JURET
★4★400%—HELD
22
TAYE MCWILLIAMSRB JURET
★4—00%——
28
QUALAN JONESRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
33
JONAH WHITERB FRRET
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
DRAKE DABNEYTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
18
DREW ESTRADAWR SEPORTAL · DARTMOUTH
UNR—00%——
9
TYQUAN THORNTONWR JURET
★4—00%——
11
JOSHUA FLEEKSWR SERET
★4—00%——
8
BEN SIMSTE SERET
★3—00%——
80
MONARAY BALDWINWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
16
HAL PRESLEYWR SEPORTAL · AUBURN
★4★300%—FELL
43
GAVIN YATESTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
2
R.J. SNEED IIWR SERET
UNR—00%——
7
JAYLEN ELLISWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
16
JARED ATKINSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
82
TYLER HENDERSONTE SORET
★3—00%——
6
GAVIN HOLMESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
CHRISTOPH HENLETE JURET
★3—00%——
17
JACKSON GLEESONWR SORET
★3—00%——
89
KOLBY WHITEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
4
SETH JONESWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
15
TRIPP MITCHELLWR JURET
UNR—00%——
7
JAVON GIPSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
15
ELIJAH BEANWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
24
TY MOORETE FRRET
UNR—00%——
81
JONATHAN DAVIDSONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KYRON DRONESHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
TATE WILLIAMSHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
TEVIN WILLIAMS IIIHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
CONNOR HEFFERNANHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
JORDAN JENKINSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JACKIE MARSHALLHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
CAMERON BONNERHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CISCO CASTONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
ELIJAH BEANHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JAVON GIPSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN5 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SIAKI IKALSUDT★4★4
HAL PRESLEYAUBURNWR★4★3
JACOB GALLBUFFALOIOL★2★3
GRANT MILLERVANDERBILTIOL★3★3
DREW ESTRADADARTMOUTHWRUNRUNR
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT7 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
YUSUF TERRYSOUTH FLORIDAWR★3★3
CHARLIE BREWERUTAHQB★3★3
JOHN LOVETTPENN STATERB★3★3
WILLIAM BRADLEY-KINGNFL DRAFT R7LB★2—
SKYLER WETZELELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
MICHAEL MCNAIRELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
TRYSTAN SLINKERELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#44NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
2OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8685COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
57 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKNEW
16TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
1
2
2
6
5
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-0.3 TO +3.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +9 W
IMPROVED11 OF 16
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST45% BACK45th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG45% BACK45th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR3%3th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE