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HOME›TEAMS›CENTRAL MICHIGAN›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|JOHN BONAMEGO|—RECORD1-11|CONF—
CENTRAL MICHIGAN118 FPIMAC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
34FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1200 BC / 20
BC RATIO
9%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
1-11ACTUALvs2.3-9.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-12.3
1 wins against a scoring profile describing 2.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
34MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1AKENTUCKY#12L 20-35778181-75BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8HKANSAS—L 7-31482323-17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15ANORTHERN ILLINOIS—L 16-24373232-26BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22HMAINE—W 17-5————NON-FBS OPPONENT
5SEP 29AMICHIGAN STATE—L 20-31767878-72BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6HBUFFALO—L 24-34233737-31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13HBALL STATE—L 23-242199-3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20HWESTERN MICHIGAN—L 10-35392020-14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27AAKRON—L 10-172088-2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3AEASTERN MICHIGAN—L 7-17143434-28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HBOWLING GREEN—L 13-242533+3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23ATOLEDO—L 13-51424949-43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
TOMMY LAZZAROQB SERET
UNR—00%——
8
GEORGE PEARSONQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET98NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
DARIUS BRACYRB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
5
KOBE LEWISRB SENO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
3
ROMELLO ROSSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
JONATHAN WARDRB SERET
★2—00%——
25
DEVON SPALDINGRB SERET
UNR—00%——
28
JERROD DAVISRB JURET
UNR—00%——
32
THADDEUS CORNICKRB SERET
UNR—00%——
35
JAIER HARDENRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
87
LOGAN HESSBROOKTE SERET
UNR—00%——
11
JACOREY SULLIVANWR SERET
★3—00%——
83
JOEL WILSONTE JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
44
HUNTER BUCZKOWSKITE SERET
★2—00%——
82
AUSTIN HERGOTTTE JURET
★3★300%—HELD
80
DRAYTON LAWWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
85
KEEGAN COSSOUTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
14
BEN MALESZYKWR JURET
UNR—00%——
19
TYRONE SCOTTWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
9
JACK COMBSWR JURET
★2—00%——
87
TONY POLJANTE SERET
★3—00%——
82
CAMERON COLEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
18
BRANDON CHILDRESSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
4
JAMIL SABBAGHWR JURET
UNR—00%——
9
DAMON TERRYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
1
JULIAN HICKSWR SERET
★2★200%—HELD
84
BAILEY EDWARDSWR SORET
★3—00%——
48
OAKLEY LAVALLIITE SERET
UNR—00%——
16
NORMAN ANDERSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
13
MARK PATRITTOWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
42
TYLER BARKELEYWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
27
JALEN BOESWR JURET
UNR—00%——
89
GERVON WINNWR —RET
UNR—00%——
17
TONY PALMERWR —RET
UNR—00%——
83
KEITH JEFFERSONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
47
TY HENDERSONWR —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KEONTA NIXONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
RANDALL HARRISHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
MONTRAE BRASWELLHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
GEORGE PEARSONHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
LAQUAN JOHNSONHS RECRUITWDE★2UNR
TYDEN FERRISHS RECRUITSDE★2UNR
CARLTON CLEOPHATHS RECRUITOLB★2UNR
TICO BROWNHS RECRUITDT★2UNR
JONATHAN CLARKHS RECRUITRB★2UNR
JOEL WILSONHS RECRUITPRO★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT25 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BERKLEY EDWARDSMICHIGANRBUNRUNR
TYLER CONKLINNFL DRAFT R5TEUNR—
JOSH COXNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
ZACH CROUCHNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
GARY JONESNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
CHRIS KANTZAVELOSNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
DONNY KYRENOT LISTEDDLUNR—
JOE OSTMANNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
MICHAEL STEINHAUERNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
COREY WILLISNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#120NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7919COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
63TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
14
23
8
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED15 OF 63
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST38% BACK38th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG38% BACK38th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE