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HOME›TEAMS›CENTRAL MICHIGAN›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|JIM MCELWAIN|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
CENTRAL MICHIGAN107 FPIMAC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
18FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
13%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#840 BC / 19
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
4-8ACTUALvs5.1-6.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-3.4
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE22
PERFORMANCE22
TALENT28
CONTINUITY13
DEFENSE23
PERFORMANCE23
TALENT31
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
34MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1AOKLAHOMA STATE—L 44-58727777-62BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HSOUTH ALABAMA—L 24-38377575-60BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17HBUCKNELL—W 41-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 24APENN STATE#7L 14-33909595-80BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1ATOLEDO—L 17-38433838-23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8HBALL STATE—L 16-17131313+2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15AAKRON—W 28-213233+12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HBOWLING GREEN—L 18-342377+8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2ANORTHERN ILLINOIS—W 35-222166+9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HBUFFALO—W 31-27162626-11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HWESTERN MICHIGAN—L 10-123188+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25AEASTERN MICHIGAN—L 19-38203131-16BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB40TAL24PERF40RET81ONE OWNERn=3 · 8 METRICS · 16 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
DANIEL RICHARDSONQB JURET
★3★28181%-8FELL
8
JASE BAUERQB SENO SNAPS
★3★35519%-4HELD
12
TYLER PAPEQB SORET
★3—00%——
▾RB20TAL46PERF20RET91ONE OWNERn=4 · 9 METRICS · 17 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
LEW NICHOLS IIIRB SORET
★3—9359%-5—
9
MARION LUKESRB SERET
★3—6115%+27—
26
MYLES BAILEYRB SERET
★3—5913%-15—
27
SAM HICKSRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—529%——
26
JAKE TAFELSKIRB SERET
UNR—384%——
36
CHRISTIAN BROWNRB SORET
UNR—00%——
39
TYLER DEWITTRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
5
NAHREE BIGGINSRB SERET
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE38TAL27PERF34RET28ONE OWNERn=9 · 8 METRICS · 46 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
83
JOEL WILSONTE JURET
★2—9650%+9—
2
CARLOS CARRIEREWR SENO SNAPS
★3—8927%+1—
11
FINN HOGANWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★28222%-41EMERGED
15
JALEN MCGAUGHYWR SENO SNAPS
★3★37517%+23HELD
86
MARCUS YOUNGTE SORET
UNR—7223%——
15
CADE CONLEYTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR★37021%+32EMERGED
15
IRONE JACKSONWR SONO SNAPS
★3—629%-61—
25
NOAH KOENIGSKNECHTWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—608%+5—
6
DALLAS DIXONWR SERET
UNR—515%+36—
84
KENNY BREWER IIIWR SERET
UNR—463%——
20
LANGSTON LEWISWR JUNO SNAPS
★2★3423%—ROSE
13
CHRIS PARKERWR SERET
★3★3413%—HELD
85
BRYANT KIEFTTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—373%——
22
TYSON DAVISWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★3352%—HELD
13
JORDYN WILLIAMSWR SENO SNAPS
★3—231%——
34
ALEC PALELLATE JUNO SNAPS
★3—221%——
8
DECORION TEMPLETE JUNO SNAPS
★3★3211%—HELD
18
ALEC WARDWR SORET
★2—201%——
82
MITCHEL COLLIERTE SORET
★2—171%——
44
CHASE PEDDIEWR FRRET
UNR—130%——
5
BERT EMANUEL JR.WR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
43
ALEX ARCHWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
JAVON GANTTWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
80
MATTEO CARRIEREWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
11
BAILEY SMITHTE JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
86
JACK TREMBLAYWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
42
MASON KNIPPENTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
17
JESSE PREWITT IIIWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
JORDAN KELLYWR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▸OL39TAL25PERF39RET0n=5 · 3 METRICS · 15 OBS
▸DL56TAL19PERF56RET83n=9 · 7 METRICS · 53 OBS
▸LB45TAL37PERF45RET92n=5 · 10 METRICS · 25 OBS
▸DB47TAL38PERF47RET60n=9 · 8 METRICS · 48 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BERT EMANUEL JR.HS RECRUITQB★3UNR
JORDAN KWIATKOWSKIHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
KADE KOSTUSHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
AMBROSE WILSONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
MARTIN KOIVISTOHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
JORDAN RAMSEYHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
BRADY PLOUCHAHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
MATTEO CARRIEREHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
OUMAR CONDEHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
ALEX HEININGERHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT20 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DEVONNI REEDSOUTH CAROLINADB★4UNR
DARIUS BRACYMIDDLE TENNESSEERB★2UNR
AMIR SIDDIQCHARLOTTEDL★3UNR
DAEDAE HILLFLORIDA ATLANTICDB★3UNR
TROY BROWNOLE MISSLB★4UNR
TICO BROWNMISSOURI STATEDL★2★3
GAGE KRESKIELIGIBILITY UPDB★2—
ALONZO MCCOYELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
JACOREY SULLIVANELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
REMI SIMMONSELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#84NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8215COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST70% BACK70th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG70% BACK70th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR81%81th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST60%60th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE