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HOME›TEAMS›FLORIDA ATLANTIC›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|LANE KIFFIN|—RECORD10-3|CONF—
FLORIDA ATLANTIC52 FPIAAC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
44FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#600 BC / 18
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
10-3ACTUALvs9.9-3.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+15.6
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
31MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HNAVY—L 19-42324343+18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9AWISCONSIN#7L 14-31739898-37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HBETHUNE-COOKMAN—W 45-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 23ABUFFALO—L 31-34121717+44BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HMIDDLE TENNESSEE—W 38-20243131+30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7AOLD DOMINION—W 58-281988+53BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HNORTH TEXAS—W 69-31133333+28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28AWESTERN KENTUCKY—W 42-28203131+30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3HMARSHALL—W 30-25423333+28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11ALOUISIANA TECH—W 48-23362727+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—W 52-24202020+41BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25ACHARLOTTE—W 31-12911+60BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 2HNORTH TEXAS—W 41-17133333+28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
14
DE'ANDRE JOHNSONQB JURET
UNR—00%——
16
JASON DRISKELQB —RET
UNR—00%——
13
DANIEL PARRQB —RET
UNR—00%——
15
TRENT WESSELQB SERET
UNR—00%——
18
CONOR MILLERQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET98NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
43
RAY WILSON JR.RB SERET
UNR—00%——
38
SILVER SAUNDERSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
20
MARCUS CLARKRB —RET
UNR—00%——
9
GREGORY HOWELL JR.RB —RET
UNR—00%——
34
GERALD HEARNSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
6
KERRITH WHYTE JR.RB JURET
UNR—00%——
5
DEVIN SINGLETARYRB JURET
★3—00%——
18
D'ANFERNEE MCGRIFFRB SERET
UNR—00%——
28
JAMES CHARLESRB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
43
AJ TURMANRB —RET
UNR—00%——
9
GREGORY HOWELL, JR.RB —RET
UNR—00%——
6
KERRITH WHYTE, JR.RB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
WILLIE WRIGHTWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
12
JOHN FRANKLIN IIIWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
TAVARIS HARRISONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
0
JOHN RAINETE SERET
★2—00%——
19
DEANDRE MCNEALWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
40
HARRISON BRYANTTE SERET
★2—00%——
4
KALIB WOODSWR —RET
UNR—00%——
10
DUSTIN BOWENSTE —RET
UNR—00%——
1
HENRY BUSSEY IIIWR —RET
UNR—00%——
15
KAMRIN SOLOMONWR —RET
UNR—00%——
8
BOBBY MITCHELLWR —RET
UNR—00%——
83
JAMES BRUNSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
JOHN MITCHELLWR SERET
★2—00%——
87
DANTE COUSARTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
RONALD PATTERSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
41
NOLAN LYNCHTE SERET
UNR—00%——
88
JEFFTEY JOSEPHWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
DOMINIC MILANESEWR —RET
UNR—00%——
83
DENZEL HOUSTONWR —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
43
RAY WILSON, JR.TE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
44
JACOB WILSONTE —RET
★2—00%——
80
NATE TERRYWR —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AHMAN ROSSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
ROMELLO MARTINHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
QURAN HAFIZHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JORDAN MERRELLHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CHASE LASATERHS RECRUITFB★3UNR
ZYON GILBERTHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
DENZEL HOUSTONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
AKILEIS LEROYHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
WILLIE WRIGHTHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CHASE HOOPERHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT16 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
RICHIE KITTLESNORTH CAROLINA A&TSUNRUNR
TREY HENDRICKSONNFL DRAFT R3DEUNR—
TYLER CAMERONNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
ANTHONY HAMILTONNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
DILLON DEBOERNOT LISTEDOLUNR—
DALTON SCHOMPNOT LISTEDPUNR—
SHALOM OGBONDANOT LISTEDDTUNR—
DENZEL WHITFIELDNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
TONY THOMASNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
DJ JUSTENOT LISTEDDBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#60NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8184COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST96% BACK96th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG96% BACK96th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE