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HOME›TEAMS›EAST CAROLINA›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|MIKE HOUSTON|—RECORD2-10|CONF—
EAST CAROLINA98 FPIAAC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
45FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
63%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
79%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-8IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#651 BC / 21
BC RATIO
7%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
2-10ACTUALvs4.2-7.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-2.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN-5.1
2 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE6
PERFORMANCE6
TALENT51
CONTINUITY63
DEFENSE58
PERFORMANCE58
TALENT32
CONTINUITY79
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
43MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2AMICHIGAN#1L 3-3091100100-83BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HMARSHALL—L 13-31312626-9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16AAPP STATE—L 28-43396161-44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HGARDNER-WEBB—W 44-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
5SEP 30ARICE—L 17-24282323-6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HSMU#22L 10-31768383-66BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HCHARLOTTE—L 7-104333+14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28AUTSA—L 27-41476464-47BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HTULANE—L 10-13415656-39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11AFLORIDA ATLANTIC—W 22-7492525-8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18ANAVY—L 0-1011515+2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HTULSA—L 27-29401515+2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB61TAL35PERF61RET24ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
ALEX FLINNQB JURET
★3—8575%-37—
10
MASON GARCIAQB SORET
★4★46224%-50HELD
2
RAHEIM JETERQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★340%—HELD
23
MEL JACOBSQB JURET
UNR—00%——
6
TY LITTLEQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
14
PATRICK BRYANQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB48TAL59PERF48RET86ONE OWNERn=4 · 9 METRICS · 16 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
47
RAHJAI HARRISRB SERET
★3—8946%-44—
21
MARLON GUNN JR.RB SERET
★3—6618%-40—
0
GERALD GREENRB SEPORTAL · GEORGIA SOUTHERN
★2★35711%+17ROSE
37
KAMARRO EDMONDSRB SORET
★4★4456%+24HELD
22
JORDAN MCINNISRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
32
JOSEPH MCKAYRB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
40
CJ ARMSTRONGRB JURET
UNR—00%——
48
GRAYSON KLUERB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE34TAL60PERF36RET62ONE OWNERn=7 · 8 METRICS · 42 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
88
JSI HATFIELDWR SERET
★3—9627%+6—
0
CHASE SOWELLWR SEPORTAL · COLORADO
★3★49527%+24ROSE
1
JAYLEN JOHNSONWR SERET
UNR—9426%-14—
82
SHANE CALHOUNTE SERET
★3★38250%-29HELD
6
DESIRRIO RILESTE SENO SNAPS
★3★36628%-46HELD
JHARI PATTERSONWR SERET
★3★3649%-28HELD
10
BROCK SPALDINGWR SERET
★3—535%-60—
9
TYLER SAVAGETE SERET
★3—5212%-35—
85
ANTONIO FERGUSONTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★35111%—HELD
82
JARETT GARNERWR SERET
★3—493%-40—
9
RYAN KINGWR SEPORTAL · GEORGIA TECH
★3★3281%-59HELD
3
KELAN ROBINSONWR SEPORTAL · KANSAS
★3★3271%—HELD
19
JOSH MURPHYWR SORET
UNR—100%——
7
KERRY KINGWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
MALIK LEVERETTWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
84
ZION AGNEWWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
25
MCCALLUM WRIGHTWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
45
MASON BROWNTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL39TAL47PERF39RET62n=8 · 3 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DL58TAL31PERF58RET99n=7 · 7 METRICS · 40 OBS
▸LB49TAL26PERF49RET69n=9 · 11 METRICS · 56 OBS
▸DB54TAL40PERF54RET57n=9 · 8 METRICS · 44 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS12 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ANTIONE JACKSONHS RECRUITS★4UNR
NATE BRANCHHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JAVIOUS BONDHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
MALIK LEVERETTHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
RICO WATKINSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
DESIRRIO RILESHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
RAHEIM JETERHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
DEMORIS JENKINSHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
ZION AGNEWHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JAVION CLARKHS RECRUITS★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN13 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
B.J. DAVISSOUTH CAROLINA STATELBUNR★3
OMAR ROGERSELONS★3★3
GERALD GREENGEORGIA SOUTHERNRB★2★3
TYQUAN KINGNORTH CAROLINA A&TILB★3★3
JONATHAN JONESCAMPBELLCB★3★3
DONTAVIUS NASHNORTH CAROLINAS★4★3
RYAN KINGGEORGIA TECHWR★3★3
TYMIR BROWNNORTH CAROLINACB★3★3
RARA DILLWORTHNORTH CAROLINALB★4★3
CHASE SOWELLCOLORADOWR★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT30 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NISHAD STROTHEROREGONOL★2★3
MALIK FLEMINGHOUSTONDB★3★3
AVERY JONESAUBURNOL★4★4
JIREH WILSONUCFDB★3★3
JUAN POWELLCOASTAL CAROLINADB★3★3
IMMANUEL HICKMAN SR.SOUTH FLORIDADL★3★3
SHAWN DOURSEAUNORTHERN ARIZONAS★2★3
DAMEL HICKMANGEORGIA SOUTHERNDB★2★2
RICK D'ABREUTCUDL★2★3
ELIJAH ROBINSONHAWAI'IDL★2★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES66%3 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS70%7 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#65NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8470COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1725 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
63TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
14
23
8
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED15 OF 63
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST21% BACK21th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG21% BACK21th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR62%62th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR24%24th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST57%57th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE