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HOME›TEAMS›COASTAL CAROLINA›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
SUN BELT|JAMEY CHADWELL|—RECORD11-0|CONF—
COASTAL CAROLINA#14 AP 30 FPISBC · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
8FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1160 BC / 22
BC RATIO
1%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
11-0ACTUALvs9.2-1.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+18.7
11 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE11 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
45MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
2SEP 12AKANSAS—W 38-235099+63BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18HCAMPBELL—W 43-21————NON-FBS OPPONENT
5OCT 3HARKANSAS STATE—W 52-23292828+44BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14ALOUISIANA#15W 30-27267474-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 24HGEORGIA SOUTHERN—W 28-14214848+24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 31AGEORGIA STATE—W 51-0202929+43BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 7HSOUTH ALABAMA—W 23-6151515+57BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 21HAPP STATE—W 34-23267979-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 28ATEXAS STATE—W 49-14271111+61BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 5HBYU#11W 22-17469595-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
15DEC 12ATROY—W 42-38195959+13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
FRED PAYTONQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
7
JARRETT GUESTQB SERET
★3★200%—FELL
2
GRAYSON MCCALLQB SERET
★2★400%—ROSE
12
BRYCE CARPENTERQB SERET
★2—00%——
14
BRAD THILTGENQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
18
ZACHARY STEVENSQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET74NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
REESE WHITERB SERET
★3—00%——
26
ISAIAH CONNELLYRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
28
BRAYDON BENNETTRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
5
SHERMARI JONESRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
27
CJ BEASLEYRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
1
CJ MARABLERB SERET
UNR—00%——
31
BADEN PINSONRB JURET
★2★200%—HELD
17
RANDALL BROWNRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
25
CHRISTIAN MALLOYRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
39
QUASIM PORTERRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
NATE HOPE IIRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
12
FRED JACKSONRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
88
CONNER MCCARTHYWR JURET
★2—00%——
11
KAMERON BROWNWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
20
GREG LATUSHKOWR SERET
UNR—00%——
40
PATRICK MCSWEENEYTE SERET
★3—00%——
17
SAM DENMARKWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
MICHAEL MCFARLANETE SERET
★2★200%—HELD
6
JAIVON HEILIGHWR SERET
★3—00%——
4
ISAIAH LIKELYTE SERET
★2—00%——
8
TYSON MOBLEYWR SENO SNAPS
★2★300%—ROSE
21
ERIC STIEMKETE SORET
★2—00%——
80
ROB MORROWWR JURET
UNR—00%——
85
JALEN DARBYWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
AARON BEDGOODWR SERET
★2★200%—HELD
DEON FOUNTAINWR SERET
★3—00%——
15
DREW LESZCZYNSKIWR SORET
★3—00%——
42
JAKE BROOMTE FRRET
UNR—00%——
82
WYATT ROACHEWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
5
TYLER ROBERTSWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
84
NICK CHILDSWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
33
NIC BURROUGHS-ROGERSTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
3
LOGAN MAULDINTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
34
WILT GABETE 5TNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
TYLER MARCHESETE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
38
TAJ THOMASWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
24
DJ JOHNSONTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
83
MARC SMITHWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
19
KYRE DUPLESSISWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
WILLIE MOISEHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
DONAVON JOHNSONHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
SHON BROWNHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
CJ BEASLEYHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
WILLIE LAMPKINHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
RAYQUAN JONESHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
CHARLES STEELEHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
AARON DIGGSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
MASON SHELTONHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
BRAYDON BENNETTHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAI WILLIAMSCAMPBELLWR★2UNR
JEREMIAH MILLERSTEPHEN F. AUSTINWR★2UNR
CINCIR EVANSELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
LAQAVIOUS PAULELIGIBILITY UPLB★2—
MALLORY CLAYBOURNEELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
SHADELL BELLELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
STERLING JOHNSONELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
KY'JON TYLERELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
CHANDLER KRYSTELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
JOSH ANDERSONELIGIBILITY UPWR★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#116NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8197COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST82% BACK82th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG82% BACK82th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE