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HOME›TEAMS›FLORIDA ATLANTIC›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|TOM HERMAN|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
FLORIDA ATLANTIC93 FPIAAC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
49FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
78%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
69%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-6IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#820 BC / 20
BC RATIO
7%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
4-8ACTUALvs5.5-6.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN-1.8
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE24
PERFORMANCE24
TALENT48
CONTINUITY78
DEFENSE30
PERFORMANCE30
TALENT44
CONTINUITY69
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
36MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HMONMOUTH—W 42-20————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9HOHIO—L 10-17124747-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16ACLEMSON#20L 14-48978484-59BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23AILLINOIS—L 17-23554444-19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HTULSA—W 20-17401515+10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14ASOUTH FLORIDA—W 56-14533636-11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HUTSA—L 10-36476464-39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27ACHARLOTTE—W 38-164333+22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4AUAB—L 42-45291212+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HEAST CAROLINA—L 7-22451717+8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HTULANE—L 8-24415656-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25ARICE—L 21-24282323+2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB43TAL27PERF43RET0ONE OWNERn=3 · 8 METRICS · 11 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
DANIEL RICHARDSONQB JUPORTAL · CENTRAL MICHIGAN
★3★28579%-2FELL
16
CASEY THOMPSONQB SEPORTAL · NEBRASKA
★4★35719%+27FELL
1
TYRIQ STARKSQB SERET
UNR—202%——
15
MICHAEL JOHNSON JR.QB SERET
★3—00%——
19
BEN BALLARDQB SEPORTAL · TEXAS
UNR★200%—EMERGED
18
LUKE RUCKERQB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
3
CARSON CRUVERQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
12
LUKE RUKERQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB46TAL35PERF46RET63ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 16 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
LARRY MCCAMMONRB SEPORTAL · FLORIDA ATLANTIC
★3★39456%-14HELD
5
KOBE LEWISRB SEPORTAL · PURDUE
★2★28032%0HELD
2
ZUBERI MOBLEYRB SERET
★3★3456%+18HELD
25
XAVIER TERRELLRB SONO SNAPS
★3★3313%—HELD
35
KEYVON WALKERRB FRRET
UNR—303%-23—
32
ROBERT ARMESRB SERET
UNR—91%——
23
GEMARI SANDSRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
20
JOSHUA HARRIOTTRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE33TAL64PERF36RET61ONE OWNERn=8 · 7 METRICS · 42 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
LAJOHNTAY WESTERWR SERET
UNR★39833%+28EMERGED
17
TONY JOHNSONWR SERET
★3—9528%-20—
48
ZEKE MOORETE SENO SNAPS
★3★38547%-40HELD
8
JE'QUAN BURTONWR SERET
UNR—7918%+7—
6
B.J. ALEXANDERWR SERET
UNR—6711%-51—
18
KAHLIL BRANTLEYTE JUPORTAL · MIAMI
★3★36219%-34HELD
88
DEVIN PRICEWR SEPORTAL · TEXAS A&M
★3★3597%+30HELD
31
JACKSON SUMLINTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—5311%-41—
8
WYATT SULLIVANTE SERET
★3★35311%—HELD
47
CARTER BOATWRIGHTTE JURET
★3—457%——
1
JAYSHON PLATTWR SERET
★3★3382%—HELD
88
MARVIN LANDYTE SERET
UNR—374%——
85
JYMETRE HESTERWR JURET
UNR★3301%—EMERGED
85
ELIJAH BROWNTE SENO SNAPS
★4★3131%—FELL
11
JAVION POSEYWR JURET
★2★300%-43ROSE
1
OMARI HAYESWR SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
81
A.J. JENKINSWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
86
FIN JONESTE SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
5
ACE COBBWR JURET
★3—00%——
85
DONOVAN GILESWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
46
BRIDGER KOBYTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL55TAL43PERF55RET97n=5 · 3 METRICS · 15 OBS
▸DL44TAL41PERF44RET96n=10 · 7 METRICS · 50 OBS
▸LB44TAL52PERF44RET54n=7 · 11 METRICS · 52 OBS
▸DB47TAL42PERF47RET60n=12 · 8 METRICS · 58 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JORDAN CHURCHHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
GEMARI SANDSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
CHRISDASSON SAINT-JEANHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
XAVIER TERRELLHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
ANTONIO SMITHHS RECRUITS★3UNR
ARTHUR JENKINSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
KEIMAR RICHARDSONHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
CURTIS ROBERTSHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
JABARI SMITH JR.HS RECRUITWR★3UNR
FABIAN SCOTTHS RECRUITS★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN7 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ELIJAH BROWNALABAMATEUNR★3
CASEY THOMPSONNEBRASKAQB★4★3
DESMOND TISDOLAUBURNLBUNR★4
KAHLIL BRANTLEYMIAMITE★3★3
RICHARD THOMASINDIANAEDGEUNR★3
DANIEL RICHARDSONCENTRAL MICHIGANQB★3★3
WOODY JEANARIZONAOT★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT23 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TEJA YOUNGOLE MISSS★3★3
JAMIE PETTWAYSOUTH FLORIDALB★3UNR
JAYLEN JOYNERMEMPHISDL★3★3
KELVIN DEAN JR.FLORIDA A&MRBUNRUNR
GLOVER COOKUT MARTINCB★3★3
BRENDAN BORDNERELIGIBILITY UPOL★3—
NICK WEBERELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
N'KOSI PERRYELIGIBILITY UPQB★4—
JAHMAL EDRINEELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
KEEM GREENELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES74%7 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS46%7 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#82NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8392COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1117 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
56TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
5
15
14
11
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +6 W
IMPROVED25 OF 56
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST44% BACK44th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG44% BACK44th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR97%97th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST60%60th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE