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HOME›TEAMS›GEORGIA SOUTHERN›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
SUN BELT|CLAY HELTON|—RECORD6-7|CONF—
GEORGIA SOUTHERN96 FPISBC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
23FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
67%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
62%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1010 BC / 21
BC RATIO
2%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
6-6ACTUALvs6.3-5.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+1.3
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE43
PERFORMANCE43
TALENT40
CONTINUITY67
DEFENSE13
PERFORMANCE13
TALENT32
CONTINUITY62
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
40MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HTHE CITADEL—W 34-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9HUAB—W 49-35291212+27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16AWISCONSIN—L 14-35797878-39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23ABALL STATE—W 40-3201111+28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HCOASTAL CAROLINA—W 38-28394949-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14AJAMES MADISON—L 13-4158686-47BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HUL MONROE—W 38-281022+37BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HGEORGIA STATE—W 44-27373434+5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4ATEXAS STATE—L 24-45324747-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11AMARSHALL—L 33-38312626+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HOLD DOMINION—L 17-20122323+16BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25AAPP STATE—L 27-55396161-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 16AOHIO—L 21-41124747-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB49TAL45PERF49RET0ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
DAVIS BRINQB SEPORTAL · TULSA
★3★310096%+8HELD
4
JC FRENCH IVQB SENO SNAPS
★3★3324%—HELD
11
BEAU ALLENQB SEPORTAL · TARLETON STATE
★3★300%—HELD
10
DAVID DALLASQB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
11
COLTON FITZGERALDQB SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
8
COBY WALTONQB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB38TAL42PERF38RET86ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 21 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
25
JALEN WHITERB SERET
★3—9757%+17—
22
OJ ARNOLDRB SERET
UNR—8128%+21—
6
DAVID MBADINGARB SENO SNAPS
UNR—6111%-1—
5
TERRANCE GIBBSRB SERET
★4—343%——
35
TERRON DIXON IIIRB SERET
UNR—141%——
4
TYLER JORDANRB SERET
UNR—00%——
30
ROBERT EDWARDS IIIRB SORET
UNR—00%——
28
J'SHAWN ANDERSONRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
JAMARIAN SAMUELRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE52TAL52PERF50RET75ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 46 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
DERWIN BURGESS JR.WR SERET
★3—10029%+2—
7
KHALEB HOODWR SERET
UNR—10027%+17—
9
JJAY MCAFEETE SERET
UNR—8953%+18—
4
ANTHONY QUEELEYWR SEPORTAL · SYRACUSE
★3★38515%-3HELD
1
DALEN COBBWR SERET
UNR—8314%+22—
6
KEATON UPSHAWTE SEPORTAL · KENTUCKY
★3★36926%+16HELD
1
JAYLON BARDENWR SEPORTAL · PITTSBURGH
★3★4605%0ROSE
5
MARCUS SANDERS JR.WR SERET
UNR—574%-30—
11
BEAU JOHNSONTE SERET
★3—498%+23—
18
KD DORSEYWR SONO SNAPS
★3★2462%—FELL
87
EVAN LESTER JR.TE JURET
★3—457%-30—
27
ETHAN DIRRIMTE SERET
UNR—426%——
12
JET THOMPSONWR SERET
UNR★3402%—EMERGED
19
JOSH DALLASWR SERET
★3—321%——
4
DEANDRE BUCHANNONWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★3291%—HELD
83
ELIJA WALTONTE SONO SNAPS
★3—191%——
81
PARKER SELFWR JURET
UNR—00%——
14
SAM KENERSONWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
86
GRAEME WILLIAMSWR SORET
★2—00%——
80
SAAN LEWISWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
30
ALEX BOWENWR JURET
UNR—00%——
88
LAWSON BACHELDERWR JURET
UNR—00%——
26
KEION WALLACEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
48
DYLAN SNYDERTE SORET
UNR—00%——
85
BROOKS PANGLEWR SORET
UNR—00%——
84
JP MIKHAELTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
15
TAYLOR BRADSHAWWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
ETHAN CHRISTIANWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
38
KEVIN DOUGLASWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL49TAL35PERF49RET70n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL45TAL32PERF45RET70n=9 · 8 METRICS · 48 OBS
▸LB48TAL34PERF48RET85n=5 · 11 METRICS · 32 OBS
▸DB47TAL30PERF47RET31n=11 · 8 METRICS · 56 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ALIJAH LACEYHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
DEANDRE BUCHANNONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CAIMON MATHISHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JAMARI WHITEHEADHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
COBY WALTONHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
ELIJA WALTONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
MATTHEW JAMESHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
KEBBA SECKAHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
ETHAN WILLIAMSHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
JADEN MIKHAELHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN11 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CAMERON WILLIAMSWASHINGTONSUNR★4
TARIAN LEE JR.TEXAS A&MLB★3★3
BRANDON CALLOWAYPURDUECB★3★3
JC FRENCHMEMPHISQBUNR★3
ANTHONY QUEELEYSYRACUSEWR★3★3
KEATON UPSHAWKENTUCKYTE★3★3
PRINCE GREENILLINOISCBUNR★3
DAVIS BRINTULSAQB★3★3
JAYLON BARDENPITTSBURGHATH★3★3
TJ SMITHKANSAS STATES★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT33 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ANTHONY WILSON JR.WEST VIRGINIASUNRUNR
DERRICK CANTEENVIRGINIA TECHDB★2★3
TYLER BRIDEMINNESOTAS★3★3
GERALD GREENEAST CAROLINARB★2★3
BRANDON WILSONGARDNER-WEBBDL★2★3
ZYERE HORTONFLORIDA ATLANTICLBUNR★2
ALEX RAYNORKENTUCKYPKUNR★3
JEREMY SINGLETONELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
PARKER DEVINEELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
QUIN WILLIAMSELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES39%9 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS33%7 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#101NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8236COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1414 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
34TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
7
6
6
9
6
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +1.8 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED15 OF 34
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST38% BACK38th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG38% BACK38th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR70%70th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST31%31th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE