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HOME›TEAMS›BOSTON COLLEGE›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
ACC|JEFF HAFLEY|—RECORD7-6|CONF—
BOSTON COLLEGE86 FPIACC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
61FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
53%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
76%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-2IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#610 BC / 18
BC RATIO
11%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs4.8-7.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD5-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-4.5
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE70
PERFORMANCE70
TALENT71
CONTINUITY53
DEFENSE19
PERFORMANCE19
TALENT49
CONTINUITY76
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
52MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HNORTHERN ILLINOIS—L 24-27133030+8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HHOLY CROSS—W 31-28————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 16HFLORIDA STATE#6L 29-31869494-56BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23ALOUISVILLE#19L 28-56807575-37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HVIRGINIA—W 27-24532121+17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7AARMY—W 27-2414141-3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21AGEORGIA TECH—W 38-23745151-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HUCONN—W 21-14331010+28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3ASYRACUSE—W 17-10504040-2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HVIRGINIA TECH—L 22-48586666-28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16APITTSBURGH—L 16-24723232+6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HMIAMI—L 20-45928080-42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 28HSMU#22W 23-14768383-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB67TAL74PERF67RET7ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
TOMMY CASTELLANOSQB SENO SNAPS
★3★38993%-23—
9
EMMETT MOREHEADQB SERET
★3★3387%-26HELD
19
JACK BRANDONQB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
8
MATTHEW RUEVEQB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
18
PETER DELAPORTASQB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
15
JACOBE ROBINSONQB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
15
SHANE HANAFINQB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾RB67TAL70PERF67RET52ONE OWNERn=3 · 5 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
KYE ROBICHAUXRB SEPORTAL · WESTERN KENTUCKY
UNR★38947%+21EMERGED
20
ALEX BROOMERB JURET
★3★37528%-16HELD
5
PATRICK GARWO IIIRB SERET
★4★36417%-27FELL
0
CAM BARFIELDRB SERET
★3★3425%-58HELD
0
XAVIER COLEMANRB SERET
★3★3212%-51HELD
5
ANDRE HINES JRRB SERET
★3—171%——
33
ANTHONY FERRUCCIRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
39
JACKSON TREISTERRB JURET
UNR—00%——
26
DATRELL JONESRB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾WR/TE54TAL62PERF62RET85ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 47 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
JEREMIAH FRANKLINTE SERET
★3—9253%+5—
11
LEWIS BONDWR SERET
★3—8928%+18—
80
GEORGE TAKACSTE SERET
★4—8642%-44—
1
JOSEPH GRIFFIN JR.WR SERET
★4★38123%+8FELL
13
DINO TOMLINWR SERET
★3—7418%-3—
4
RYAN O'KEEFEWR SEPORTAL · UCF
★3★36210%+23HELD
1
JAEDN SKEETEWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—609%+2—
0
JADEN WILLIAMSWR SERET
UNR★3578%-13EMERGED
86
CHARLIE GORDINIERTE JURET
★3★3415%—HELD
11
TAJI JOHNSONWR SERET
★3★3362%-41HELD
3
REED HARRISWR SENO SNAPS
★3★4271%—ROSE
18
NATE JOHNSONWR SONO SNAPS
★3★3221%—HELD
86
MATT RAGANTE JURET
★3★3171%—HELD
82
HANS LILLISTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
18
ANDREW LANDRYTE JURET
UNR—00%——
83
LUKE MCLAUGHLINWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
JAY BRUNELLEWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
9
DANTE REYNOLDSWR SORET
★3—00%——
89
TOMMY BIRMINGHAMTE JURET
UNR—00%——
85
JACOB KRAFTWR JURET
UNR—00%——
23
MONTRELL WADEWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
81
HOLDEN SYMONDSTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
38
NICK NICOTRAWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
ISMAEL ZAMORWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
▸OL79TAL78PERF79RET45n=6 · 3 METRICS · 16 OBS
▸DL43TAL53PERF43RET80n=11 · 8 METRICS · 51 OBS
▸LB34TAL42PERF34RET90n=4 · 10 METRICS · 26 OBS
▸DB52TAL49PERF52RET57n=10 · 8 METRICS · 52 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS16 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAEDN SKEETEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DATRELL JONESHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
SHAWN BATTLEHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
NATE JOHNSON IIIHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
REED HARRISHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
KAHLIL ALIHS RECRUITS★3UNR
MONTRELL WADEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JACOBE ROBINSONHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
ERYX DAUGHERTYHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
CARTER DAVISHS RECRUITS★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN9 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
VICTOR NELSON JR.LIU POSTSUNR★3
ALEX WASHINGTONHARVARDCB★3★3
RYAN O'KEEFEUCFWR★3★3
KYE ROBICHAUXWESTERN KENTUCKYRBUNR★3
LOGAN TAYLORVIRGINIAOT★4★3
KYLE HERGELTEXAS STATEIOLUNR★3
KHARI JOHNSONARKANSASCB★3★3
GEORGE ROOKSMICHIGANDL★4★3
THOMAS CASTELLANOSUCFQBUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT18 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JASON MAITREWISCONSINCB★3★3
JOSH DEBERRYTEXAS A&MDB★3★4
JAELEN GILLFRESNO STATEWR★4★5
PHIL JURKOVECPITTSBURGHQB★4★3
C.J. BURTONCHARLOTTEDB★4UNR
KIVON WRIGHTBOISE STATEDE★3★3
JAIDEN WOODBEYELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
MARCUS VALDEZELIGIBILITY UPDE★3—
CHIBUEZE ONWUKAELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
ZAY FLOWERSELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES30%6 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS48%6 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#61NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8612COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
911 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
74TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
16
24
15
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.8 W
FULL RANGE-8 TO +5 W
IMPROVED19 OF 74
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST53% BACK53th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG53% BACK53th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR45%45th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR7%7th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST57%57th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE