SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›GEORGIA SOUTHERN›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
SUN BELT|CHAD LUNSFORD|—RECORD7-5|CONF—
GEORGIA SOUTHERN87 FPISBC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
26FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1210 BC / 25
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
7-5ACTUALvs6.1-5.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+0.6
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
44MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31ALSU#1L 3-55979999-65BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HMAINE—W 26-18————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 14AMINNESOTA#10L 32-35679191-57BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HLOUISIANA—L 24-37267676-42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 3ASOUTH ALABAMA—W 20-172066+28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HCOASTAL CAROLINA—W 30-2791313+21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HNEW MEXICO STATE—W 41-7855+29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10OCT 31AAPP STATE#19W 24-21278080-46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9ATROY—L 28-49223535-1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HUL MONROE—W 51-29151616+18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23AARKANSAS STATE—L 33-38334242-8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HGEORGIA STATE—W 38-10191818+16BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
JUSTIN TOMLINQB JURET
★2—00%——
18
JAALON FRAZIERQB SORET
★2—00%——
18
WILL LOVETTQB SERET
★2—00%——
13
WILL LOVETT JR.QB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET31NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
0
GERALD GREENRB SENO SNAPS
★2★300%—ROSE
22
MATT LAROCHERB SERET
UNR—00%——
12
WESLEY KENNEDY IIIRB SERET
★3—00%——
2
LOGAN WRIGHTRB SERET
★2—00%——
1
J.D. KINGRB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
11
JARED DANIELSRB SORET
UNR—00%——
25
ANDREW CUNNINGHAMRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
29
AJ BROWNRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
47
JORDAN PEARSONRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
23
MARK MICHAUDWR SERET
★3—00%——
9
DARION ANDERSONWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
6
COLBY RANSOMWR SERET
UNR—00%——
28
DEXTER CARTER JR.TE SERET
UNR—00%——
82
DREW RUTLEDGEWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
7
KHALEB HOODWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
11
BEAU JOHNSONTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
5
SHAI WERTSWR SERET
★3★200%—FELL
39
EMORY MCKENZIETE JURET
UNR—00%——
48
CAM BROWNTE SERET
UNR—00%——
16
MALIK MURRAYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
D.J. BUTLERTE —RET
UNR—00%——
JALLAH ZEZE JR.WR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
MILLS RIDINGSWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
TREMAINE OSBORNEWR FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
85
EMIL SMITHWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
10
DARIUS LEWISWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
83
CHASE HANCOCKTE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
38
MYLES FREEMANTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
DREY DAVISWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
29
DARIAN TYSONWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
22
BO WHITEWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DAVID SPAULDINGHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JADEN JENKINSHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
BEAU JOHNSONHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
JAVONTE MCGRIFFHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
MILTON JACKSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JAVA'N SINGLETARYHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
TREUN PACEHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
AJ WATKINSHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
EMIL SMITHHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DARIUS LEWISHS RECRUITATH★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT16 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DAVARIUS BARGNARECAMPBELLWR★3UNR
MARCUS ROGERSELIGIBILITY UPWR★2—
DESHON COOPERELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
MONTEO GARRETTELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
LABARON ANTHONYELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
IAN BUSHELIGIBILITY UPNTUNR—
WESLEY FIELDSELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
JOSHUA MOONELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
LOGAN HUNTELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
ELLIS RICHARDSONELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#121NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 25 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7959COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST58% BACK58th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG58% BACK58th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE