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● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›BOWLING GREEN›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|SCOT LOEFFLER|—RECORD3-9|CONF—
BOWLING GREEN127 FPIMAC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
12FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1290 BC / 21
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
3-9ACTUALvs1.3-10.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN-22.6
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 1.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
39MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 29HMORGAN STATE—W 46-3————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 7AKANSAS STATE—L 0-52486666-64BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HLOUISIANA TECH—L 7-35445353-51BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21AKENT STATE—L 20-62111919-17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5ANOTRE DAME#12L 0-52918686-84BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HTOLEDO—W 20-7341212-10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HCENTRAL MICHIGAN—L 20-38283535-33BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26AWESTERN MICHIGAN—L 10-49353131-29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2HAKRON—W 35-61011+1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 13AMIAMI (OH)—L 3-44182222-20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 19HOHIO—L 24-66156363-61BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29ABUFFALO—L 7-4994646-44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET3NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
DARIUS WADEQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
14
GRANT LOYQB SERET
UNR—00%——
3
MATT MCDONALDQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
16
LABRONZ DAVISQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
18
MAX DENMANQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET66NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
23
CHARLES LAMARRB SERET
UNR—00%——
TREVON RAYMORERB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
32
NIGEL SEALEYRB JURET
UNR—00%——
12
BRYSON DENLEYRB SERET
★3—00%——
24
DAVON JONESRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
40
MAURICE ADIKARB SERET
UNR—00%——
11
ANDREW CLAIRRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
30
PASEAN WIMBERLYRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
31
TRE'RON FULLERTONRB SORET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
83
AUSTIN DORRISTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
ANDREW BENCHTE SENO SNAPS
★2★300%—ROSE
88
CHRISTIAN SIMSTE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
14
JAKE ROGERSWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
17
JULIAN ORTEGA-JONESWR SENO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
80
QUINTIN MORRISTE SERET
★3—00%——
8
RB MARLOW IIIWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
PRESLEY MOTESTE SERET
UNR—00%——
4
JORDAN WAYNE-PRATHERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
15
NOAH MASSEYWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
44
DECLAN BURTTE JURET
UNR—00%——
81
JAKE PAPEZTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
5
TYRONE BRODENWR SENO SNAPS
★3★400%—ROSE
26
PARKER SHERRYWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
42
CHRIS KARRASTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
45
VICTOR COPELAND JR.TE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
13
NICK NIEHOFFWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
JACK DUFFERWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
85
CAVON CROOMWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
TYRONE BRODENWR —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS21 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BROCK HORNEHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
ANTHONY JOHNSONHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
JORDAN ANDERSONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
TYRONE BRODENHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DAWAN MARTINHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
JOEY CARROLLHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
DAVIN WILSONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
LUKE HARMONHS RECRUITOT★2UNR
GRANT ABBOTTHS RECRUITOG★2UNR
TREVON RAYMOREHS RECRUITRB★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT26 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JARRET DOEGEWEST VIRGINIAQBUNR★3
SCOTT MILLERNFL DRAFT R6WRUNR—
FRED GARTHELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
DORIAN HENDRIXELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
CLINT STEPHENSELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
MONTRE GREGORYELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
AUSTIN LABUSELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
ROMEO MASUKUELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
JUSTIN SAWMILLERELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
BRANDON HARRISELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#129NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7890COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
73TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
15
14
24
9
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED33 OF 73
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST37% BACK37th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG37% BACK37th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR3%3th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE