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● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›COLORADO STATE›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
PAC-12|STEVE ADDAZIO|—RECORD3-9|CONF—
COLORADO STATE97 FPIPAC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
33FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-7IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#890 BC / 23
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
3-9ACTUALvs4.8-7.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-4.6
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
43MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HSOUTH DAKOTA STATE—L 23-42————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 11HVANDERBILT—L 21-245966+27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18ATOLEDO—W 22-6385757-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25AIOWA#23L 14-24708080-47BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9HSAN JOSÉ STATE—W 32-14263535-2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16ANEW MEXICO—W 36-71988+25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22AUTAH STATE#24L 24-26233939-6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30HBOISE STATE—L 19-28506969-36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6AWYOMING—L 17-31134141-8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HAIR FORCE—L 21-3515959-26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20AHAWAI'I—L 45-50243434-1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27HNEVADA—L 10-52294949-16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET31NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
TODD CENTEIOQB SERET
★3—00%——
7
EVAN OLAESQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
15
COLLIN HILLQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
6
JONAH O'BRIENQB SORET
UNR—00%——
13
LUKE MCALLISTERQB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
10
CHANCE HARRISQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET89NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
29
ALEX BERROUETRB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
23
JAYLEN THOMASRB SERET
★2—00%——
1
A'JON VIVENSRB SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
26
DAVID BAILEYRB SEPORTAL · BOSTON COLLEGE
★3★300%—HELD
28
MARCUS MCELROY JR.RB SERET
★3—00%——
46
ADAM PRENTICEFB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
28
CHRISTIAN HUNTERRB SORET
★2—00%——
24
KYJUAN HERNDONRB FRRET
★3—00%——
28
DAVID AGGREYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
31
TANNER HOLLENSRB FRRET
★2—00%——
37
BLAKE BEECHERRB FRRET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
14
GERICK ROBINSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
84
GARY WILLIAMSTE SERET
★3—00%——
85
TREY MCBRIDETE JUPORTAL · COLORADO STATE
★3★300%—HELD
9
JORDAN KRESSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★200%—EMERGED
16
CAMERON BUTLERTE SERET
★3—00%——
6
TY MCCULLOUCHWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
5
DANTE WRIGHTWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
85
TANNER ARKINTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
88
BRIAN POLENDEYTE SERET
★3—00%——
2
JUSTICE MCCOYWR SERET
★3—00%——
3
E.J. SCOTTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
81
THOMAS PANNUNZIOWR SERET
UNR—00%——
7
KYLE HELBIGTE SORET
★3—00%——
26
LOGAN LUDWIGWR SORET
UNR—00%——
83
CHRIS MCEAHERNWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
81
DANE OLSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
DYLAN WALKERTE FRRET
★3—00%——
19
DAWSON MENEGATTIWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS21 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
LATHAN ADAMSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
TYLER QUINNHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
LUKE MCALLISTERHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
GEORGE MIKI-HANHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
DAMIR ABDULLAHHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JUSTIN MICHAELHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
DRAKE MARTINEZHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
GRADY KELLYHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
ANDREW KULICKHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
LANGSTON WILLIAMSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN4 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DAVID BAILEYBOSTON COLLEGERB★3★3
VINCE PICOZZITEMPLEIOLUNR★3
MIKE CIAFFONIBOSTON COLLEGEDL★3★3
LINWOOD CRUMPTEMPLECB★2★2
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT4 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NATE CRAIG-MYERSUCFWR★4★3
PATRICK O'BRIENWASHINGTONQB★4★3
DAJON OWENSSTONY BROOKDBUNRUNR
CHRISTIAN CUMBERNOT LISTEDDB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#89NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 23 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8212COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
411 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
56TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
5
15
14
11
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +6 W
IMPROVED25 OF 56
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST69% BACK69th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG69% BACK69th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR31%31th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE