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● LIVE|2023 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›BYU›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
BIG 12|KALANI SITAKE|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
BYU73 FPIB12 · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
47FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
22%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
52%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-1IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#663 BC / 21
BC RATIO
9%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs4.2-7.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-6.8
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE12
PERFORMANCE12
TALENT65
CONTINUITY22
DEFENSE60
PERFORMANCE60
TALENT54
CONTINUITY52
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
66MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HSAM HOUSTON—W 14-071414+29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HSOUTHERN UTAH—W 41-16————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 16AARKANSAS—W 38-31775959-16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23AKANSAS#23L 27-38558282-39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29HCINCINNATI—W 35-27643434+9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14ATCU—L 11-44877474-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HTEXAS TECH—W 27-14726868-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28ATEXAS#3L 6-35969696-53BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4AWEST VIRGINIA—L 7-37647272-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HIOWA STATE—L 13-45577272-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HOKLAHOMA#15L 24-31948888-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25AOKLAHOMA STATE#16L 34-40606969-26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB62TAL90PERF62RET0ONE OWNERn=2 · 7 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
KEDON SLOVISQB SEPORTAL · PITTSBURGH
★3★37766%+24HELD
12
JAKE RETZLAFFQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR★46634%-45EMERGED
6
CADE FENNEGANQB SERET
★2★200%-22HELD
12
NICK BILLOUPSQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
15
RYDER BURTONQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
16
COLE HAGENQB SONO SNAPS
★4—00%——
▾RB48TAL71PERF48RET7ROTATIONn=3 · 5 METRICS · 13 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
AIDAN ROBBINSRB JUPORTAL · UNLV
★3★48338%+5ROSE
4
LJ MARTINRB SENO SNAPS
★3—8338%-13—
12
PRESTON REXRB SERET
★3—482%——
20
DEION SMITHRB SEPORTAL · COLORADO
★3★36215%-29HELD
MILES DAVISRB SERET
★3★3508%+14HELD
21
ENOCH NAWAHINERB SERET
★2—00%-53—
26
MORGAN PYPERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
7
HINCKLEY ROPATIRB SERET
UNR★300%+3EMERGED
30
NUKULUVE HELURB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
▾WR/TE57TAL40PERF58RET68ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 47 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
83
ISAAC REXTE JURET
★3—9751%+20—
2
CHASE ROBERTSWR SERET
★3—8327%+26—
5
DARIUS LASSITERWR SEPORTAL · EASTERN MICHIGAN
UNR★37722%+11EMERGED
1
KEANU HILLTE SERET
★3—7625%+31—
0
KEELAN MARIONWR SEPORTAL · UCONN
UNR★47420%+8EMERGED
0
KODY EPPSWR JURET
★3★37017%+26HELD
88
MATA'AVA TA'ASETE SENO SNAPS
UNR—6314%——
11
PARKER KINGSTONWR JURET
★3—589%+26—
42
RAY PAULOTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—434%——
22
MASON FAKAHUATE SERET
★2—373%——
87
ETHAN ERICKSONTE SERET
★3—342%——
13
JOJO PHILLIPSWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—342%——
36
TALMAGE GUNTHERWR JURET
UNR—271%——
9
DOMINIQUE HENRYWR SERET
★3★3191%—HELD
87
JACKSON BOWERSTE JUNO SNAPS
★4★450%—HELD
13
KOA ELDREDGEWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
82
KADE MOOREWR SORET
★2★200%—HELD
23
HOBBS NYBERGWR JURET
UNR—00%——
85
ANTHONY OLSENTE JURET
UNR—00%——
15
NASON COLEMANTE SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
80
DEVIN DOWNINGWR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
20
JAKE HILLWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
31
KEVIN DOEWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
35
BENTLEY REDDENTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▸OL58TAL73PERF58RET0n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL34TAL40PERF34RET61n=10 · 7 METRICS · 49 OBS
▸LB35TAL71PERF35RET45n=5 · 11 METRICS · 30 OBS
▸DB51TAL54PERF51RET49n=11 · 6 METRICS · 46 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS9 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
HUNTER CLEGGHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
JACKSON BOWERSHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
SIALE ESERAHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
LJ MARTINHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
ETHAN THOMASONHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JOJO PHILLIPSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
MILES HALLHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
NASERI DANIELSONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
SAIMONE DAVISHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN16 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AIDAN ROBBINSUNLVRB★3★4
EDDIE HECKARDWEBER STATECB★2★4
HARRISON TAGGARTOREGONLB★4★4
KEDON SLOVISPITTSBURGHQB★3★3
CALEB ETIENNEOKLAHOMA STATEOT★3★3
AJ VONGPHACHANHUTAH STATELB★3★3
PAUL MAILEUTAHIOL★3★3
JACKSON CRAVENSBOISE STATEDL★3★3
IAN FITZGERALDMISSOURI STATEOTUNR★3
DEION SMITHCOLORADORB★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT39 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
GABE JEUDY-LALLYTENNESSEEDB★3★4
KEENAN PILITENNESSEELB★3★4
GEORGE UDOCINCINNATIDB★3★3
DALLIN HOLKERCOLORADO STATETE★3★3
LOGAN PILIUTAH STATELB★3★3
JACOB CONOVERARIZONA STATEQB★4★3
KALEB HAYESELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
LORENZO FAUATEAELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
PEPE TANUVASAELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
D'ANGELO MANDELLELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES79%10 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS49%9 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#66NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
3OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8452COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
2021 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
63TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
14
23
8
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED15 OF 63
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST22% BACK22th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG22% BACK22th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST49%49th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE