SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2023 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›BOISE STATE›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
PAC-12|ANDY AVALOS|—RECORD8-6|CONF—
BOISE STATE46 FPIPAC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
48FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
89%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
84%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-8IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#670 BC / 25
BC RATIO
1%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
8-5ACTUALvs8.6-4.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN+8.1
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE55
PERFORMANCE55
TALENT57
CONTINUITY89
DEFENSE54
PERFORMANCE54
TALENT53
CONTINUITY84
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE14 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
48MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2AWASHINGTON#2L 19-56829191-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HUCF—L 16-18625858+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HNORTH DAKOTA—W 42-18————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 22ASAN DIEGO STATE—W 34-31262222+45BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30AMEMPHIS—L 32-35545959+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HSAN JOSÉ STATE—W 35-27384242+25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14ACOLORADO STATE—L 30-31222727+40BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HWYOMING—W 32-7114242+25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4AFRESNO STATE—L 30-37445555+12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HNEW MEXICO—W 42-141577+60BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18AUTAH STATE—W 45-10252020+47BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HAIR FORCE—W 27-19167670BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 2AUNLV—W 44-20145555+12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 16HUCLA—L 22-35828080-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB60TAL62PERF60RET94ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 15 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
TAYLEN GREENQB SERET
★3★37356%+16HELD
4
MADDUX MADSENQB SERET
★3—6838%+35—
12
CJ TILLERQB SONO SNAPS
★3★3336%—HELD
15
COLT FULTONQB JURET
★3—00%——
14
MAX CUTFORTHQB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾RB73TAL64PERF73RET89ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 18 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
ASHTON JEANTYRB JURET
★3—9851%+39—
24
GEORGE HOLANIRB SERET
★3—8630%+7—
1
JAMBRES DUBARRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—6311%+16—
33
TYLER CROWEFB SERET
UNR—465%——
25
KADEN DUDLEYRB JURET
★3★3363%-52HELD
26
TAYLOR MARCUMRB FRRET
★2—00%——
37
ETHAN MIKITARB SORET
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE42TAL56PERF45RET81ONE OWNERn=7 · 7 METRICS · 44 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
85
MATT LAUTERTE SERET
★3—9650%+21—
3
RILEY SMITHTE SERET
★3—8735%-26—
1
ERIC MCALISTERWR SERET
★3★38527%+36HELD
18
BILLY BOWENSWR SERET
★3—8527%+18—
5
STEFAN COBBSWR SERET
★3—7419%-13—
17
PRINCE STRACHANWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★36311%+27HELD
86
AUSTIN TERRYTE SERET
★3—5811%——
81
AUSTIN BOLTWR SERET
★3★3557%+28HELD
13
CHASE PENRYWR SEPORTAL · COLORADO
★3★3484%+9HELD
9
SHEA WHITINGWR SERET
★3★3413%—HELD
88
MATT WAGNERTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—373%——
96
LUKE VOORHEESTE SERET
UNR—312%——
83
COLE WRIGHTWR JURET
★3—281%——
19
TROY WILKEYWR SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
3
LATRELL CAPLESWR SERET
★3—00%+7—
82
BEN FORDWR SERET
★3—00%——
84
ZAMONDRE MERRIWEATHERWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
49
JACK BERESFORDTE SORET
UNR—00%——
13
JACKSON GRIERWR SENO SNAPS
★3★200%—FELL
87
CAYDEN DAWSONTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
48
OLIVER FISHERTE FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
46
HUNTER STEACKERWR SORET
★2—00%——
▸OL51TAL53PERF51RET93n=7 · 3 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DL60TAL53PERF60RET87n=8 · 7 METRICS · 42 OBS
▸LB55TAL51PERF55RET94n=5 · 11 METRICS · 40 OBS
▸DB45TAL55PERF45RET78n=9 · 8 METRICS · 57 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS23 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BREEZY DUBARHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
CJ TILLERHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
TY BENEFIELDHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
CHASE MARTINHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
NICK HAWTHORNEHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
FRANKLYN JOHNSONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
MICHAEL MADRIEHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
WYATT MILKOVICHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
GABE TAHIRHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
DEMANUEL BROWNHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN2 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHASE PENRYCOLORADOWR★3★3
HOWARD BROWNIOWA STATEDL★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT28 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TYNEIL HOPPERMICHIGAN STATETE★3★3
JACKSON CRAVENSBYUDT★3★3
ISAIAH BAGNAHBYUDE★3★3
DEVEN WRIGHTTEXAS STATELBUNR★3
HANK BACHMEIERLOUISIANA TECHQB★4★3
ANDY NWAOKOSTONY BROOKDEUNRUNR
SAM VIDLAKMONTANAQB★3★3
JOHN OJUKWUELIGIBILITY UPOL★3—
SCOTT MATLOCKELIGIBILITY UPDT★2—
KEKANIOKOA HOLOMALIA-GONZALEZELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES9%4 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS14%5 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#67NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 25 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8270COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
917 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST85% BACK85th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG85% BACK85th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR93%93th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR94%94th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST78%78th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE