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HOME›TEAMS›FLORIDA STATE›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
ACC|MIKE NORVELL|—RECORD10-3|CONF—
FLORIDA STATE#11 AP 11 FPIACC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
88FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
13%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#207 BC / 19
BC RATIO
40%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
9-3ACTUALvs9.7-2.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+16.5
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE97
PERFORMANCE97
TALENT68
CONTINUITY13
DEFENSE68
PERFORMANCE68
TALENT79
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
61MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 27HDUQUESNE—W 47-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
1SEP 4HLSU#16W 24-23959090-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16ALOUISVILLE—W 35-31577171+12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HBOSTON COLLEGE—W 44-14701313+70BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1HWAKE FOREST—L 21-31526868+15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8ANC STATE—L 17-19756363+20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HCLEMSON#13L 28-34979191-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29HGEORGIA TECH—W 41-16792222+61BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5AMIAMI—W 45-3914242+41BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12ASYRACUSE—W 38-3535353+30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HLOUISIANA—W 49-17345252+31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HFLORIDA—W 45-38927575+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 29HOKLAHOMA—W 35-32948686-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB90TAL56PERF90RET98ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
JORDAN TRAVISQB SERET
★3—8589%+31—
18
TATE RODEMAKERQB JURET
★3★3429%-17HELD
10
AJ DUFFYQB JUNO SNAPS
★4★4132%—HELD
15
GINO ENGLISHQB SORET
UNR—40%——
16
DYLAN MCNAMARAQB SONO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
▾RB76TAL86PERF76RET57ROTATIONn=4 · 9 METRICS · 22 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
TREY BENSONRB JUNO SNAPS
★4—8535%+24—
9
LAWRANCE TOAFILIRB SERET
★4—8434%+17—
TRESHAUN WARDRB SERET
★3★37523%+33HELD
1
RODNEY HILLRB JUNO SNAPS
★4★3465%+15FELL
0
CJ CAMPBELL JR.RB SERET
UNR★3373%-46EMERGED
26
CAZIAH HOLMESRB SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
▾WR/TE74TAL71PERF72RET54ROTATIONn=10 · 8 METRICS · 55 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
87
CAMREN MCDONALDTE SERET
★4—8940%+9—
87
MARKESTON DOUGLASTE SERET
★3★38433%+19HELD
14
JOHNNY WILSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—7922%+33—
5
MYCAH PITTMANWR SENO SNAPS
★4★47721%-12HELD
80
ONTARIA WILSONWR SERET
★3—7620%+22—
12
MALIK MCCLAINWR SERET
★4★36612%-9FELL
85
PRESTON DANIELTE SERET
UNR★36517%—EMERGED
22
DEUCE SPANNWR SENO SNAPS
★3★3619%-3HELD
1
KENTRON POITIERWR SERET
★3—567%+37—
JA'KHI DOUGLASWR SERET
★4—556%+12—
3
DARION WILLIAMSONWR SERET
★3★3413%—HELD
19
WYATT RECTORTE JURET
★3—374%——
83
BRIAN COURTNEYTE SENO SNAPS
★3★3343%—HELD
30
DJ DANIELSTE SORET
★2—252%——
16
JOSHUA BURRELLTE SENO SNAPS
★3★3231%—HELD
24
MIKE ROUSSOSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—100%——
84
FERNANDO PADRONWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
6
KEYSHAWN HELTONWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
85
JACKSON WESTTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
1
WINSTON WRIGHT JR.WR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
89
JERRALE POWERSTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
49
VANCE NICKLAUSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
2
JEREMIAH GIEDRYSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
JIMMY CASEYTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
CARSON PIELOCKWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL59TAL63PERF59RET0n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL65TAL78PERF65RET60n=11 · 8 METRICS · 59 OBS
▸LB69TAL78PERF69RET76n=5 · 10 METRICS · 31 OBS
▸DB63TAL81PERF63RET84n=10 · 8 METRICS · 60 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SAM MCCALLHS RECRUITS★4UNR
AZAREYE'H THOMASHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
JULIAN ARMELLAHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
AJ DUFFYHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
QAE'SHON SAPPHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
JAYLEN EARLYHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
DANTE ANDERSONHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
AARON HESTERHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
DANIEL LYONSHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
BISHOP THOMASHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
COREY WRENTCULB★3★4
DJ WILLIAMSARIZONARB★4UNR
PARKER GROTHAUSWEST VIRGINIAPKUNRUNR
JORDAN YOUNGFLORIDA ATLANTICWR★3★3
MARCUS CUSHNIEMASSACHUSETTSDLUNR★3
QUASHON FULLERMARYLANDDL★4UNR
JARVIS BROWNLEE JR.LOUISVILLEDB★3UNR
CHUBBA PURDYNEBRASKAQB★4★4
JADARIUS GREEN-MCKNIGHTMARSHALLDB★4★3
JORDAN WILSONELIGIBILITY UPTE★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#20NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
7OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8881COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST60% BACK60th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG60% BACK60th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR98%98th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST84%84th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE