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● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
BIG 12|KALANI SITAKE|—RECORD4-9|CONF—
BYU93 FPIB12 · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
61FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#662 BC / 25
BC RATIO
14%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
4-9ACTUALvs3.8-9.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-7.6
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
46MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 26HPORTLAND STATE—W 20-6————NON-FBS OPPONENT
1SEP 2ALSU#18L 0-27969292-68BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HUTAH—L 13-19718181-57BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HWISCONSIN#7L 6-40739898-74BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29AUTAH STATE—L 24-40173535-11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6HBOISE STATE#22L 7-24477171-47BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14AMISSISSIPPI STATE#19L 10-35818686-62BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21AEAST CAROLINA—L 17-33451313+11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HSAN JOSÉ STATE—W 41-203344+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4AFRESNO STATE—L 13-20313737-13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10AUNLV—W 31-21181212+12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HMASSACHUSETTS—L 10-16302121+3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25AHAWAI'I—W 30-201755+19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET8NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
JOE CRITCHLOWQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
KOY DETMER JR.QB —RET
UNR—00%——
12
TANNER MANGUMQB SERET
UNR—00%——
7
BEAU HOGEQB JURET
UNR—00%——
13
KODY WILSTEADQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
15
HAYDEN GRIFFITTSQB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET29NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
TREY DYERB SERET
UNR—00%——
24
KJ HALLRB JURET
UNR—00%——
5
ULA TOLUTAURB SORET
UNR—00%——
35
BRAYDEN EL-BAKRIRB SERET
UNR—00%——
2
MATT HADLEYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
22
SQUALLY CANADARB SERET
UNR—00%——
34
RILEY BURTRB SERET
UNR—00%——
42
JOHNNY TAPUSOARB JURET
UNR—00%——
36
CREED RICHARDSONRB —RET
UNR—00%——
32
ZACHARY KATOARB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
JONAH TRINNAMANWR —RET
UNR—00%——
88
TANNER BALDERREETE —RET
UNR—00%——
15
ALEVA HIFOWR SERET
★3—00%——
89
MATT BUSHMANTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
21
TALON SHUMWAYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
13
MICAH SIMONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
2
NEIL PAU'UWR JURET
UNR—00%——
1
AKILE DAVISWR JURET
UNR—00%——
17
MORONI LAULU-PUTUTAUTE SERET
UNR—00%——
23
BATCHLOR JOHNSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
83
AUSTIN WHETZELWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
42
KYLE GRIFFITTSTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
TARIQ BUCHANANWR FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
23
DYLAN COLLIEWR —RET
UNR—00%——
20
RICKEY SHUMWAYWR —RET
UNR—00%——
33
TOMMY NELSONWR —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
25
TAGGART KRUEGERWR —RET
UNR—00%——
86
BENTLEY HANSHAWTE —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
27
CHAYCE BOLLIWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
INOKE LOTULELEIWR —RET
UNR—00%——
22
NEPHI STEVENSWR —RET
UNR—00%——
87
HUNTER MARSHALLTE —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHAZ AH YOUHS RECRUITS★4UNR
LANGI TUIFUAHS RECRUITWDE★4UNR
ALDEN TOFAHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
JACKSON MCCHESNEYHS RECRUITAPB★3UNR
BEN BYWATERHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
BENTLEY HANSHAWHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
D'ANGELO GUNTERHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ISAAC REXHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
TYLER BATTYHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
SELETI FEVALEAKIHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT19 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAMAAL WILLIAMSNFL DRAFT R4RBUNR—
QUIN FICKLINELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
TAYSOM HILLNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
ALGERNON BROWNNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
SAE TAUTUNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
TRAVIS TUILOMANOT LISTEDDLUNR—
HARVEY LANGINOT LISTEDRBUNR—
AUSTIN HEDERNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
MOSES KAUMATULENOT LISTEDDLUNR—
COLBY HANSENNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#66NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
2OF 25 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8118COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
74TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
16
24
15
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.8 W
FULL RANGE-8 TO +5 W
IMPROVED19 OF 74
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST26% BACK26th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG26% BACK26th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR8%8th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE