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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
ACC|BRENT KEY|—RECORD9-4|CONF—
GEORGIA TECH40 FPIACC · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
72FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
71%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
58%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-10IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#216 BC / 24
BC RATIO
15%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
9-3ACTUALvs7.9-4.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+8.1
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE85
PERFORMANCE85
TALENT74
CONTINUITY71
DEFENSE50
PERFORMANCE50
TALENT66
CONTINUITY58
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
55MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 29ACOLORADO—W 27-20793030+45BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 6HGARDNER-WEBB—W 59-12————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 13HCLEMSON—W 24-21967676-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 20HTEMPLE—W 45-24183636+39BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 27AWAKE FOREST—W 30-29476262+13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11HVIRGINIA TECH—W 35-20722323+52BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18ADUKE—W 27-18586868+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 25HSYRACUSE—W 41-16761616+59BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1ANC STATE—L 36-48686060+15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15ABOSTON COLLEGE—W 36-34502929+46BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22HPITTSBURGH—L 28-42607474+1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 28HGEORGIA#6L 9-161009696-21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 27ABYU#11L 21-25508787-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB73TAL48PERF73RET100ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 10 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
HAYNES KINGQB SERET
★4★38893%+27FELL
12
AARON PHILOQB JURET
★3★3447%+37HELD
14
GRAHAM KNOWLESQB JURET
★3—00%——
18
BEN GUTHRIEQB SERET
UNR—00%——
16
GRADY ADAMSONQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB56TAL73PERF56RET61ONE OWNERn=2 · 9 METRICS · 18 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
JAMAL HAYNESRB SERET
★3—9354%+12—
0
MALACHI HOSLEYRB SEPORTAL · PENNSYLVANIA
UNR★38438%+33EMERGED
1
TRELAIN MADDOXRB JURET
★3—384%-20—
5
DAYLON GORDONRB SERET
UNR—272%——
20
J.P. POWELLRB SONO SNAPS
★4—131%——
11
CHAD ALEXANDERRB SERET
★2—131%+15—
24
SHANE MARSHALLRB SONO SNAPS
★3—60%——
▾WR/TE75TAL76PERF75RET52ROTATIONn=11 · 7 METRICS · 50 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
ERIC RIVERSWR SEPORTAL · FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
★3★48826%+32ROSE
6
ISIAH CANIONWR JURET
★4★48223%+12HELD
88
J.T. BYRNETE SEPORTAL · CALIFORNIA
★3★37730%—HELD
8
MALIK RUTHERFORDWR SERET
★3★37618%+28HELD
17
JOSH BEETHAMTE SERET
UNR—7225%+53—
80
BRETT SEITHERTE SERET
★3★37023%+44HELD
15
LUKE HARPRINGTE JURET
★3★36923%+35HELD
11
DEAN PATTERSONWR SEPORTAL · FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
UNR★36611%+8EMERGED
3
BAILEY STOCKTONWR SERET
★3★36510%+29HELD
4
JORDAN ALLENWR SONO SNAPS
★3—586%+36—
17
ZION TAYLORWR JURET
★3★3566%+15HELD
7
DALEN PENSONWR SONO SNAPS
★4—281%——
3
RAHKEEM SMITHWR SEPORTAL · BOWLING GREEN
UNR★300%+7EMERGED
89
CHRIS ELKOWR SERET
UNR—00%——
6
DEBRON GATLINGWR JUPORTAL · SOUTH CAROLINA
★3★300%—HELD
87
JAMAURI BRICEWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
44
CONNOR ROUSHTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
86
KEVIN ROCHE JR.TE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
81
CAL FAULKNERWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
37
JOSEPH MOSELEYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
83
BLAKE RAGSDALETE JURET
UNR—00%——
84
EVAN HAYNESWR SOPORTAL · NORTH CAROLINA
★3★300%—HELD
▸OL73TAL75PERF73RET77n=7 · 3 METRICS · 19 OBS
▸DL57TAL70PERF57RET41n=12 · 8 METRICS · 66 OBS
▸LB41TAL69PERF41RET77n=5 · 10 METRICS · 39 OBS
▸DB53TAL62PERF53RET63n=11 · 8 METRICS · 61 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TAE HARRISHS RECRUITS★4UNR
JOSH PETTYHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
DALEN PENSONHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
CHRISTIAN GARRETTHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
PEYTON JOSEPHHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
J.P. POWELLHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
DERRY NORRIS JR.HS RECRUITDL★3UNR
FENIX FELTONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
CARRINGTON COOMBSHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
SHANE MARSHALLHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN6 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AKELO STONEOLE MISSDL★3★4
ERIC RIVERSFLORIDA INTERNATIONALWR★3★4
MALACHI HOSLEYPENNSYLVANIARBUNR★3
A.J. HOFFLERCLEMSONEDGE★4★3
MALACHI CARNEYSOUTH ALABAMAOT★3★3
JON MITCHELLPENN STATECB★4★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT32 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
COREY ROBINSON IIARKANSASOL★3★3
ROMELLO HEIGHTTEXAS TECHLB★4★4
SYEED GIBBSKANSASCBUNR★3
ERIC SINGLETON JR.AUBURNWR★3★4
JORDAN BROWNARIZONAOLUNR★3
ANTHONY CARRIEFLORIDA INTERNATIONALRB★4★3
JACOB CRUZJACKSONVILLE STATELB★3★3
AUSTIN DEANRUTGERSLB★3★3
LEO BLACKBURNGEORGIA STATEWR★4★3
BRANDON BESTKENNESAW STATEOL★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES19%7 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS53%10 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#21NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
6OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8846COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
2333 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST83% BACK83th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG83% BACK83th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR77%77th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST63%63th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE