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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
SEC|KIRBY SMART|—RECORD12-1|CONF—
GEORGIA#1 AP 1 FPISEC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
99FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-10IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#316 BC / 22
BC RATIO
76%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
12-1ACTUALvs12.6-0.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+29.8
12 wins against a scoring profile describing 12.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
67MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4ACLEMSON#14W 10-3989595+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HUAB—W 56-7346767+33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18HSOUTH CAROLINA—W 40-13855050+50BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25AVANDERBILT—W 62-05966+94BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2HARKANSAS#21W 37-0808484+16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9AAUBURN—W 34-10917878+22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16HKENTUCKY#18W 30-13798383+17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30AFLORIDA—W 34-7947878+22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6HMISSOURI—W 43-6684747+53BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13ATENNESSEE—W 41-17879393+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20HCHARLESTON SOUTHERN—W 56-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
13NOV 27AGEORGIA TECH—W 45-0772626+74BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 4AALABAMA#2L 24-411009898+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
CARSON BECKQB SERET
★4★400%—HELD
12
BROCK VANDAGRIFFQB JUNO SNAPS
★5★400%—FELL
18
JT DANIELSQB SERET
★5★500%—HELD
13
STETSON BENNETTQB SERET
UNR—00%——
27
AUSTIN KIRKSEYQB SORET
★3—00%——
16
JACKSON MUSCHAMPQB JURET
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
ZAMIR WHITERB JURET
★5—00%——
4
JAMES COOKRB SERET
★4—00%——
6
KENNY MCINTOSHRB SERET
★4—00%——
2
KENDALL MILTONRB SERET
★4—00%——
SEVAUGHN CLARKRB SERET
UNR—00%——
30
DAIJUN EDWARDSRB SERET
★4—00%——
26
ANTHONY SUMMEYRB JURET
★2—00%——
32
CASH JONESRB SENO SNAPS
★5—00%——
14
LOVASEA CARROLLRB FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
36
GARRETT JONESRB JURET
UNR—00%——
45
KURT KNISELYRB FRRET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
86
JOHN FITZPATRICKTE JURET
★4—00%——
10
KEARIS JACKSONWR SERET
★4—00%——
DARNELL WASHINGTONTE JURET
★5—00%——
1
JAYLEN JOHNSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
12
DOMINICK BLAYLOCKWR JURET
★4★300%—FELL
1
GEORGE PICKENSWR JURET
★5—00%——
80
BRETT SEITHERTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
1
MARCUS ROSEMY-JACKSAINTWR SERET
★4—00%——
3
JERMAINE BURTONWR SERET
★4—00%——
11
ARIAN SMITHWR SERET
★5—00%——
84
LADD MCCONKEYWR JURET
★3—00%——
2
JUSTIN ROBINSONWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
19
BROCK BOWERSTE JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
5
ADONAI MITCHELLWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★500%—ROSE
7
JACKSON MEEKSWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
13
JJ HOLLOMANWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
39
BRADY TINDALLWR SERET
UNR—00%——
40
MATTHEW BROWNTE JURET
UNR—00%——
86
RYLAND GOEDETE SERET
★4★300%—FELL
89
ARIK GILBERTTE SOPORTAL · LSU
★5★300%—FELL
43
CHASE HAROFTE SERET
UNR—00%——
24
NATHAN PRIESTLEYWR JURET
★2—00%——
44
CADE BROCKTE JURET
★2—00%——
44
MICHAEL HAGERTYTE SORET
UNR—00%——
89
BRAXTON HICKSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
46
GEORGE VININGWR SERET
UNR—00%——
4
MEKHI MEWSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AMARIUS MIMSHS RECRUITOT★5UNR
BROCK VANDAGRIFFHS RECRUITQB★5UNR
XAVIAN SOREY JR.HS RECRUITLB★5UNR
SMAEL MONDON JR.HS RECRUITLB★5UNR
MICAH MORRISHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
NYLAND GREENHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
DAVID DANIEL-SISAVANHHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
DYLAN FAIRCHILDHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
BROCK BOWERSHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
LOVASEA CARROLLHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN3 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ARIK GILBERTLSUTE★5★4
DERION KENDRICKCLEMSONCB★5★4
TYKEE SMITHWEST VIRGINIAS★4★4
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT18 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JERMAINE JOHNSONFLORIDA STATEDE★4★3
DEMETRIS ROBERTSONAUBURNWR★5★3
MATT LANDERSTOLEDOWR★3★3
D'WAN MATHISTEMPLEWR★4★3
PRATHER HUDSONILLINOISDBUNRUNR
MAJOR BURNSLSUS★4★3
TYRIQUE STEVENSONMIAMICB★4★4
RICHARD LECOUNTENFL DRAFT R5DB★5—
MONTY RICENFL DRAFT R3LB★4—
TRE' MCKITTYNFL DRAFT R3TE★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#3NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
16OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9248COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
313 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST92% BACK92th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG92% BACK92th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE