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HOME›TEAMS›GEORGIA SOUTHERN›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
SUN BELT|CLAY HELTON|—RECORD6-7|CONF—
GEORGIA SOUTHERN91 FPISBC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
22FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
4%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1101 BC / 22
BC RATIO
1%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
6-6ACTUALvs6.3-5.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+1.3
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE72
PERFORMANCE72
TALENT29
CONTINUITY4
DEFENSE12
PERFORMANCE12
TALENT38
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
44MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HMORGAN STATE—W 59-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 10ANEBRASKA—W 45-42834646-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17AUAB—L 21-35294747-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HBALL STATE—W 34-23131313+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1ACOASTAL CAROLINA—L 30-34304848-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8AGEORGIA STATE—L 33-41384040-7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HJAMES MADISON—W 45-3856262-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22AOLD DOMINION—W 28-23281919+14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HSOUTH ALABAMA—L 31-38377575-42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10ALOUISIANA—L 17-36345252-19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HMARSHALL—L 10-23315555-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HAPP STATE—W 51-48335050-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 27ABUFFALO—L 21-23162626+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB79TAL21PERF79RET1ONE OWNERn=1 · 7 METRICS · 7 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
KYLE VANTREASEQB YRNO SNAPS
★3—9999%-2—
13
CONNOR CIGELSKEQB SORET
★2—81%-32—
19
KYLE TOOLEQB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
15
ZAK ROZSMANQB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
10
DAVID DALLASQB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
11
COLTON FITZGERALDQB SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
17
RICHIE LANKFORDQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB65TAL47PERF65RET81ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 19 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
25
JALEN WHITERB SERET
★3—9452%+16—
0
GERALD GREENRB SERET
★2★37624%+19ROSE
22
OJ ARNOLDRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—6717%+23—
29
AJ BROWNRB JURET
UNR★3425%-28EMERGED
4
TYLER JORDANRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—252%——
35
TERRON DIXON IIIRB SERET
UNR—90%——
47
JORDAN PEARSONRB JURET
UNR—00%——
20
TERRANCE GIBBSRB JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
30
ROBERT EDWARDS IIIRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE64TAL40PERF64RET63ROTATIONn=10 · 7 METRICS · 55 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
KHALEB HOODWR SERET
UNR—9925%+18—
2
DERWIN BURGESS JR.WR SERET
★3—9722%+7—
1
JEREMY SINGLETONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★39621%+11HELD
5
AMARE JONESWR 5TRET
★3★37713%+20HELD
11
BEAU JOHNSONTE SERET
★3—7338%+25—
5
MARCUS SANDERS JR.WR SENO SNAPS
UNR—689%-29—
9
JJAY MCAFEETE SERET
UNR—6730%+25—
87
EVAN LESTER JR.TE JURET
★3—6023%-36—
28
EZRAH ARCHIEWR YRNO SNAPS
UNR—605%-21—
1
DALEN COBBWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—523%-19—
27
ETHAN DIRRIMTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—427%——
14
SAM KENERSONWR SERET
★3★3301%—HELD
12
JET THOMPSONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★3281%—EMERGED
10
DARIUS LEWISWR JURET
★2—220%——
83
CHASE HANCOCKTE SERET
★2—131%——
81
PARKER SELFWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
JEB BESHEARSWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
82
JT GALLOWAYWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
EMIL SMITHWR JURET
★3—00%——
30
ALEX BOWENWR JURET
UNR—00%——
36
JUSTIN HOWELLWR JURET
UNR—00%——
17
TJ LEWISWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
41
NATHAN TILLMANTE FRRET
UNR—00%——
88
LAWSON BACHELDERWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
JOSH DALLASWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
48
DYLAN SNYDERTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
BROOKS PANGLEWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
BRAXTON SLACKTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
86
GRAEME WILLIAMSWR SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▸OL68TAL20PERF68RET40n=5 · 3 METRICS · 15 OBS
▸DL30TAL36PERF31RET62n=11 · 8 METRICS · 56 OBS
▸LB32TAL30PERF32RET93n=5 · 10 METRICS · 25 OBS
▸DB49TAL44PERF49RET79n=10 · 8 METRICS · 55 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TERRANCE GIBBSHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
ZAK ROZSMANHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
DA'SHAWN DAVISHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
DAVID DALLASHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
JOSH DALLASHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
MJ STROUDHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
ASHTON WHITNERHS RECRUITS★3UNR
PICHON WIMBLEYHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
JACOB HAMMONDSHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
MARC STAMPLEY IIHS RECRUITS★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT19 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CAM'RON RANSOMMCNEESEQB★3UNR
ELDRICK ROBINSONWAKE FORESTLB★2UNR
MIKE EDWARDS IIIEAST CAROLINALB★3UNR
DARRELL BAKER JR.ELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
RANDY WADE JR.ELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
DEXTER CARTER JR.ELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
BENZ JOSUEELIGIBILITY UPLB★2—
DEONTA BEMBRYELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
C.J. WRIGHTELIGIBILITY UPNTUNR—
TRE ALLENELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#110NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8335COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKNEW
26TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
0
5
9
7
5
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-3 TO +9 W
IMPROVED12 OF 26
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST40% BACK40th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG40% BACK40th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR40%40th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR1%1th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST79%79th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE