SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›COLORADO›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
BIG 12|KARL DORRELL|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
COLORADO88 FPIB12 · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
66FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-7IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#650 BC / 19
BC RATIO
11%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
4-8ACTUALvs3.6-8.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-7.9
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
63MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HNORTHERN COLORADO—W 35-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 11HTEXAS A&M—L 7-10969696-76BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18HMINNESOTA—L 0-30698787-67BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25AARIZONA STATE—L 13-35828181-61BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2HUSC—L 14-37933838-18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16HARIZONA—W 34-0511414+6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23ACALIFORNIA—L 3-26724848-28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30AOREGON#22L 29-52957171-51BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6HOREGON STATE—W 37-34666666-46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13AUCLA—L 20-44846969-49BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20HWASHINGTON—W 20-17883636-16BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26AUTAH#12L 13-28788888-68BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET6NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
BRENDON LEWISQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
9
DREW CARTERQB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
14
TYSON LANGQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
5
J.T. SHROUTQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET89NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
ALEX FONTENOTRB SERET
★3—00%——
2
SHAADIE CLAYTON-JOHNSONRB SERET
★4—00%——
20
DEION SMITHRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
3
JAREK BROUSSARDRB 5TRET
★3—00%——
23
JOE DAVISRB SORET
★3—00%——
21
JAYLE STACKSRB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
44
CHARLIE OFFERDAHLRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
84
MATT LYNCHTE SERET
★3—00%——
10
JAYLON JACKSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
38
BRADY RUSSELLTE SERET
★2—00%——
9
TRUSTIN OLIVERWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
5
CHRIS CARPENTERWR SERET
★3—00%——
5
MONTANA LEMONIOUS-CRAIGWR SERET
★3★400%—ROSE
10
TY ROBINSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
6
DANIEL ARIASWR SERET
★3—00%——
14
DIMITRI STANLEYWR SERET
★3—00%——
21
ALEC PELLTE SERET
★3—00%——
5
LA'VONTAE SHENAULTWR FRRET
★4—00%——
2
BRENDEN RICEWR SERET
★4—00%——
13
CHASE PENRYWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
13
MAURICE BELLWR SERET
★3—00%——
85
JARED POPLAWSKITE JURET
★3—00%——
98
NICO MAGRITE JURET
UNR—00%——
86
C.J. SCHMANSKITE SORET
UNR—00%——
87
ERIK OLSENTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
12
CALEB FAURIATE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
88
KEITH MILLER IIIWR FRRET
★3—00%——
89
LOUIS PASSARELLOTE SORET
★3—00%——
87
MICHAEL HARRISONTE SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
12
AUSTIN SMITHTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ERIK OLSENHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
TYAS MARTINHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
CHASE PENRYHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DREW CARTERHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
TREVOR WOODSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
ZEPHANIAH MAEAHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
TY ROBINSONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
EDGAR AMAYAHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
KAYLIN MOOREHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JACKSON ANDERSONHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN6 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ROBERT BARNESOKLAHOMAS★4★3
JACK LAMBNOTRE DAMELB★4★3
J.T. SHROUTTENNESSEEPROUNR★3
MAX WRAYOHIO STATEOT★4★4
BLAYNE TOLLARKANSASTE★3★3
NOAH FENSKEIOWAOG★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT8 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAREN MANGHAMSOUTH FLORIDARB★4★3
AKIL JONESINCARNATE WORDLB★3★3
SAM NOYEROREGON STATEQB★3★3
DERRION RAKESTRAWTULANES★3★3
K.D. NIXONUSCWR★4★3
TYLER LYTLEMASSACHUSETTSQB★3★3
WILLIAM SHERMANNFL DRAFT R6OLUNR—
KJ TRUJILLONOT LISTEDDB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#65NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8419COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
613 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKNEW
16TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
1
2
2
6
5
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-0.3 TO +3.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +9 W
IMPROVED11 OF 16
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST55% BACK55th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG55% BACK55th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR6%6th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE