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● LIVE|2024 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
SEC|BILLY NAPIER|—RECORD8-5|CONF—
FLORIDA21 FPISEC · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
92FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
59%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
67%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-8IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1313 BC / 19
BC RATIO
60%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
7-5ACTUALvs7.0-5.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+3.6
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE86
PERFORMANCE86
TALENT81
CONTINUITY59
DEFENSE89
PERFORMANCE89
TALENT86
CONTINUITY67
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
77MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
5 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HMIAMI#18L 17-41919393-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HSAMFORD—W 45-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 14HTEXAS A&M—L 20-33969191-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21AMISSISSIPPI STATE—W 45-28763535+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5HUCF—W 24-13775555+31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12ATENNESSEE#9L 17-23889494-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HKENTUCKY—W 48-20836666+20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2AGEORGIA#6L 20-34999696-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9ATEXAS#4L 17-49989595-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HLSU—W 27-16948989-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HOLE MISS#11W 24-17869999-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30AFLORIDA STATE—W 31-11913838+48BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 20HTULANE—W 33-8556868+18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB61TAL87PERF61RET28ONE OWNERn=3 · 8 METRICS · 11 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
DJ LAGWAYQB JUNO SNAPS
★5★47358%+22FELL
15
GRAHAM MERTZQB SERET
★4★46428%+21HELD
16
AIDAN WARNERQB SENO SNAPS
★3—5214%-54—
18
CLAY MILLENQB SEPORTAL · COLORADO STATE
★3★300%+38HELD
12
PAUL KESSLERQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
18
LAWRENCE WRIGHT IVQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
12
AARON WILLIAMSQB JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
▾RB76TAL78PERF76RET37ROTATIONn=4 · 5 METRICS · 17 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
JADAN BAUGHRB JUNO SNAPS
★4—8433%-3—
1
MONTRELL JOHNSON JR.RB SERET
★3—8331%+9—
24
JA'KOBI JACKSONRB SERET
UNR★37927%+31EMERGED
39
TREYAUN WEBBRB SERET
★4★4476%+24HELD
1
KD DANIELSRB SONO SNAPS
★4★3252%+33FELL
25
ANTHONY RUBIORB SERET
UNR—161%——
27
CAM CARROLLRB SERET
★2—121%+2—
34
KELVIN JIMENEZRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE79TAL81PERF82RET67ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 45 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
89
HAYDEN HANSENTE SERET
★3★39449%+16HELD
17
CHIMERE DIKEWR SEPORTAL · WISCONSIN
★3★38931%+19HELD
6
ELIJHAH BADGERWR SEPORTAL · ARIZONA STATE
★4★48426%+30HELD
82
ARLIS BOARDINGHAMTE SERET
★3★37828%-4HELD
10
TONY LIVINGSTONTE SERET
★4★36920%+6FELL
1
AIDAN MIZELLWR JURET
★4★46612%+8HELD
3
EUGENE WILSON IIIWR JURET
★4★46210%+25HELD
3
MARCUS BURKEWR SERET
★4★36210%-34FELL
10
TANK HAWKINSWR SONO SNAPS
★4★3515%-60FELL
0
JA'QUAVION FRAZIARSWR SERET
★4—372%-6—
30
TAYLOR SPIERTOWR SERET
UNR—362%——
44
SCOTT ISACKSTE SERET
UNR—292%——
22
KAHLEIL JACKSONWR SERET
UNR—241%+5—
7
AMIR JACKSONTE JUNO SNAPS
★4★3231%—FELL
4
TJ ABRAMSWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—181%——
83
JACKSON WADEWR JURET
UNR★370%—EMERGED
15
ANDY JEANWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
9
KEON ZIPPERERTE SERET
★4—00%-2—
19
ALEX GONZALEZWR JURET
UNR—00%——
87
GAVIN HILLTE FRRET
★4★400%—HELD
82
CALEB RILLOSTE SEPORTAL · AIR FORCE
UNR★300%-30EMERGED
2
ZAK SEDAROSWR SORET
UNR—00%——
11
BRIAN GREEN JR.WR SORET
UNR—00%——
43
JADEN EDGECOMBEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
33
DAVID SCHMIDTWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
35
DEBRAUN HAMPTONWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
19
DAWSON JOHNSONTE SONO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
▸OL70TAL79PERF71RET70n=7 · 3 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DL71TAL86PERF71RET69n=15 · 8 METRICS · 75 OBS
▸LB60TAL88PERF60RET66n=7 · 10 METRICS · 37 OBS
▸DB82TAL86PERF82RET73n=12 · 8 METRICS · 64 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DJ LAGWAYHS RECRUITQB★5UNR
LJ MCCRAYHS RECRUITDL★5UNR
MYLES GRAHAMHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
AARON CHILESHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
AMIR JACKSONHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
KD DANIELSHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
FLETCHER WESTPHALHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
D'ANTRE ROBINSONHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
TANK HAWKINSHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
GREG SMITHHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN11 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JASON ZANDAMELAUSCIOL★4★4
CORMANI MCCLAINCOLORADOCB★5★4
JOEY SLACKMANPENNSYLVANIADLUNR★4
JAMEER GRIMSLEYALABAMACBUNR★4
GRAYSON HOWARDSOUTH CAROLINALB★4★4
ELIJHAH BADGERARIZONA STATEWR★4★4
TRIKWEZE BRIDGESOREGONCB★3★3
DJ DOUGLASTULANESUNR★3
ASA TURNERWASHINGTONS★4★3
DEVON MANUELARKANSASOT★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT30 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
RICHIE LEONARD IVFLORIDA STATEOL★3★3
MICAH MAZZCCUANEBRASKAOL★3★3
PRINCELY UMANMIELENOLE MISSDE★4★4
JAYDON HILLTEXAS A&MDB★4★3
JALEN KIMBERPENN STATECB★4★3
SCOOBY WILLIAMSTEXAS A&MLB★4★4
MIGUEL MITCHELLARKANSASDB★3★3
CHRIS MCCLELLANMISSOURIDT★4★3
MANNIE NUNNERYTEXAS STATELB★3★3
TREVOR ETIENNEGEORGIARB★4★4
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES40%5 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS38%5 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#13NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
13OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9147COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1523 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST72% BACK72th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG72% BACK72th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR70%70th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR28%28th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST73%73th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE