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● LIVE|2020 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|SCOT LOEFFLER|—RECORD0-5|CONF—
BOWLING GREEN126 FPIMAC · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
9FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#850 BC / 35
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
0-5ACTUALvs0.2-4.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN-33.6
0 wins against a scoring profile describing 0.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE5 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
30MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
10NOV 4ATOLEDO—L 3-38303434-32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HKENT STATE—L 24-62162323-21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HBUFFALO#25L 17-42125353-51BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 28AOHIO—L 10-52183636-34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 5AAKRON—L 3-3110220BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
16
LABRONZ DAVISQB FRRET
UNR—00%——
3
MATT MCDONALDQB SERET
★3—00%——
6
DARIUS WADEQB SERET
UNR—00%——
7
RILEY KELLERQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
15
TUCKER MELTONQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
11
KODY SPARKSQB FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
18
MAX DENMANQB FRRET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET59NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
TA'RON KEITHRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
TREVON RAYMORERB JURET
★2—00%——
30
PASEAN WIMBERLYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
8
TERION STEWARTRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
12
BRYSON DENLEYRB SERET
★3—00%——
11
ANDREW CLAIRRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
23
CHARLES LAMARRB SERET
UNR—00%——
24
DAVON JONESRB SERET
UNR—00%——
40
MAURICE ADIKARB SERET
UNR—00%——
32
NIGEL SEALEYRB JURET
UNR—00%——
31
TRE'RON FULLERTONRB SORET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
JHAYLIN EMBRYWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
89
ANDREW BENCHTE SERET
★2★300%—ROSE
88
CHRISTIAN SIMSTE SERET
★2—00%——
2
JAVONTE KINSEYTE SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
17
JULIAN ORTEGA-JONESWR SERET
★2★200%—HELD
5
TYRONE BRODENWR SERET
★3★400%—ROSE
80
QUINTIN MORRISTE SERET
★3—00%——
82
PRESLEY MOTESTE SERET
UNR—00%——
15
NOAH MASSEYWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
83
AUSTIN DORRISTE SERET
UNR—00%——
44
DECLAN BURTTE JURET
UNR—00%——
8
RB MARLOW IIIWR SERET
UNR—00%——
4
JORDAN WAYNE-PRATHERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
81
JAKE PAPEZTE FRRET
★3—00%——
10
LEVI GAZAREKTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
9
GRIFFIN LITTLETE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
14
JAKE ROGERSWR JURET
★2—00%——
26
PARKER SHERRYWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
42
CHRIS KARRASTE FRRET
UNR—00%——
45
VICTOR COPELAND JR.TE FRRET
UNR—00%——
13
NICK NIEHOFFWR JURET
UNR—00%——
89
JACK DUFFERWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
85
CAVON CROOMWR SERET
UNR—00%——
28
SHON STRICKLANDWR FRTRUE FR
★2★200%—HELD
23
TY COOKWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
27
NIC KILBRIDETE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
BRYCE BOYERTE SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
80
COLE LAKATOSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
NATE DAMRONTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DESHAWN JONESHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
TUCKER MELTONHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
BILLIE ROBERTSHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
LEVI GAZAREKHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
JAVONTE KINSEYHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ELIJAH EBERHARDTHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
RILEY KELLERHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
GRIFFIN LITTLEHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
TA'RON KEITHHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JORDAN PORTERHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT2 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
GRANT LOYAUBURNQBUNRUNR
TORRIAN HAMPTONNOT LISTEDLB★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#85NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 35 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8091COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKNEW
26TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
0
5
9
7
5
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-3 TO +9 W
IMPROVED12 OF 26
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST72% BACK72th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG72% BACK72th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
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