SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2024 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›HAWAI'I›2024TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|TIMMY CHANG|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
HAWAI'I114 FPIMWC · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
22FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
61%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
91%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-5IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1160 BC / 18
BC RATIO
4%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
5-7ACTUALvs4.9-7.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-3.7
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE21
PERFORMANCE21
TALENT44
CONTINUITY61
DEFENSE36
PERFORMANCE36
TALENT30
CONTINUITY91
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
37MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 24HDELAWARE STATE—W 35-14————NON-FBS OPPONENT
1AUG 31HUCLA—L 13-16804444-24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14ASAM HOUSTON—L 13-31182727-7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HNORTHERN IOWA—W 36-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
6OCT 5ASAN DIEGO STATE—L 24-27451111+9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HBOISE STATE#8L 7-28457979-59BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19AWASHINGTON STATE—L 10-42464949-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HNEVADA—W 34-13231313+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2AFRESNO STATE—W 21-20363737-17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HUNLV#23L 27-29397474-54BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16AUTAH STATE—L 10-55292121-1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HNEW MEXICO—W 38-30151414+6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB36TAL45PERF36RET85ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 11 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
BRAYDEN SCHAGERQB SERET
★3★39785%-12HELD
12
MICAH ALEJADOQB SONO SNAPS
★3—6014%+40—
16
JOHN-KEAWE SAGAPOLUTELEQB FRRET
★3★3181%—HELD
4
JAKE FARRELLQB SERET
UNR—00%——
18
CALEB FREEMANQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB59TAL25PERF59RET79ROTATIONn=3 · 5 METRICS · 12 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
30
LANDON SIMSRB SERET
UNR—7740%+18—
1
TYLAN HINESRB JURET
★3★37335%+24HELD
0
CAM BARFIELDRB SEPORTAL · BOSTON COLLEGE
★3★35715%-37HELD
47
CHRISTIAN VAUGHNRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—345%+29—
10
DAVID CORDERORB SERET
UNR—294%-29—
38
KAMALU DEBLAKERB JURET
★2—121%——
31
TRYTON KELI'IKIPIRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
26
SITANI MIKAELERB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE29TAL33PERF29RET79ONE OWNERn=9 · 7 METRICS · 54 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
NICK CENACLEWR SERET
UNR—9920%-6—
5
POFELE ASHLOCKWR SERET
UNR—9818%+6—
1
JONAH PANOKEWR SERET
★3—9416%-14—
9
ALEX PERRYWR SERET
★3★38512%-1HELD
14
SPENCER CURTISWR SENO SNAPS
★2—8211%-15—
20
DEKEL CROWDUSWR SEPORTAL · KENTUCKY
★4★3748%+31FELL
8
TAMATOA MOKIAO-ATIMALALAWR SERET
★3—665%-42—
23
KOALI NISHIGAYAWR SERET
★2★2604%-45HELD
11
KARSYN PUPUNUWR SERET
UNR—583%-24—
8
TAMA UILIATAWR SONO SNAPS
★2—472%——
9
DEVON TAUAEFATE SERET
★3—2959%-28—
85
OAKIE SALAVE'ATE SERET
★3★32241%—HELD
18
BLAZE KAMOKUWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—150%——
86
CARLITO CAPANANG JR.WR JURET
UNR—70%——
7
STEVEN MCBRIDEWR SERET
★3★300%+27HELD
22
CHAD OWENS JR.WR FRRET
UNR—00%——
88
MACLANE WATKINSWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
46
MATTHEW BAILIFFTE JURET
UNR—00%——
89
NICK DELGADILLOWR JURET
★3—00%——
14
JARVIS HEIMULIWR SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
88
ARMANDO LEWIS JR.WR FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
24
JEREMIAH WHITEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
83
JOSIAH FETUIWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL47TAL50PERF47RET63n=9 · 3 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DL56TAL27PERF56RET78n=10 · 8 METRICS · 56 OBS
▸LB48TAL32PERF48RET100n=6 · 11 METRICS · 42 OBS
▸DB57TAL30PERF58RET96n=11 · 6 METRICS · 56 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NAZAIAH CARAVALLOHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
ALVIN PUEFUAHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
MICAH ALEJADOHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
NOAH WILYHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
FRANK ABREUHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ALIKA CAVACO-AMOYHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
JAY TAUALA-HARRISHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
BOOGIE HENDERSONHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
TRISTAN WAIAMAU-GALINDOHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
MATTEUS IOANEHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN6 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
FABIAN ROSSUSCCB★4★3
DEKEL CROWDUSKENTUCKYWR★4★3
CAM BARFIELDBOSTON COLLEGERB★3★3
DION WASHINGTONNEVADADL★2★3
JAMAR SEKONAUSCDL★3★3
LUCAS BORROWBALL STATEP★2★2
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JOSH ATKINSARIZONA STATEOL★3★3
JALEN WALTHALLINCARNATE WORDWRUNR★3
NASJZAE BRYANT-LELEIBLACK HILLS STATERBUNRUNR
ELIKI TANUVASAELIGIBILITY UPOL★2—
ISAIAH TUFAGAELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
ANDREW CHOIELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
JONAH KAHAHAWAI-WELCHELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
JOHN TUITUPOUELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
ARASI MOSEELIGIBILITY UPOL★3—
FO'I SILAELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES28%6 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS13%6 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#116NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8199COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
611 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST88% BACK88th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG88% BACK88th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR63%63th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR85%85th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST96%96th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE